FedEx St. Jude Championship 2025 DFS Picks: Predictions, Values & Projections
Published: Aug 05, 2025
Playoffs?! We’re talking about playoffs! With the regular season over for the 2025 PGA Tour season, we head onto the FedEx Cup playoffs where the top 70 players of the 2025 season get the chance to earn their place in signature events for next year, millions of dollars, and a chance to lock up their place in history.
Let’s dive in!
FedEx St. Jude Championship 2025: Daily Fantasy Golf Picks & Projections
Founded as the Westchester Classic back in 1967, this event has partnered with St. Jude Children's Research Hospital since 1980. For many years, this was a standard tour event, but since 2007 this has been the first event of the PGA Tour playoffs. This field has had multiple notable moments, from 2015 when Brian Harman made two hole-in-ones in the same round at Plainfield Country Club to Scottie Scheffler's 59 at TPC Boston. Now hosted at TPC Southwind, this field has a long history on tour as well. Let's take a peak into the venue!
TPC Southwind: Course Breakdown This Week
Located in Memphis, Tennessee, TPC Southwind is no stranger to the PGA Tour. This course has hosted events on tour since 1989. Playing at just over 7,200 yards and a par 70, this shorter course is no walk in the park. TPC Southwind is littered with water, tight fairways, deep rough, and nearly 75 bunkers throughout. The bermuda greens are fast, firm, and are historically the final line of defense for this venue. Scoring is still possible, but scoring chances will not come easy.Â
The four par 3s at this venue play between 168 and 205 yards, the par 4s play between 395 and 530, and the par 5s play at 530 and 580 respectively. This gives us some clear brackets, while also making it clear that there are no free holes at this venue. While the two par 5s are the only two holes on the course that play under par year over year, par 5 scoring is mitigated by the presence of just two par 5s. Past that, each hole offers unique challenges and set up shots will be required more often than not. Course history is very present when breaking down this venue. TPC Southwind ranks in the top half of tour courses in-terms of predictiveness, meaning the past results of players must be considered this week, even with this now being a limited field event.
Much like last week, SG: Approach and SG: Putting (Bermuda) will take a clear emphasis yet again. Distance is not a prerequisite for success at this venue either, thus limiting it’s importance once again while showing a clear need for accuracy off the tee. Additionally, given the difficulty of this venue, double bogey avoidance is a clear stat of importance, ranking nearly 20 spots above average importance this week. With a very clear statistical model built for this course, let’s take a look at some top players in key stats:
SG: Approach: Scottie Scheffler, Daniel Berger, Emiliano Grillo, Viktor Hovland, Shane Lowry, Sepp Straka, Akshay Bhatia, Hideki Matsuyama, Ryan Fox, Patrick Cantlay
SG: Putting (Firm and Fast): Sam Burns, Harry Hall, Denny McCarthy, Jacob Bridgeman, Ryan Fox, Harris English, Akshay Bhatia, Ben Griffin, Max Greyserman, Nico Echavarria
FedEx St. Jude Championship 2025 Field: Golf DFS
Given that players had to be in the top 70 of FedEx Cup standings to qualify for this field, it should be no surprise that this is an absolutely loaded field. Only a few notable names will not be in the field this week, most notably Rory McIlroy, who will be skipping this event essentially just because he can. This entire field save for two player ranks inside the top 100 in the OWGR. Hideki Matsuyama is the defending champion for this event, and is joined by many other players who’ve won at this venue, including 2023 champion Lucas Glover, 2020 Champion Justin Thomas, and two time winner Daniel Berger. While we normally see more top heavy fields in this type of no cut event, given the eclectic group of winners here, we can get more creative than usual with our lineups this week.
This Week’s PGA DFS Optimizer & Lineup Generator
To enhance your daily fantasy golf selections and secure optimal PGA DFS values, it's advisable to utilize our PGA DFS optimizer and lineup generator. This optimizer serves as a valuable resource for daily fantasy golf enthusiasts aiming to develop effective lineups!
It provides projections, updates on player injuries, and a range of analytical insights to facilitate the lineup-building process. Essentially, it functions as a strategic advantage for participants in daily fantasy golf and makes their own PGA DFS picks!
