AFC East Fantasy Football Coaching Guide 2026: Schemes, Play Calling & Player Outlooks
Buffalo Bills
- Head Coach: Joe Brady (Offensive Play Caller)
- Offensive Coordinator: Pete Carmichael
- Defensive Coordinator: Jim Leonhard (Defensive Play Caller)
- Offensive System: Erhardt-Perkins Offense – A run-first system that utilizes play action to create big plays down the field.
Bills Offensive Breakdown
Ownership finally got sick and tired of seven straight playoff exits, pulled the trigger on Sean McDermott, and handed the head coaching keys to offensive mastermind Joe Brady. The numbers don't lie: Brady turned this unit from 11th in offensive EPA in 2023 into the 2nd and 3rd ranked efficiency juggernauts over the last two seasons. This is Josh Allen’s offense through and through. Allen has complete autonomy to check in and out of plays at the line, which means pre-snap hand signals and high football IQ are mandatory, one of the reasons why low-IQ guys like Keon Coleman can't stay on the field in this scheme.
| Bills Blocking Scheme - 2025 | |
| Block Type | % of Plays |
| Inside Zone | 31.5% |
| Outside Zone | 24.2% |
| Power/Gap | 24.0% |
| Pin & Pull | 12.6% |
| Wide Zone | 7.5% |
| Bills Personnel Packages - 2025 | |
| Grouping (#RB-#TE) | % of Plays |
| 1-1 (3WR) | 61.1% |
| 2-2 (1WR) | 13.3% |
| 1-2 (2WR) | 11.5% |
| 2-1 (2WR) | 8.7% |
| 1-3 (1WR) | 4.6% |
| 0-2 (3WR) | 0.4% |
| 1-0 (4WR) | 0.1% |
| 0-1 (4WR) | 0.1% |
| 0-0 (5WR) | 0.0% |
The Ground Attack: Laying the Foundation
Joe Brady knows that to build a killer, explosive passing attack, you have to establish a dominant ground game first. Buffalo ranked second in overall offensive success rate last year because they keep it simple: win on early downs and stay ahead of the chains.
- The Scheme & Personnel: Expect heavy usage of jumbo personnel—multiple running backs and tight ends on the field together—mixed with heavy pre-snap motion. Brady uses that motion to alter blocking numbers on the fly, creating clear numerical advantages against defensive zones.
- The Backfield Rotation: The workload on the ground will feature a mix of Josh Allen, James Cook, and Ty Johnson. Cook is a pure zone runner rather than a power/gap guy, but he thrives in this system because Allen’s lethal power-running ability draws elite attention from defensive fronts.
- Fantasy Outlook: Cook has finished as the fantasy RB8 and RB6 over the last two seasons while racking up an absurd 32 touchdowns. Even with left guard David Edwards departing in the offseason—a clear downgrade for an offensive line tasked with running complex, highly adaptable rushing schemes—do not hesitate to draft Cook with absolute confidence.
The Passing Game: Speed, Precision, and New Weapons
Once the run game sets the stage, Brady’s passing system takes over to chop up defenses with quick, surgical efficiency. Brady didn't overhaul Josh Allen; he just forced him to get the ball out faster and work the middle of the field. The result? A boosted completion percentage and an 80% reduction in turnovers, including career-low interception rates over the past two years.
- New Targets in Town: The wide receiver room gets a massive upgrade with DJ Moore and rookie Skyler Bell. Both excel on shallow crossers and stick routes, allowing Allen to get the rock out fast and let his playmakers gobble up Yards After Catch (YAC).
- The DJ Moore Effect: Moore reunites with Brady, who called plays during Moore's career-best stretch in Carolina (including his monster 2023 campaign). Moore immediately slots in as Allen’s true WR1 and represents the best target Buffalo has had since Stefon Diggs (who averaged 161 targets, 111 catches, 1,343 yards, 9 TDs, and 299.3 fantasy points per year during his Pro Bowl run). Moore boasts an elite, league-winning ceiling heading into 2026 if he stays fully locked in.
