Winning your league requires constant roster evaluation. To help you get ahead, this week's fantasy baseball stock watch breaks down the hot streaks, sudden slumps, and Statcast (Baseball Savant) metrics shifting the market. By analyzing rolling seven-day data and underlying power metrics, we identify the key fantasy baseball risers and fallers you need to target or trade before the calendar flips to July.

Fantasy Baseball Stock Watch Risers This Week

Bryce Eldridge, 1B San Francisco Giants

The breakout rookie has put up a staggering 168 wRC+ with significantly lowered strikeout numbers, establishing himself as a premium waiver target. Eldridge's sudden plate discipline refinement completely changes his fantasy outlook. His zone-contact rate has spiked over the last seven days, turning a high-strikeout profile into an efficient, all-fields run producer.

Bo Bichette, SS/3B New York Mets

After a brutal start to the season, Bichette has completely rebounded in June, raising his OPS by over 100 points in two weeks while batting over .410 over a 14-day span. Statcast data highlights an aggressive return to his signature line-drive approach. His hard-hit rate over the last week sits at an elite 48.5%, proving this resurgence is fueled by pure, authoritative contact rather than simple luck.

Byron Buxton, OF Minnesota Twins

Buxton is on an absolute tear, slashing .405/.463/.973 with six home runs over a recent 14-day stretch. His season-long power profile is matching elite-tier metrics (.601 SLG, 23 HR). He is barreling baseballs at a 19.5% clip over the last seven days. When Buxton is healthy and launching pitches at his optimal 18-degree average launch angle, he performs like a top-10 overall fantasy asset.

Dominic Canzone, OF Seattle Mariners

Showing a 15.8% barrel rate, Canzone has been dialed in, batting nearly .390 over his last 41 plate appearances. His sweet-spot percentage has risen to 42.0% over the last week. This indicates he is consistently punishing fastballs in the upper half of the zone. He serves as an excellent outfield plug-in for deeper leagues while the bat remains hot.

Yoendrys Gomez, RP Minnesota Twins

Gomez has firmly entered the closing conversation, securing six saves with a 1.02 WHIP and strong strikeout ratios since taking over high-leverage duties. His sweeping slider has generated a stellar 42.1% whiff rate over his last seven appearances. With a high-90s fastball that plays well at the top of the zone, he has locked down the late innings in Minnesota.

 

 

 

Fantasy Baseball Stock Watch Fallers This Week

Xander Bogaerts, 2B San Diego Padres

His batting average has sunk to .226 amid an aggressive spike in strikeouts (27.3% strikeout rate) and a collapsing walk-to-strikeout ratio. Bogaerts is currently struggling with velocity on the inner half of the plate. His rolling hard-hit rate has dipped below 30.0% over the past seven days, making him highly vulnerable in points leagues.

Xavier Edwards, 2B/SS Miami Marlins

Hitters who rely entirely on contact can plummet quickly when timing fades. Edwards has turned ice-cold, logging a weak .175 slugging percentage over late June. Without any over-the-fence power to bail him out, his standard groundball-heavy profile is resulting in easy routine outs for opposing defenses.

Andy Pages, OF Los Angeles Dodgers

Pages has hit a wall after a hot start, batting just .189 over a two-week stretch as his performance undergoes heavy negative regression. Major league pitchers have adjusted to his high-flyback approach by feeding him breaking balls below the zone, causing his chasing rate to climb above 35.0% this past week.

Riley Greene, OF Detroit Tigers

Greene's highly elevated BABIP has caught up to him, resulting in a recent .200 batting average slump. While his hard-hit data remains respectable over the long term, his seven-day rolling sample shows an inflation of soft, lazy pop-ups that have brought his fantasy production to a temporary halt.

Andres Munoz, RP Seattle Mariners

Widely drafted as a bulletproof top-tier closer, Munoz has cratered with a 5.18 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. He has blown three of his last six save opportunities due to ongoing control issues. His walk rate has swelled past 14.0% over his last seven days, as he struggles to spot his high-velocity sinker.

Best Fantasy Baseball Buy Low Candidates

Cal Raleigh, C Seattle Mariners

Raleigh recently returned from an injury stint. Fantasy managers might be frustrated by his slow reintegration, but he remains a premier power catcher whose rest-of-season projections anticipate close to 20 more home runs. Check with his current manager to see if you can land him for a discount before his standard power output returns.

Framber Valdez, SP Detroit Tigers

According to industry trade experts, Valdez stands as a premier pitching buy-low target because his current mechanical or pitch-mix issues are highly fixable. His groundball rate remains elite, meaning a simple correction in his release point will quickly lower his current elevated WHIP back to frontline starter status.

Fantasy Baseball Sell High Candidates

Matt Chapman, 3B San Francisco Giants

Chapman has enjoyed an absolutely legendary stretch, leading Major League Baseball with an unbelievable 1.421 OPS since June 1st. Given his historic streakiness, his trade value will literally never be higher than it is right now—aim for top-tier stars in return. Package him immediately to land an elite, consistent cornerstone player.

Nick Martinez, SP Tampa Bay Rays

Martinez has been an incredible waiver-wire find with a 2.60 ERA and 1.16 WHIP through 14 starts. However, the under-the-hood metrics reveal a massive fraud: his xERA sits at an ugly 4.45 paired with a weak 14.7% strikeout rate. Cash out before the pumpkin emerges and his lack of missed bats catches up to him.

 

 

 

Fantasy Baseball Players to Watch Next Week

  • Colorado Rockies Hitters: Open the week at home against the Boston Red Sox. Target all available Colorado bats for maximum Coors Field offensive inflation.
  • Boston Red Sox Hitters: Open the week at Coors Field and return home to face the New York Yankees at Fenway Park. This is a dream seven-day schedule for Boston's core options.
  • Cincinnati Reds Hitters: Open the week at home against Milwaukee. Expect heavy runs in Great American Ball Park.
  • Milwaukee Brewers Hitters: Open the week in Cincinnati's hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark and then close the week at home against the Cubs.
  • Stolen Base Surge: The Dodgers and Rockies face Minnesota, whose catchers have a league-worst 12.8% caught-stealing rate. Meanwhile, the White Sox and Mariners face the Cleveland Guardians, who have a caught-stealing rate of just 14.8%. Fire up your speed threats with confidence.