PGA Best Bets & Predictions: 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship (20-32 Overall, +9.6 Units)
- Sepp Straka: Top 20 (+120)
- Daniel Berger: Top 20 (+140)Â
- FedEx St. Jude Championship One and Done Picks:Â
- Daniel Berger
- Nick Taylor
GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: Top Tier
Xander Schauffele ($11,100 DraftKings/$11,600 FanDuel)
Xander is back to showing signs of his elite upside. His ball-striking is in prime form, the driver is back to being a weapon, and his putter and wedges remain consistent. He remains top 15 in the field in birdies or better gained, double bogey avoidance, and has no clear weakness against this course. As the runner up last season, it’s clear he’s got the game to compete at this venue.Â
Russell Henley ($10,000 DraftKings/$10,800 FanDuel)
Henley is in prime form entering this event, giving me more hope than most about his game this week. He has not finished outside the top 10 in a field since the PGA Championship back in May. He’s been an elite putter, extremely accurate off the tee, and a strong ball-striker. He’s got multiple top 10 finishes here in the past, as well as elite bogey and double bogey avoidance numbers while leading the field in Par 3 scoring and elite par 4 scoring numbers. He’s going to be an absolute threat this week.
GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: MID-TIER
Viktor Hovland ($9,300 DraftKings/$10,500 FanDuel)
Hovland sneakily lines up for this venue very well, perhaps making him a differentiating piece for lineups this week. While his recent form hasn’t been solid, his history at this venue shows clear upside given his runner up finish in 2023 and two top 20 finishes the two years prior. He remains an elite ball-striker, with some of the best approach numbers in this field. His struggle will be avoiding blowup holes, as he ranks below average in Double Bogey Avoidance in this field, but if he can keep it in the fairway and out of the water, he can be an absolute demon this week.
Sam Burns ($8,900 DraftKings/$10,200 FanDuel)
Burns is a lot like Hovland this week, where his recent form does him no favors, but the history is too strong. He’s got two top 5 finishes and a top 20 finish in his last 4 starts here, but his skillset is much more built around keeping it in play off the tee and being elite with the putter. What he does have in his favor is the fact that only one player in the field avoids bogeys better than him, and ranks top 10 in this field off the tee. He’s going to be a sneaky play this week, even when he should be.
Patrick Cantlay ($9,000 DraftKings/$10,400 FanDuel)
On paper, I’m not sure anyone lines up better than Cantlay this week. He ranks top 5 or top 10 in most of our major stats, and has finishes of T12th twice, 2nd, and T23rd under his belt at this venue. His struggle will likely be with the flatstick though he historically putts well on firm and fast bermuda. He’s going to be riskier than some other names with household status, but he’s going to be the key of many of my lineups this week.
Corey Conners ($8,500 DraftKings/$9,800 FanDuel)
Conners is essentially the antithesis of the previously mentioned players. His putter is his weakness, which brings major concerns at this type of venue. That said, he avoids doubles at an elite rate, ranks top 10 in most scoring categories, and is in good form after his T10th finish at the Open. He’s not been the best player historically at this venue, but I’m betting on the current over historic form here.
Â
GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: VALUE TIER
Daniel Berger ($7,800 DraftKings/$8,600 FanDuel)
His current form is admittedly terrible, but even if you’re not a believer in course history, this is the guy that you have to like it on. Berger has played at this course 5 times in his career, and while he missed the cut once, he’s won twice, finished T2nd and T5th. His elite ball-striking play at this venue has been the separator for him, and he certainly has that in his bag still. He keeps the ball in play, and does enough to compete here consistently.Â
Emiliano Grillo ($6,600 DraftKings/$7,500 FanDuel)
Grillo is the sneaky guy who can win here even if the name isn’t one you’d suspect. He’s been consistent here, finishing between T20th and T33rd in all of his starts here, but has the overall game of avoiding blow-ups and scoring enough to compete. He’s accurate, and while no other parts of his game stand out, that’s the minimum thing you need to compete here.
Harry Hall ($7,900 DraftKings/$9,200 FanDuel)
It’s Harry Hall, what more can I say? The guy putts well on firm and fast bermuda greens, he’s a scorer, and bogey avoider. He lines up well for most courses, but especially here where he ranks well across all key stats. He’s never played here, but he’s continuing his strong play across his last 9 starts where he’s finished outside the top 25 just once. The elite flatstick is the key for him, and if it’s on, he’s gonna be dangerous.
PGA DFS Picks This Week (Cheat Sheet)
Player Pool
| $ Tier | {{pos.alias}} |
|---|---|
| {{tier.name}} | {{ pos[i-1].player.team.name }} {{ pos[i-1].player.name }} |
Stacks
| {{stack.team.name}} | {{player.name}} |
DraftKings | {{player.fantasy.price.value[8]}}- |
| {{player.fantasy.price.value[6]}}- |
Player News
{{item.text}}
{{analysis.analysis}}

DraftKings