- Tight End Watch: Keep a very close eye on Dalton Kincaid. He was on an absolute tear before a Week 6 injury halted his season—pacing for 225.6 fantasy points, which would have ranked TE2 overall. His health and positional limits late last year were the primary catalyst for Buffalo’s offseason receiver makeover, making him a prime bounce-back candidate.
Best Fits for This Offense: Josh Allen, James Cook, DJ Moore, Dalton Kincaid
Worst Fits for This Offense: Keon Coleman
Bills Defensive Breakdown
- Defensive System: 3-4, hybrid with multi-tendencies
- Base Secondary Coverage: Cover-3 primary coverages
If you thought the offense in Buffalo had some shake-ups, wait until you see what’s going down on the defensive side of the ball. The Sean McDermott era—where the defense was as well-conditioned and predictable as your local bank’s interest rates—is officially over. In steps new defensive coordinator Jim Leonhard, fresh off directing the NFL’s top defense in Denver as their pass game coordinator. Leonhard is throwing McDermott's static approach in the trash and installing a versatile, opponent-specific 3-4 base scheme designed to keep opposing play-callers guessing every single snap.
The Defensive Front: Setting the Edge & Walloping the Run
For years, the Bills had a glaring, soft underbelly: whenever star tackle Ed Oliver went down, this defense bled out against the run. Opponents knew it, exploited it, and dared Buffalo to stop them. Enter Jim Leonhard’s solution: the "Tite" front.
- The Scheme Adjustment: Leonhard runs a "tite" alignment where two defensive linemen line up in four-technique positions, directly inside the shoulders of the offensive tackles.
- Stopping the Bleeding: This alignment clogs up interior rushing lanes and physically prevents offensive guards from climbing to the second level to block linebackers. The main objective? Eliminate those back-breaking, explosive runs that plagued Buffalo in recent seasons.
- Pass Rush Impact: By shutting down the run inside, Buffalo's edge rushers get total freedom to disrupt plays rather than just teeing off on third down. A healthy Bradley Chubb is a seamless fit for this system and could be absolute money here—assuming his body holds up.
The Secondary & Coverage Report: Disguises, Single-High, and Secondary Turnover
Forget the continuous two-high safety shells of the McDermott era; Buffalo averaged the fourth-fewest single-high alignments over the last three years. Under Leonhard, that script gets completely flipped upside-down.
- Pre-Snap Deception: Expect a heavy dosage of single-high looks, with the secondary constantly rotating setups right as the ball is snapped. They’ll lean heavily into Cover-3 on early downs before shifting to aggressive Cover-1 man-to-man on key third-down situations.
- New Safety Tandem: To execute this disguise-heavy scheme, Buffalo brought in versatile, heavy-hitting veteran safeties Geno Stone and CJ Gardner-Johnson. Both guys excel at making plays against the run while possessing the range to drop into single-high coverage, giving Leonhard the ideal tools to force quarterbacks into panic mode.
- Fantasy Takeaway & Outlook: Make no mistake—this secondary is going to be a work in progress through training camp and early in the season. With a massive influx of new veteran faces and young draft picks learning complex pre-snap rotations, expect a few growing pains. But once this group clicks, the sheer versatility will make Buffalo's defense far more dangerous—and far less predictable—heading into 2026.
| Bills Man vs Zone Breakdown | |
| Category | 2025 |
| Man % | 25.8% |
| Man Coverage Rank | 15 |
| Zone % | 70.2% |
| Zone Coverage Rank | 18 |
Best Fits for This Defense: Ed Oliver, Bradley Chubb, Geno Stone
Worst Fits for This Defense: T.J. Sanders, Dee Alford
Miami Dolphins
- Head Coach: Jeff Hafley (Defensive Play Caller)
- Offensive Coordinator: Bobby Slowik (Offensive Play Caller)
- Defensive Coordinator: Sean Duggan
- Offensive System: West Coast Offense – Relies upon short, high-percentage pass plays instead of power rushing. The short passes set up outside runs and deep passes in hopes of surprising the defense. There is a high volume of plays in a West Coast system.
