Nerlens Noel , C NYK ($5,500)

Things couldn’t have been any worse for the Knicks on Tuesday, so the expectation is that New York bounces back in a big way tonight against a Pistons team that played last night. The Knicks didn’t have any issues dispatching the Pistons on Sunday and Noel played a large part in that with eight points and 11 rebounds on the way to 40.5 FD points. A “normal” or without upside performance from the center gets us around 25 FD points so he is pretty consistent while also providing us with the possibility for 40 points as his short-term playing time has increased with the injuries to Mitchell Robinson and now temporarily Taj Gibson as well.

Daniel Theis , PF BOS ($4,900)

Theis is slated to remain in the starting lineup and he hasn’t disappointed while averaging 29 minutes per game across his last three games. For the first two games of that stretch, we saw the peak of Theis’ upside as he put up 34.3 and 36.3 FD points and Tuesday’s performance of 20.7 FD showed us his floor. He took a few less shots on Tuesday as his scoring fell to nine points after scoring 17 and 20 points respectively, but it’s not like Theis came out of nowhere either. As long as Boston is committed to giving him the playing time, Theis remains a bargain as even at his floor, there is a path to a 4x-5x return at an affordable price.

Justin Holiday , SF IND ($4,500)

Holliday consistently plays over 30 minutes a night and he is not shy about getting his shot up; especially from behind the arc. In his last 10 games, Holliday is averaging 34 minutes of playing time and 10 field goal attempts (eight of which were three-pointers) which was good for 12 points, four rebounds and three assists per game. At that rate, we are talking 23.5 FD points a game, which while it is not spectacular, gets you a 5x return at minimum. Offense will not be in short supply tonight against Denver, and if Holliday takes 13 shots like he did last night, chances are he makes more than three of them. However even with the poor shooting night, he still returned value.


Dennis Smith , PG DET ($4,800)

I don’t like repeating myself here, but Smith is coming off a triple-double last night and it’s simply not reflecting itself in his price, so back to Smith we go. While he did score 17 points a few games ago, Smith generally doesn’t stray much from the 10.8 points per game he is averaging since entering the starting lineup for Detroit, but he has shown the ability to fill up the overall stat sheet. That was on display last night as he grabbed 12 rebounds while dishing out 11 assists and picking up three steals on his way to 51.50 DK points. Even taking last night out of the equation, Smith has been a lock for roughly 30 DK points in this recent stretch.

Terence Davis, PG/SG TOR ($3,700)

Toronto is back in action for the second time in as many nights, and they are missing multiple key pieces, which includes Fred VanVleet in the backcourt. Davis will see himself in the starting lineup once again and that means he likely see about 20 or so minutes of playing time. Last night that meant six points, three rebounds, two assists, and two steals which was good for 15.25 DK points. There’s nothing great to see here, but Davis did attempt 11 shots from the field and he is consistently good for a few three-pointers as well. It doesn’t get much cheaper than Davis tonight and it’s all about chasing that upside with what is close to a free square.

Brad Wanamaker , PG GS ($3,000)

Take what we said about Davis when it comes to price and opportunity, and transfer it down to Wanamaker. The Golden State point guard is even cheaper as he gets the start tonight with Stephen Curry sidelined. Two weeks ago, Wanamaker got the start in Charlotte when Curry was sidelined, and he make good use of his 34 minutes of playing time as he scored 14 points to go along with five assists which contributed to a 30.75 DK fantasy point night. If he receives similar playing time tonight, we can allow ourselves to dream at a 10x return.