With the seasons final major having wrapped up this past weekend, we head to the next most important stretch of the season as players try to secure their place in the FedEx Cup playoffs. We start this stretch off with the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities. Will this event continue it's history as a birdie-fest, and will it keep its streak of unique winners alive?

Let’s dive in!

 

3M Open 2025: Daily Fantasy Golf Picks & Projections

The 3M Open joined the docket of PGA Tour events in 2019, taking over from the 3M Championship which was a PGA Tour Champions event from 1993 to 2018, with TPC Twin Cities being the home course since 2001. This event is unique in the fact that it has yet to have a repeat champion, with 6 different names taking home the title in it's short history. Being an newer event on tour, there is much less history here, but 3M has historically hosted solid events when they've been a sponsor.

 

TPC Twin Cities: Course Breakdown This Week

TPC Twin Cities shares most of the features we’re used to at other TPC venues with a ton of reachable par 5s, scoring holes disguised as par 4s, and stadium-style par 3s. We also feature a ton of water hazards throughout the course. Playing as a Par 71 at 7,431 yards on bentgrass greens and fairways, we will see one of the more scorable courses in recent memory. While water is in play on roughly 80% of holes, especially off the tee, we see larger than average fairways, and greens making it plenty easy to keep your ball dry and in scoring position.

Every single year, almost without fault, this event is won by keeping your tee shot in the fairway, having strong ball-striking and iron play, and putting well on these fast bent greens. As a result, we’re putting extra weight in the model this week on Good Drives Gained, SG: Approach, Birdie or Better Percentage, Bogey Avoidance, Bentgrass Putting, and SG:Around-the-Green. Players who are a plus in each of these categories give us a great chance at finding the winner in a projected birdie-fest. 

TPC Twin Cities is comprised of four par 3s playing between 175 and 230 yards, eleven par 4s playing between 380 and 505 yards, and three par 5s playing between 593 and 596 yards. Given the clustered hole yardages, we get clear baskets to focus on, especially given the par 5s have just 3 yards of difference from shortest to longest. Our key approach baskets fall into two distinct boxes as well, with 75-125 yards and 175-225 seeing the most strokes above tour average in each, with nearly 60% of all approach shots coming from this range. 

Scoring is going to be key at this event. The lowest winning score we’ve seen at this event was in 2020-2021 which came in at 15 under par, with the tournament record being held by 2023 winner Lee Hodges at 24 under par. Given the layout of the course, and likely mild weather, I’m projecting scoring to take precedent. When the tournament founder says “we want birdies and trainwrecks, we don’t want to be the hardest course on tour” you listen to them. Scoring and avoiding bogeys will be absolutely key to winning this event, and will be what we build our lineups around first and foremost. 

Course history takes some finesse here as well. Players tend to score similarly year over year and perform well here, or perform poorly here. For example, 10 players have made the cut in each of their starts at this event. That said, past performance doesn’t always mean you can be the winner here. Cameron Champ won in his first start, Johnny Vegas missed the cut in his debut then recorded a T2nd, followed by not playing here for two years before winning last season, and Lee Hodges is the opposite by missing the cut here the year after winning it all and setting the record. While we can’t ignore clear trends here, we’re not going to overweight this performance.

 

3M Open 2025 Field: Golf DFS

As expected coming off The Open, this is a weak field in-terms of high end talent. In probably the only instance of being able to say this, Maverick McNealy leads the field as the highest rated player in the OWGR in the field at 18th in the world. Only 11 of the top 50 players in the world will be teeing it up here this week, with most of the field falling outside the top 100 in OWGR. The last four winner of this event (Jhonattan Vegas, Lee Hodges, Tony Finau, and Cameron Champ) will be in the field, but the winners of the first two iterations of this event will not be, due to Matthew Wolff joining LIV and being ineligible to play, and Michael Thompson not having played on tour since 2023. In a weaker field like this, I will be building lineups much more aligned with getting diverse options in there, as most lineups will be unique given the lack of high end talent eating up roster spots. I’ll take more risks in a field like this, and I’m not afraid to get weird here.  

 

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PGA Best Bets & Predictions: 2025 3M Open (18-30 Overall, +3.50 Units)

  • Tony Finau: Top 20 (+200)
  • Jake Knapp: Made Cut (+150) 
  • 3M Open One and Done Picks: 
    • Max Greyserman
    • Kurt Kitayama
 

GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: Top Tier

Maverick McNealy ($10,300 DraftKings/$11,800 FanDuel)

McNealy is playing some great golf over his last 5 starts. His worst finish during that stretch was a solo 37th at the U.S. Open, but he’s also recorded 4 top 25s including a T5th at the Memorial. Coming off a 2024 3M Open, where he finished T3rd just two strokes behind eventual winner Jhonny Vegas, he’s proven that he can compete at this event. He’s been a sneaky good driver this year, ranking in the top 40 on tour in SG: OTT, he also ranks above tour average with the flat-stick and approach game as well. He’s been a top 20 scorer this year, and is one of the top 12 golfers in 2025 at getting a stroke back when he gives on to the course. McNealy is going to be a popular pick, but I think he’s still going to be rostered just low enough to have some great appeal. 