Dolphins Offensive Breakdown
Welcome to the new-look Miami Dolphins offense. Mike McDaniel may be gone, but new head coach Jeff Hafley retained Bobby Slowik—who served as Miami's Senior Passing Game Coordinator in 2025—to keep this run game firing on all cylinders. Slowik brings that famed Kyle Shanahan West Coast coaching tree system to South Beach. Expect heavy usage of tight formations with bunch sets, allowing receivers a "two-way go" at the snap to shred press coverage, all mixed into heavy "11" and "12" personnel groupings.
| Dolphins Blocking Scheme - 2025 | |
| Block Type | % of Plays |
| Outside Zone | 32.8% |
| Power/Gap | 29.6% |
| Inside Zone | 26.1% |
| Wide Zone | 8.3% |
| Pin & Pull | 3.0% |
| Dolphins Personnel Package - 2025 | |
| Grouping (#RB-#TE) | % of Plays |
| 1-1 (3WR) | 41.6% |
| 2-1 (2RB) | 29.4% |
| 1-2 (2WR) | 11.2% |
| 2-2 (2TE) | 10.3% |
| 2-0 (3WR) | 5.1% |
| 1-0 (4WR) | 1.2% |
| 1-3 (1WR) | 0.7% |
| 0-2 (3WR) | 0.2% |
| 2-3 (0WR) | 0.1% |
The Ground Game: Establish the Wide Zone First
Slowik literally went to war in Houston to protect his wide zone rushing scheme, and it’s crystal clear why Miami wanted him around. The game plan here is simple: run heavy on early downs, stay ahead of the sticks, and let the run game set up everything else.
- The Breakout Superstar: This entire offense revolves around De'Von Achane. Achane averages over six yards per carry on outside zone runs and possesses home-run speed every single time he touches the rock.
- Blocking Concepts: Expect plenty of "duo" concepts where tight ends or fullbacks pull to seal off edge defenders or defensive tackles, giving Achane clean lanes to burst into the second level.
- The QB Factor: With Malik Willis stepping under center, this becomes an "11-on-11" rushing attack. Defenses must respect Willis' athletic ability on RPOs and option looks. Having a true running threat at quarterback takes one extra defender out of the box, opening up even wider lanes for Achane.
- Fantasy Takeaway: Achane is the clear focal point of this team on the ground and will get all the high-value volume he can handle. Just keep an eye on game flow—Miami's defense is in a total teardown rebuild, so negative script could force them away from the ground game early.
The Passing Attack: Play-Action, Drift Routes, and WR Question Marks
Because Slowik wants every offensive snap to mirror a run play before the QB pulls the ball back, the passing attack leans heavily on play-action fakes.
- Attacking the Middle: Play-action fakes pull linebackers forward, opening up massive real estate for "drift" routes into vacated zones. This translates to monster target volume for guys lined up in the slot, on the line of scrimmage, or out of the backfield—meaning Achane, Malik Washington, and tight end Greg Dulcich will see plenty of work. Achane could legitimately lead this entire team in targets out of the backfield. While Dulcich will get his fair share of underneath looks, don't expect enough consistency for a major fantasy splash.
- Deep Shots & Coverage Stretch: To keep safeties from squatting, Slowik loves dual deep route combinations (one wideout running a go/post while another crosses underneath). Miami loaded up on young speedsters like Jalen Tolbert, Caleb Douglas, Chris Bell, and Kevin Coleman this offseason to stretch the field.
- The Quarterback & WR Outlook: How valuable this wide receiver room becomes hinges entirely on Malik Willis. He was a complete disaster in Tennessee before showing real flashes in Green Bay filling in for Jordan Love. Without an established alpha WR, it's tough to trust any Miami wideout in seasonal draft formats right now.
