The NHL action on Monday, November 10, features a key matchup between the Columbus Blue Jackets and the Edmonton Oilers at 8:30 PM, along with other games like the New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils, Nashville Predators at New York Rangers, and Florida Panthers at Vegas Golden Knights. We're honing in on two strong underdog picks for this slate, backed by player stats, recent trends, and matchup analysis from the 2025-26 season. These projections factor in averages, form, and team defensive weaknesses to highlight value playss

 

 

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Connor McDavid Underdog NHL Pick: Higher than 1.5 Points

McDavid faces a favorable opportunity against the Columbus Blue Jackets in this home game for the Oilers. Through 16 games this season, McDavid has tallied 22 points, good for an average of 1.38 points per game. His production has picked up lately, with 8 points over the last five outings for a 1.6 points-per-game clip. This includes multi-point performances in four of those games, showing his ability to rack up assists and goals when the matchups align.The Blue Jackets' defense presents a prime spot for McDavid to shine. Columbus ranks poorly in key metrics, allowing 3.21 goals per game and 32.79 shots against per game, while their penalty kill sits at a weak 70.73 percent. McDavid thrives on the power play and in transition, where the Blue Jackets have struggled with even-strength save percentage and expected goals against.

 

 

Zach Werenski Underdog NHL Pick: Higher than 3.5 Shots on Goal

Werenski, the Blue Jackets' top defenseman, is poised to pepper the net in this road tilt against the Oilers. In 14 games this season, Werenski has fired 51 shots on goal, averaging 3.64 per game. His volume has been consistent overall, with seven games featuring four or more shots, including highs of seven in two early matchups. Over the last five games, he has 17 shots for a 3.4 average, but the fluctuation (ranging from 2 to 5) often tilts higher when Columbus pushes offensively.Edmonton's defense allows 3.44 goals per game but limits opponents to just 25.50 shots per game, with an 81.82 percent penalty kill. However, Werenski's role as a quarterback on the power play and his willingness to shoot from the point could exploit any gaps, especially if the game opens up. The Oilers have shown vulnerabilities in high-danger goals against and expected goals metrics, giving Werenski room to generate attempts.

 

 

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