Chris Sale Underdog MLB Picks Today, 7/28: Baseball Projections + More

What is up, Fantasy Alarm family? We are hunting pitcher K picks and strikeout prop betting value again for Underdog Fantasy, built around season stats, current form, and matchup splits against lefties and righties for Tuesday's MLB slate. Two arms stand out above the rest of today's strikeout prop board. Before you lock in your Higher or Lower calls, cross-check the numbers with our MLB Player Prop Tool and track how our staff is doing on the board with the MLB Expert Picks Tracker. Let us break down today's top plays.

Chris Sale MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 7.5 Strikeouts

Sale just matched his season high with 11 strikeouts against the Padres, his 94th career double-digit K game, passing Curt Schilling for seventh all time. He's operating at a 10.9 K/9 and near 30% strikeout rate at 37 years old, numbers that have barely moved despite the calendar. Tonight's Mets lineup ranks fifth in baseball in total strikeouts, one of the more favorable team matchups on the entire board. Sale has cleared this total in only four of his last ten starts, but none of those recent outings came off an 11 K effort against a strikeout-prone club. Take it.

Troy Melton MLB Underdog Fantasy Pick: Higher than 5.5 Strikeouts

Melton is 5-1 with a 1.95 ERA since claiming a full rotation spot this year, backed by an 8.3 K/9 and 23.3% strikeout rate that rank among the better marks in the league. He set a career high with nine strikeouts against the Athletics his last time out, continuing a stretch where he's given Detroit length and swing-and-miss stuff in equal measure. Baltimore carries the fifth-highest strikeout rate against right-handers in the league tonight, and Melton already has a strong track record against this exact opponent from his season debut back in May. Detroit has lost three straight and will lean on him to be the stopper. Lock it in.

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