- Dynasty Stash Alert: Keep a close eye on rookie Chris Bell. He will likely start the season on the PUP list and get brought along slowly, but he has the highest long-term ceiling of the group. If he builds chemistry with Willis late in the year, Bell could be the ultimate dynasty stash from this rookie class.
Best Fits for This Offense: Malik Willis, De'Von Achane
Worst Fits for This Offense: Ollie Gordon, Tutu Atwell
Dolphins Defensive Breakdown
- Defensive Front Setup: 4-2-5 with some multi-front
- Base Secondary Coverage: Mix of Cover-2 & Cover-3 Zone
Head coach Jeff Hafley is taking over defensive play-calling duties in 2026, with Sean Duggan—his right-hand man from Green Bay—serving as defensive coordinator. This defense is going through a massive, chaotic overhaul while paired with a rebuilding offense, and frankly, it is going to be a bumpy ride. Let's dive straight into how this unit is going to operate up front before breaking down what's happening in the secondary.
The Defensive Front: "Amoeba" Concepts & A Dangerous Run-Defense Flaw
Hafley and Duggan are deploying a dynamic, highly unpredictable front that will constantly switch between three, four, and five-man defensive lines. They’ll utilize an "amoeba front"—a pre-snap circus featuring standing linemen, crouching rushers, and safeties creeping down toward the line to create simulated pressures and confuse opposing quarterbacks.
- The Wide-Nine Warning: Here’s what I absolutely hate about this setup: they are using a "Wide Nine" alignment for their edge rushers. By placing edge rushers outside the shoulders of offensive tackles, they leave massive, wide-open lanes straight through the middle of the interior line. Opposing offenses are going to gash Miami on the ground all season long—target your fantasy running backs heavily against Miami this year!
- Rotational Rushers: Even though Miami boasts individual talent upfront with Chop Robinson, Kenneth Grant, David Ojabo, and Josh Uche, this personnel simply doesn't fit Hafley’s system gracefully. Furthermore, Hafley plans to rotate these edge rushers in and out heavily, making it nearly impossible for any single pass rusher to rack up elite, consistent sack or tackle totals.
- Linebacker Goldmine (IDP Alert): While the team may bleed rushing yards, that volume has to land somewhere on the stat sheet. Middle linebackers Jordyn Brooks and Jacob Rodriguez are set up to rack up monster tackle counts. Both need to be prioritized in seasonal IDP and dynasty IDP drafts.
The Secondary & Coverage Report: Pre-Snap Disguises and Cover-3 Shells
Moving to the back half, this secondary is wildly inexperienced and undergoing massive personnel turnover. Because the unit lacks elite individual shutdown talent, Hafley and Duggan are prioritizing position versatility over specialized coverage skills.
- Positionless DBs: Miami wants multi-dimensional defensive backs who can play outside, in the slot, inside the box, or drop deep. The goal is unit cohesion—using collective movement to mask individual coverage weaknesses and keep quarterbacks guessing.
- Bending, Not Breaking: The top priority for this secondary is preventing the big chunk play downfield and forcing everything in front of them. Expect Miami to fall back into Cover-3 as their base shell, though they will almost never show it pre-snap. They'll shift and rotate their coverage map constantly right up until the ball is snapped and receivers break into their routes.
- Bottom Line: Between a weak run-defense front, a young secondary trying to gel on the fly, and a rebuilding offense putting them on the field constantly, this unit will give up plenty of fantasy points. Look elsewhere for team DSTs, but smash those interior linebackers in IDP leagues!
| Dolphins Man vs Zone Breakdown | |
| Category | 2025 |
| Man % | 25.8% |
| Man Coverage Rank | 17 |
| Zone % | 73.8% |
| Zone Coverage Rank | 16 |
Best Fits for This Defense: Kenneth Grant, Jordyn Brooks, Jacob Rodriguez
Worst Fits for This Defense: Lonnie Johnson, JuJu Brents
New England Patriots
- Head Coach: Mike Vrabel
- Offensive Coordinator: Josh McDaniels (Offensive Play Caller)
- Defensive Coordinator: Zak Kuhr (Defensive Play Caller)
- Erhardt-Perkins Offense – A run-first system that utilizes play action to create big plays down the field.
