Welcome back to another round of MLB Best Bets Today as the 2025 baseball season rolls on. 

The MLB postseason rolls on with a pair of ALDS Game 2 matchups on Sunday, October 5th. Let’s dive into our top MLB picks with the Yankees vs. Blue Jays and the Tigers vs. Mariners. Let’s focus on those two games for our MLB best bets today before dishing out a few player props and other picks to consider. 

The MLB predictions below are accurate as of this writing, but some odds or lines could move before first pitch. All bets below are for one unit unless otherwise noted. Without further ado, let’s dive into our MLB Best Bets Today.
 

 

 

MLB Picks, Predictions & Best Bets Today, 10/5

Our MLB Best Bets Today start with the ALDS Game 2 matchup between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays. Plus, the Seattle Mariners host the Detroit Tigers in a potential pitcher’s duel for their Game 2 showdown. Don’t miss more MLB picks and player props below. Check out these MLB predictions to make as you enjoy Sunday’s playoff baseball. 
 

 

 

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays ALDS Game 2 Predictions: Sunday, October 5th

The Blue Jays emphatically started this ALDS with a 10-1 victory on Saturday. It’s now the Yankees’ turn to answer back in Game 2 this afternoon. Let’s count on New York to even the series up with the clear starting pitching advantage today. 

Max Fried gets the start after an excellent Wild Card outing of 6.1 scoreless innings against the Red Sox. The Yankees’ southpaw also finished the regular season strong, recording a 1.55 ERA and 2.32 FIP over his final 7 starts. Fried’s current form is one to trust, despite how shaky he may have been in July and early August. 

Even after scoring 10 runs yesterday, Toronto’s offense is on the wrong end of its splits here. The Blue Jays struggled against left-handed pitching to end the regular season. Over the final two weeks vs. lefties, they had a .278 wOBA (22nd in MLB), .215 batting average (23rd), and 78 wRC+ (22nd). It’s a favorable spot for Fried, especially since he just tossed a quality start against the Jays in September. 

On the other side, Toronto will start rookie Trey Yesavage. The top prospect quickly rose through the Blue Jays’ minor-league ranks before making 3 starts in the majors during September. That limited action came with mixed results. Yesavage had a pair of impressive outings against the Rays, but he also allowed 4 runs to the Royals. 

There’s no denying the upside talent of this young Toronto right-hander. Yet, he’s worth fading in this playoff start against a dangerous Yankees lineup. New York was a top-tier offense vs. righties over the final two weeks of the regular season (.346 wOBA, 125 wRC+). The Yankee hitters are also bound to wake back up after being held to just 1 run on Saturday. 

Back the Yankees to win on the moneyline and lead after five innings behind a strong Fried start. Plus, grab the over on Yesavage’s hits allowed prop. The Blue Jays can afford to have him go as deep as he can in this game after winning Game 1. The rookie allowed 5 hits in both of his last two starts, and the Yanks should be swinging plenty. 

 

 

 

Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners ALDS Game 2 Predictions: Sunday, October 5th

Pitching was the story in Game 1 of this ALDS matchup between the Mariners and Tigers. The 3-2 victory for Detroit saw 15 combined pitchers used across 11 innings. Both bullpens were excellent while the offenses took a backseat. 

Let’s bank on another low-scoring game between these squads in Game 2 on Sunday. This time, though, hits and runs should come at a premium because of the starting pitchers. We have Tarik Skubal on the mound for Detroit, while Luis Castillo starts for Seattle. 

Skubal was dominant in his Wild Card outing against Cleveland. He had 14 strikeouts with only 1 run allowed across 7.2 strong innings. This shouldn’t be a surprise for the presumed AL Cy Young winner, who recorded a 2.21 ERA and 0.89 WHIP during the regular season. 

The Tigers’ ace has now allowed fewer than 2 earned runs in 7 of his last 8 starts. Skubal also ended the regular season with a 1.47 ERA over his final 7 outings. He’s capable of shutting down opposing offenses in any start right now, and he can do it again on the road here in Seattle. 

Skubal posted a 2.30 ERA and 2.84 FIP on the road this season. Plus, he just owned the Guardians on the road in that last start. The Mariners definitely boast a dangerous offense, but Skubal should keep things quiet. He lives for these moments, as evidenced by his 2.03 ERA and 1.88 WHIP across 4 postseason starts now. 

Meanwhile, Mariners starter Luis Castillo can hold his own as well. The right-hander is on the positive end of his home/road splits, which is why Seattle chose to start him at home in this series. Castillo had a 2.60 ERA and .192 batting average allowed at home this year, compared to a 4.71 ERA and .302 BA allowed on the road. He’s also allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 6 of his last 8 home starts. 

Castillo will take on a Detroit offense that struggled against right-handed pitching in September, with a .279 wOBA (25th in MLB) and 76 wRC+ (26th). Plus, the Tigers have now been held to 3 runs or fewer in 3 of their 4 postseason games so far. This offense is slumping, and Castillo can take advantage of it. He owns a 1.83 ERA across 3 career postseason starts. Plus, he ended the regular season strong with a 1.07 ERA and 24:2 K:BB ratio over his final 4 starts. 

Take the under as Skubal and Castillo anchor a low-scoring matchup. Plus, add the over on Skubal’s outs prop. Detroit needs him to go deep after using up 7 relievers yesterday. 

 

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