Max Greyserman ($9,300 DraftKings/$11,400 FanDuel)

Greyserman is likely going to be low-rostered due to the fact that he tends to spray his driver around a bit. That being said, he’s a top 30 scorer on tour, and is a top 10 putter in the field. He’s by far more of a boom-bust play than I’m usually comfortable with in an event, but given the lack of true elite talent in the field, I’ll take a shot on a player with elite traits. Greyserman is your “risky” option this week if you want to take the chance with me, but he’s less risky than it seems, given his 2nd place finish here last year entering the event with a worse overall game.

Tony Finau ($9,100 DraftKings/$11,100 FanDuel)

Regardless of the state of Tony Finau’s game, he always performs at TPC Twin Cities. He’s never finished outside the top 30, and has 3 top 10s including his win here in 2022. He’s been inaccurate off the tee in 2025, but he knows that his miss is more of a left miss and can adjust for that like he has in years past. His overall approach has been questionable, but he ranks top 12 on tour and leads the field in the 175-225 bracket, and is top 40 in the 100-125 basket. His putter has been much maligned, and rightfully so, but he is elite when it comes to making long putts, which he will likely set himself up for this week given the size and speed of the greens. His overall 2025 play will likely keep his rostership down, which makes him a more intriguing option for me.

 

GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: MID-TIER

Max Homa ($8,300 DraftKings/$10,000 FanDuel)

Homa’s game has really started to turn around at this point in 2025. At the John Deere Classic, he has his best performance with the irons and off the tee since the Masters, and it’s clear he’s getting past the swing change issues he was running into. Homa statistically doesn’t line up well for this event, outside of his ability with the putter, but I’m leaning into his past at this event, where he has a T3rd in his last appearance here in 2020. 

Adam Scott ($8,200 DraftKings/$10,100 FanDuel)

Adam Scott is making his debut in this field, and overall, he lines up really well for this event. He currently sits at 32nd on the PGA Tour in SG: OTT, has elite long and short iron approach numbers, specifically on the dramatic ends of each. He’s also been a top 20 par 5 scoring leader this year. His overall profile clearly isn’t perfect (or he wouldn’t be at this price) but I have a lot of interest in getting Scott into builds if the rest of my lineup calls for it. 

Kurt Kitayama ($8,700 DraftKings/$10,700 FanDuel)

Kitayama might be my favorite to take this entire event. He’s sitting at 12th on the PGA Tour and leads our field in SG:OTT, has been elite on approach as he currently ranks 11th in proximity, and is 25th in putting average in 2025. Perhaps more importantly, he leads the field in birdie or better percentage, and scoring average. This dude has the firepower to win here, as he showed by his T6th finish here last season. He’s going to be one to watch. 

 

 

GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: VALUE TIER

Cameron Champ ($7,900 DraftKings/$9,900 FanDuel)

Champ hasn’t played a ton of PGA Tour events in 2025, notching just 10 total starts thus far on tour, but he has certainly made the most of them. He’s recorded top 20 finishes in 5 of those events, and those have been highlighted by great play off the tee and solid game with the putter. Perhaps most importantly, he’s another guy who just plays well here with 3 straight finishes in the top 16, including his win here in 2021. 

Jhonattan Vegas ($7,400 DraftKings/$9,300 FanDuel)

You should all know my love of Jhonny Vegas at this point. Dude can be one of the best scorers on tour, and has back to back finishes here of a win in 2024 and a T2nd the year prior. He still ranks top 40 in SG:OTT, is above field average on approach, his downfall has just been his abysmal putting this year. I’m going to take the risk given how strong he’s been at this venue.

Paul Peterson ($6,300 DraftKings/$7,000 FanDuel)

Peterson is yet another debutant in the field this week, but I’m not sure if there is another golfer who lines up better for this field on paper than he does. He’s the single most accurate player on tour off the tee, is top 10 in proximity and above field average in each of our approach buckets. He’s been a fine scorer, but my interest lies more in his bogey avoidance skills, where he’s been top 25 on tour in 2025. Random players win at this event, and Peterson might just be the next in that lineage. 

 

 

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