Patriots Offensive Breakdown
The New England Patriots are rolling out an offense that leans into spread concepts—stretching defenses out horizontally and vertically—while running everything through a high-octane Run-Pass-Option (RPO) system. Spread formations with heavy pre-snap motion give Drake Maye clean reads, afford receivers free releases off the line, and leave defenses guessing like they’re watching a game of three-card monte. Let's break down how this impacts your fantasy drafts, starting in the trenches with the ground game.
| Patriots Blocking Scheme - 2025 | |
| Block Type | % of Plays |
| Power/Gap | 39.1% |
| Outside Zone | 21.2% |
| Inside Zone | 19.2% |
| Pin & Pull | 12.6% |
| Wide Zone | 7.7% |
| Patriots Personnel Package - 2025 | |
| Grouping (#RB-#TE) | % of Plays |
| 1-1 (3WR) | 50.7% |
| 1-2 (2WR) | 21.1% |
| 2-1 (2RB) | 18.3% |
| 2-2 (2WR) | 8.5% |
| 1-3 (1WR) | 0.0% |
| 1-0 (4WR) | 0.6% |
| 0-1 (4WR) | 0.1% |
| 2-0 (3WR) | 0.7% |
| 0-2 (3WR) | 0.0% |
The Ground Game: Power/Gap Scheming and a Backfield Dilemma
Forget the outside zone experiments of the past; New England is firmly committed to a power/gap rushing scheme. This offense finished as the sixth-highest rushing unit in the league last year, producing three different players with 100+ carries. The front office doubled down this offseason, bolstering line depth with OG Alijah Vera-Tucker along with tackles Caleb Lomu and Dametrious Crownover to establish a true blue-collar identity.
- Rhamondre Stevenson vs. TreVeyon Henderson: Everyone wants to crown rookie phenom TreVeyon Henderson, but don't count out Rhamondre Stevenson. Stevenson thrives in this power/gap concept. Meanwhile, Henderson was used primarily on zone runs and was—quite frankly—a liability in pass protection last year. While the Patriots can hide some of that with heavy formations and motion, those setups tip off the defense. Unless Henderson dramatically upgrades his pass-blocking this summer, expect this backfield to remain a chopped-up, frustrating committee.
- The Drake Maye Mobility Factor: Maye isn't just handing off; he's a legit threat in the RPO game. With fullbacks sealing lead blocks or leaking out as swing options, Maye's rushing floor is very real—as evidenced by his 450 rushing yards and four ground scores last season.
The Passing Attack: Progression Reads and an Embarrassment of Riches
When Maye drops back, he’s orchestrated in a system heavily utilizing "levels" concepts—short in-routes, deeper intermediate routes, and vertical shots designed to clear out safeties. Last year, Stefon Diggs owned the intermediate game while Kayshon Boutte and Mack Hollins hit paydirt downfield. Now, the dynamic gets dialed up to eleven.
- New Elite Route Runners: The addition of A.J. Brown and Romeo Doubs gives New England two premier, precise route runners who command respect underneath. Their presence creates wide-open lanes for run-after-the-catch (YAC) damage while forcing safeties to creep up—opening up those deep vertical shots over the top.
- The Fantasy Conundrum: Maye has a full arsenal at his disposal, but here is the million-dollar question: How does Maye satisfy all these big-time egos with target volume? The short answer is he probably won't. Dating back through two years of college and two years in the pros, Maye's M.O. is clear: he spreads the football around to whoever is open. Expect big team production, but expect individual weekly fantasy output for these receivers to be a bit of a rollercoaster.
