Welcome to Fantasy Alarm's MLB DFS picks and daily fantasy playbook for Monday, May 11th. Our MLB DFS projections combine advanced pitching metrics, platoon splits, strikeout prop data, and ownership positioning to identify the sharpest plays on every slate. Whether you are targeting DFS projections, running lineups through our DFS optimizer, tracking ownership trends, or checking confirmed lineups, Fantasy Alarm has the tools to sharpen your edge. Today's six-game main slate has multiple different directions to go because there aren't any elite pitchers on the slate. Ryan Weathers, Kevin Gausman, and George Kirby are some of the names that top the list. This MLB DFS playbook covers every key position on DraftKings and FanDuel with our best MLB DFS picks for today.

Slate: 6-Game Main  |  Lock Time: 6:10 PM ET, Monday May 11, 2026

Vegas Totals: SF/LAD (highest-projected game), SEA/HOU (second-highest), NYY/BAL (third-highest)

Highest K-Projections: Ryan Weathers (5.8 K), Joey Cantillo (5.7 K), Michael Soroka (5.3 K), George Kirby (5.2 K).

MLB Weather Today, 5/11

We have three games played in doors, one game played in Los Angeles, and two games in Cleveland and Baltimore that's on the cooler side.

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Starting Pitchers

MLB DFS Top Pitchers

Ryan Weathers (NYY)

Analysis: Nobody on this slate has the strikeout numbers Ryan Weathers has flashed this year and strikeouts are king in MLB DFS. He has a robust 28.5% K-rate and Baltimore strikes out at a 24.6% clip against southpaws this year. They've been a subpar offense against lefties, posting a 95 wRC+.

MLB DFS Value Pitchers

Drew Rasmussen (TB)

Analysis: This is a good pitcher that's priced under 8K despite the fact he's a good pitcher. His 2.95 ERA and has a 3.18 xERA, 2.97 xFIP, and 3.10 SIERA this season. He's also striking out over 9 K/9 and has been given a longer leash than he was a year ago. The Blue Jays have been incredibly underwhelming as an offense this year posting a 96 wRC+ as thye're 20th or worse in wRC+, OPS, and wOBA.

Joey Cantillo (CLE)

Analysis: There is a case to stack the Angels and there's a case to play Joey Cantillo because he can miss bats. The Angels have a 23.9% K-rate versus lefties this year, but they also have a .174 ISO. The scary part for Cantillo are the home runs considering he allows a 41.5% FB and the Angels crush lefties.

Michael Soroka (ARI)

Analysis: This has been a career year for Soroka and he gets to pitch against a struggling lineup in the best pitching environment in the league. Soroka has a 10.2 K/9 and 25.8% K-rate and has arguably as high of a strikeout ceiling as anyone else on the slate and he's CHEAP.

Top Options For Strikeouts

The three top strikeout targets in today's MLB DFS projections each carry a K/9 above 10.9 and favorable opponent strikeout splits. K-prop lines and value ratings are incorporated below for DFS and prop context. These are the arms building the highest strikeout ceilings on the nine-game slate.

Our model identifies these arms as the highest-ceiling plays for Alt-K lines today:

Ryan Weathers: 28.5% K% (10.5 K/9)

Michael Soroka: 25.8% K% (10.2 K/9)

Drew Rasmussen: 25.2% K% (9.1 K/9)

Joey Cantillo: 22.6% K% (8.5 K/9)

Best Odds For A Win

The following MLB DFS picks offer a combination of favorable win odds, sustainable ERA and xFIP metrics, and soft opponent matchups. Each carry K-prop lines worth noting alongside their DFS value at reduced ownership relative to the top tier.

• George Kirby: +117
• Ryan Weathers: +126
• Nathan Eovaldi: +146 
• Kevin Gausman: +153

MLB DFS Lineup Picks: Stacks & Hitters

MLB DFS Top Hitters

Aaron Judge & Cody Bellinger (OF, NYY)

Analysis: Since making his major league debut last year, Brandon Young hasn't been able to pitch in Baltimore. He has an 8.21 ERA, .346/.386/.648 slash and 14 of the 15 homers he's allowed. Judge has a .371 ISO and .392 xISO vs. RHP while Bellinger is hitting everything in sight and has a .182 ISO and .385 wOBA.

Jose Ramirez (3B, CLE)

Analysis: Ramirez is going to get an at-bat against Brent Suter, which is his best split over his career and then Alek Manoah is the expected long man. Yes, that Alek Manoah. At the minor league level last year, lefties posted an .857 OPS against him. Now he's trying to navigate a major league lineup.

