We’re headed south of the border this weekend with our Viva Mexico 250 Best Bets. This is the first-ever Cup Series points race in Mexico—and this track’s no joke. The Viva México 250 brings us to Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez: 17 turns, long straights, brutal braking zones, and over 7,000 feet of elevation that’ll push engines and drivers to their limit. You blow a corner here, your day’s done. Check out our Viva Mexico 250 Best Bets below. 

Let’s break it down—two favorites, two value plays, two longshots, and three props with bite. Don't miss these NASCAR picks for Sunday's race. 

 

 

 

Viva Mexico 250 Betting Trends & Strategy

Elevation. Emotion. Strategy. We’ve never seen a Cup race quite like this—and the board reflects it. Bettors should target proven road course talent, smart setups, and drivers with something real to race for. Whether it’s SVG’s precision, Suárez’s emotional fire, or McDowell’s experience, there’s value all over Mexico City. 

Let's now get to the Viva Mexico 250 Best Bets and NASCAR Picks for Sunday, June 15th. 

 

 

 

Viva Mexico 250 Best Bets: Winner Predictions

Shane van Gisbergen (+375 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

SVG is priced like a chalk for a reason. Four road wins between Cup and Xfinity. He broke the sport open at Chicago, then went back-to-back in Portland and Sonoma. He’s been up and down in 2025, but when we go road racing, he flips the table. His braking control is elite, his mindset is surgical, and with a playoff bid likely riding on a win, he’s going full-send in Mexico.

Tyler Reddick (+800 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

Reddick is one of the most efficient road racers in the game right now. Three Cup wins on road layouts—COTA, Indy, Road America—and he nearly added another this year with a third-place finish at COTA after running sixth on average all day. No DNFs this season, five top-10s, three top-5s, and always in the mix. If you want a guy with both floor and ceiling, Reddick’s it.

 

 

 

Viva Mexico 250 Predictions 2025 - Long Shot Winners

AJ Allmendinger (+1400 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

Nobody questions the Dinger on a road course. Three Cup wins. Dozens in Xfinity. He had top-10 pace at COTA before a loose wheel wrecked his run—average running position was sixth. Kaulig has shown legit gains this year, and AJ’s sitting just outside the playoff line. If they give him a clean car, this number will look like a gift.

Daniel Suárez (+1700 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

The emotional center of this race. Mexico’s own Suárez needs a win to salvage his season, and he’s got a real shot. He won Sonoma in 2022, qualified fifth at COTA earlier this year, and while the finishes have been inconsistent, the speed’s there. Trackhouse will throw everything at this weekend. The narrative is real, and the talent backs it.

Michael McDowell (+3000 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

McDowell is the road course sleeper you never want to ignore. Two Cup wins—Daytona 500 and Indy—and 11 of his 45 career top-10s have come on road layouts. He led laps at COTA this year and finished 11th. Mexico’s tight layout fits his open-wheel roots. If this turns into a fuel-mileage chess match, Front Row knows how to play it.

Alex Bowman (+3500 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

Bowman doesn’t get enough love on road courses. He was fourth at COTA this year and fifth at Indy last season. His average finish over the last five road races? 11.6. Only one finish outside the top 15. He’s got smooth hands, Hendrick speed, and sneaky upside if this race breaks his way. At this number? Great value dart.

 

 

 

NASCAR Picks: Viva Mexico 250 Props - Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez

Carson Hocevar – Top 10 Finish (+120 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

This is sharp. Hocevar ran 13th at COTA and snagged a podium at Watkins Glen last year. He’s consistently quick on road layouts, and the No. 77 keeps outperforming expectations. He’s aggressive, composed, and clearly getting more comfortable. At plus money, this is a smart play before the market catches up.

Daniel Suárez – Top 5 Finish (+210 at BetMGM Sportsbook)

Run it back. You can’t fade the home crowd hero. Suárez has six top-five finishes on road courses, qualified fifth at COTA, and knows this might be his last real shot to punch a playoff ticket. Trackhouse will leave nothing in the trailer. If he’s got the car under him, this is podium-or-bust energy.

Michael McDowell over Chase Briscoe (-115 at BetRivers Sportsbook)

This one feels too obvious. Briscoe has talent but is wildly inconsistent—six finishes of 28th or worse in his last nine road races. McDowell’s résumé is rock solid. He led laps at COTA this season and has a long track record of delivering on road layouts. In a heads-up bet, I’ll take the steady veteran over the chaos candidate every time.

 

Â