Best Fits for This Offense: Drake Maye, A.J. Brown, Romeo Doubs
Worst Fits for This Offense: TreVeyon Henderson
Patriots Defensive Breakdown
- Defensive Front Setup: 3-4 Base, Multi Front
- Base Secondary Coverage: Split Safety Cover-4 & Cover-1 Man
Let’s pivot over to the defensive side of the ball for the New England Patriots. First off, we've got a fantastic off-field story here: Terrell Williams, now officially cancer-free, is back as assistant head coach, while 38-year-old Zak Kuhr takes the reins as the full-time defensive coordinator after stepping up and leading this unit all the way to the Super Bowl last season.
Now, Kuhr spent most of his early career on the offensive side of the ball before joining Mike Vrabel’s staff in Tennessee. Is he a defensive mastermind or did he just walk into a pristine situation in Foxborough? The jury is still out, and frankly, I need to see him replicate that success in 2026 before I completely buy into the hype. That said, head coach Mike Vrabel’s philosophy remains the heartbeat of this team: control the clock, dominate territory, and—above all else—smother the run game.
The Defensive Front: Mass, Two-Gap Principles, and Stopping the Run First
Make no mistake: stopping the run is the absolute priority of this defense every single week, no exceptions. Vrabel’s philosophy centers on confusing the quarterback and letting pressures happen naturally through execution rather than mindlessly selling out on the blitz.
- The Setup: New England runs an old-school, heavy 3-4 base setup featuring a massive nose tackle alongside two ultra-versatile linemen who can rotate between interior and exterior gaps.
- Two-Gap Control: Every defensive lineman holds two-gap responsibility. By occupying mass at the line of scrimmage, they prevent offensive linemen from getting to the second level, freeing up the linebackers to attack downhill or rush the passer.
- Situational Adjustments: Against heavy zone-running teams, expect Kuhr to stack extra bodies directly on the line of scrimmage to shut down running lanes.
- Pass Rush Outlook: During the regular season, New England boasted the 10th-highest blitz rate at 25.9%, but they dialed that up to a staggering 50.9% during their playoff run. To generate a more consistent organic pass rush without selling out, the Patriots added edge rushers Dre'Mont Jones and Gabe Jacas to bolster the rotation.
The Secondary & Coverage Report: Dynamic Disguises and Adaptability
If you aren't hitting the playbook, you aren't stepping foot on the field for this Patriots defense. Kuhr demands total versatility from his secondary, adjusting assignments constantly based on opponent tendencies, down, and distance.
- Base Shells: On early and neutral downs, New England typically starts in a two-high split-safety look, shifting fluidly into Cover-2 or Cover-4 zone setups right before the snap.
- Countering "Heavy" Personnel: When opponents roll out multiple tight ends or running backs, the secondary immediately flips to a Cover-1 man setup. They load up the box to deny zone-rushing lanes, daring opposing quarterbacks to beat them with low-percentage throws down the sideline.
- The Pre-Snap Trap: One of Kuhr’s favorite tricks is showing aggressive press-man coverage before the snap, only to have his defensive backs bail out into a high Cover-3 at the snap. The goal is simple: bait the quarterback into thinking he has a receiver beat downfield, only to throw it right into a waiting safety.
- Fantasy/DST Takeaway: While Vrabel's style won't always yield eye-popping sack totals every week, the discipline, takeaways, and game-flow control make this New England unit a rock-solid, matchup-dependent target for fantasy DST streamers.
| Patriots Man vs Zone Breakdown | |
| Category | 2025 |
| Man % | 29.7% |
| Man Coverage Rank | 12 |
| Zone % | 69.9% |
| Zone Coverage Rank | 19 |
Best Fits for This Defense: Robert Spillane, Christian Gonzalez, Kevin Byard
Worst Fits for This Defense: Cory Durden
New York Jets
- Head Coach: Aaron Glenn (Defensive Play Caller)
- Offensive Coordinator: Frank Reich (Offensive Play Caller)
- Defensive Coordinator: Brian Duker
- West Coast Offense: Relies upon short, high-percentage pass plays instead of power rushing. The short passes set up outside runs and deep passes in hopes of surprising the defense. There is a high volume of plays in a West Coast system.