Mike Trout (OF, LAA)

Analysis: Mike Trout has absolutely dominated left-handed pitching this year. He's posted a .265 ISO, .310 xISO, .418 wOBA, and .397 xwOBA. Cantillo has elevated numbers against righties this year allowing a .173 ISO, .174 xISO, .366 wOBA, and .346 xwOBA.

MLB DFS Value Hitters

Travis Bazzana (2B, CLE)

Analysis: This guy has had zero batted ball luck and yet he is on-base 40% of the time and has SEVEN steals in 11 games. He has a .399 xwOBA against righties this year.

Jo Adell (OF, LAA)

Analysis: For a guy who nearly hit 40 homers last year, we all knew the power was going to eventually come and he exploded on Sunday with two bombs. On the year, he's smashed lefties, posting a .391 ISO, .419 xISO, .461 wOBA, and .489 xwOBA.

Rafael Devers & Casey Schmitt (1B/2B, SF)

Analysis: Suggesting the Giants offense? It's scary season, but what if they're ACTUALLY really good values? Roki Sasaki hasn't gotten lefties out (.219 ISO, .2210 xISO, .392 wOBA, .361 xwOBA) or righties out (.357 ISO,.220 xISO, .443 wOBA, .391 xwOBA). Devers has hit .333 with a 1.000 OPS over his last 10 games while Schmitt has an .826 OPS, .265 ISO, and .357 wOBA against righties on the year.

MLB DFS Top Stacks

Primary Stack: New York Yankees vs Brandon Young (BAL RHP)

Why: Brandon Young allows home runs and the Yankees hit a lot of home runs. Both righties and lefties smash him, especially at home, where he's struggling mightily. The top four in the Yankees' lineup have .180+ ISOs against righties while there is a big-time ceiling for guys like Jazz Chisholm and Spencer Jones. The Yankees are a fantastic stack today as they have the second-highest implied total on the board.

Primary Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Trevor Macdonald (SF RHP)

Why: I don't necessarily believe in Trevor Macdonald and what he did in his debut this season and neither does the field because they're playing the Dodgers. He's been unable to throw strikes at the minor league level and that's something that will typically be the same thing in the majors. He does get a LOT of groundballs for what that's worth. I prefer the Yankees of the chalk stacks.

"Contrarian" Stack: Los Angeles Angels vs Joey Cantillo (LAA LHP)

Why: There's a lot of upside because the Angels hit a bunch of home runs. Cantillo does allow flyballs and righty power and that's what the Angels do against lefties. The Angels are the 7th best offense vs. LHP in wRC+ and has the third-highest ISO as well. Zach Neto, Mike Trout, Jo Adell, Vaughn Grossom, and Jorge Soler is your five-pack.

"Contrarian" Stack: San Francisco Giants vs Roki Sasaki (LAD RHP)

Why: The Giants draw an elite matchup against Roki Sasaki who has been unable to get people out this season. His surface numbers look bad and so do his underlying numbers. Lefties have a .288/.381/.507 slash against Sasaki and righties have a .286/.388/.643. The Giants have underperformers basically everywhere offensively and stacking them is really cheap. Rafael Devers, Casey Schmitt, Willy Adames, Matt Chapman, and Heliot Ramos is my preferred five-man stack.

"Contrarian" Stack: Cleveland Guardians vs Brent Suter & Alek Manaoh (LAA LHP/RHP)

Why: The Guardians aren't getting the type of ownership I would've expected from them considering Alek Manoah is the Angels primary pitcher today. Manaoh hasn't been a major league caliber pitcher in some time, not to mention the Angels 5.38 bullpen ERA  is the third-highest mark in baseball. There's a ton of upside using Jose Ramirez, Travis Bazzana, Chase DeLauter, Kyle Manzardo, and Rhys Hoskins is the preferred stack.

MLB DFS Lineups: Core MLB DFS Hitters & Pitchers

The foundation for every MLB DFS lineup you build today. These are the core MLB DFS picks by position across DraftKings and FanDuel.

1. Ryan Weathers (SP1)
2. Michael Soroka (SP2)
3. Aaron Judge (Core Bat)
4. Jose Ramirez (Core Bat)
5. Rafael Devers (Core Bat)
6. Spencer Jones (Core Value Bat)
7. Travis Bazzana (Core Value Bat)

Player Pool

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Stacks

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