Jets Offensive Breakdown
I'll do my best to be impartial here, but you all know how I feel about the team being a (pathetic) life-long Jets fan. So here it goes:
Head coach Aaron Glenn brought in veteran caller Frank Reich to run this offense. Now, the last time we saw Reich in control was Week 12 of the 2023 season, and if you were hoping he spent his hiatus modernizing his playbook, I’ve got bad news for you. This is a standard, throwback West Coast scheme. The success of this unit is going to land squarely on the coaching staff's shoulders—and frankly, if Reich hasn't updated his tricks, this offense could be in for a bumpy ride. Let's dive in, starting with the backfield dynamics on the ground.
| Jets Blocking Scheme - 2025 | |
| Block Type | % of Plays |
| Inside Zone | 37.20% |
| Outside Zone | 25.20% |
| Power/Gap | 24.30% |
| Wide Zone | 9.40% |
| Pin & Pull | 3.60% |
| Jets Personnel Package - 2025 | |
| Grouping (#RB-#TE) | % of Plays |
| 1-1 (3WR) | 67.6% |
| 1-2 (2WR) | 20.2% |
| 2-1 (2RB) | 6.2% |
| 2-2 (1WR) | 2.6% |
| 2-2 (1WR) | 2.5% |
| 1-3 (1WR) | 0.3% |
| 2-3 (0WR) | 0.1% |
| 1-0 (4WR) | 0.0% |
| 0-2 (3WR) | 0.0% |
The Ground Game: Simplified Concepts & A Frustrating Committee Plan
Compared to last year’s scheme under Tanner Engstrand, Reich is dialing things back to a much simpler rushing approach. The Jets will operate primarily as an inside zone team, interweaving duo runs and counter plays to keep defenses honest.
- Rushing Mechanics: The zone scheme relies on double-team blocks up front to carve out inside cut-back lanes. On duo plays, interior linemen, tight ends, or fullbacks pull out to seal the edge, setting up one-on-one matchups for the back. The counter plays let the back drift with the flow of the blocking before cutting back against the grain, using the defense’s aggressive pursuit against them.
- The Tailback Fits: Breece Hall possesses the elite agility and lateral movement to absolutely feast in this setup. On the flip side, power back Braelon Allen doesn't look like a natural fit for these counter and zone concepts.
- The Fantasy Head-Scratcher: Aaron Glenn has repeatedly stated this offseason that he plans to split touches among three running backs: Hall, Allen, and Isaiah Davis. Let’s call it what it is—that is profoundly stupid. Breece Hall is the single best weapon on this entire offense. When he’s off the field, opposing defenses breathe a massive sigh of relief. Limiting his touches only hurts the Jets and infuriates fantasy managers.
The Passing Attack: Old-School West Coast & Geno Smith's Return
When the Jets drop back to pass, expect a high-autonomy system where the quarterback has full control at the line of scrimmage. Reich will give his QB a three-play directive in the helmet, allowing him to check protections, routes, or play calls based on pre-snap defensive alignments. That need for a veteran processing mind is precisely why New York swallowed its pride and re-signed former second-round pick Geno Smith.
- Passing Concepts: Reich relies heavily on overload concepts—flooding one zone with three receivers to force defenders to pick their poison—and mesh concepts, using short drag routes through the middle as an immediate safety valve. While overload concepts were great a decade ago, modern match-zone and overlaying man coverages make these reads tough on the QB.
- Pass Catchers & Target Hierarchy: Garrett Wilson remains the oil that makes this entire engine hum. Geno Smith’s fantasy viability—and the team's offensive ceiling—begins and ends with how often he can feed Wilson the football. Behind Wilson, the Jets have intriguing options in trade acquisition Adonai Mitchell (a legitimate big-play threat), alongside rookies Omar Cooper and Kenyon Sadiq.
- The Geno Concern: Smith has 12 years of NFL experience with maybe two decent seasons to show for it. My biggest concern with Geno in this scheme is his tendency to check down. Fantasy managers still have nightmares of Geno purposely bypassing deep shots to DK Metcalf in Seattle just to protect his completion percentage. If he plays timid with the football, it's going to cap the upside of this entire passing attack.
Best Fits for This Offense: Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson, Adonai Mitchell
Worst Fits for This Offense: Braelon Allen, Omar Cooper Jr.
Jets Defensive Breakdown
- Defensive Front Setup: 3-4 multiple
- Base Secondary Coverage: Match Coverage with heavy Man Tendencies
If you needed any more proof that head coach Aaron Glenn is just throwing stuff against the wall and hoping something sticks, look no further than his latest hiring circus. Glenn appointed Brian Duker—a lifetime secondary coach—as defensive coordinator. The Jets completely wiped the slate clean from 2025, tearing down their 4-3 base, dumping superstars Quinnen Williams and Sauce Gardner, and pivoting to a 3-4 setup.
They spent big money and high draft capital rebuilding this defense, but pairing a man-coverage maven like Glenn with a position-rotation coordinator like Duker makes this whole marriage feel downright awkward. Let’s break down how this mess shakes out on the field.
The Defensive Front: The "Mint" Scheme & Massive Interior Beef
The centerpiece of this new 3-4 transition is a "Mint" front designed to plug the interior gaps, clog up the middle, and forcefully funnel all running plays toward the perimeter.
- Interior Wall: The front office telegraphed this scheme change by bringing in serious size. They traded for T'Vondre Sweat—literally the biggest nose tackle in the league to sit directly over the center—and signed former Falcons DT David Onyemata alongside Harrison Phillips. That is a pure ton of interior beef occupying the guard-and-center gaps.
- The "Jack" Linebacker Role: The engine of this front is the "Jack" linebacker, who roams the line to find soft spots, sets the edge against RPOs, and redirects ball-carriers back inside into that massive interior wall. While rookie pure pass-rusher David Bailey takes on this role, tackle-monster Demario Davis sits inside waiting to mop up whatever leaks out.
- Pass Rush Rotation: Even with the scheme overhaul, the Jets possess a formidable edge-rushing trio in Bailey, Joseph Ossai, and Will McDonald. Expect Duker to rotate them frequently to keep everyone fresh.
The Secondary & Coverage Report: Zone Shifts and DFS Target Schemes
Moving to the back half, the trade of Sauce Gardner last season was the major domino that shifted Gang Green from a heavy man-coverage unit to a zone-centric approach.
- Length & Ball Skills in Zone: Instead of Glenn’s traditional "CAT" (cover-your-cat) man-to-man setup, Duker prioritizes zone coverage and position flexibility. Outside cornerbacks Nashon Wright and Brandon Stephens bring exceptional length to cover massive real estate in zone schemes, allowing Wright to use his elite ball skills across the field.
- Addressing the Interception Drought: The 2025 Jets famously went the entire season without a single interception. They addressed that embarrassing stat by adding Wright (5 INTs), safety Minkah Fitzpatrick, and rookie CB D'Angelo Ponds. Mark my words right now: I officially guarantee the Jets will record an interception in 2026.
- Fantasy & DFS Takeaways: Because running against this massive interior front is going to be a nightmare, opposing offenses will be forced to take to the air early and often. Teams will naturally avoid testing the safety coverage over the top and focus on picking apart secondary matchups. The wide receiver lined up opposite Brandon Stephens is going to see heavy target volume—make that receiver a high-priority target for your DFS lineups and season-long match-ups every single week!
| Jets Man vs Zone Breakdown | |
| Category | 2025 |
| Man % | 35.60% |
| Man Coverage Rank | 5 |
| Zone % | 63.80% |
| Zone Coverage Rank | 27 |
Best Fits for This Defense: T'Vondre Sweat, Demario Davis, Minkah Fitzpatrick
Worst Fits for This Defense: Will McDonald, Jarvis Brownlee
