While it might be difficult to track with others helping me out with the MLB Best Bets and Betting Picks, we’re on a nice, little hot streak, going 7-2 over my last two days and rebuilding that bankroll. The addition of some legitimate MLB prop bets and a closer look at more “first five innings” bets have certainly helped us get back to where we want to be and if you’ve been catching the Bettor Sports Betting Show with Dan Servodidio, you’ll see me over there as a guest, throwing down a few more bets your way. On yesterday’s show I went 4-2 with one of those losses being a same game parlay that I was just playing around with as we picked on Noah Syndergaard. When I compile the record in this column, though, I only count what I’ve put down in writing. It’s just an easier way to keep track for all of you. I could sit here and talk about how I said Corey Seager to homer at +500, but if you didn’t watch the show, you wouldn’t have bet it. So maybe follow the link up above and get a few extra picks to consider.

  • Thursday’s Record: 3-1
  • Season Record: 69-69-2
  • Bankroll: -7.34 units

We’ve got a full-slate of 15 games today with some really tough match-ups so let’s see what’s good.

 

 

MLB Best Bets for May 27 

San Diego Padres at New York Yankees

Believe it or not, we’re going to kick off today’s action with a player prop as opposed to a full-game or even a first-five bet. I’m not 100-percent sure what to expect from Luis Severino in his second start back from injury against a tough Padres lineup and while Michael Wacha tends to pitch to a lot of contact, he’s been outstanding over his last four starts and the Yankees bats haven’t exactly been lighting it up at the plater recently. But sometimes a player has a pitcher’s number and, in this case, it’s Anthony Rizzo. Not only is Rizzo a career 21-for-53 (.396) against Wacha, but he also has three home runs and a .452 wOBA against him. He’s also hit safely in six of his last seven game and has four multi-hit performances, so we’ll look to that illustrious DraftKings prop of combining hits, runs and RBI as we are getting solid odds for the work.

Pick: Anthony Rizzo over 1.5 Hits + Runs+ RBI (-115 on DK Sportsbook)

Texas Rangers at Baltimore Orioles

We’re actually going to go with another prop bet for this game and look at Ryan Mountcastle against lefty Andrew Heaney. The right-handed slugging first baseman owns a 1.079 OPS with a .442 wOBA against southpaws this season and he’s hit safely in each of his last four games. And while the sample size isn’t very large, it’s difficult to ignore a 3-for-4 with two home runs track record. There’s a little too much juice sitting on his hits plus runs plus RBI prop, but we can get plus-odds on his total bases. There’s some risk involved, but we’re willing to take it, especially against Heaney.

Pick: Ryan Mountcastle over 1.5 total bases (+100 on BetMGM)

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

We’ve got a tremendous NL East rivalry here with a strong pitching match-up and this game should be incredibly exciting to watch, even just from a pure baseball fan perspective. However, neither Charlie Morton nor Zack Wheeler have performed as many expected and while we’ve seen both flash some of that old brilliance, they’ve both been hit fairly hard in recent starts. Now the question is, can both or even one of them step up in a game so important that they can keep the runs allowed to a minimum? A look at the BvP data shows each side having a few bats with decent success against their opposing pitcher and both bullpens have been middle-of-the-road, at best. We’ve also seen the last two games go over the game total. But in a situation like this, I’m likely to err on the side of caution and expect big-game pitchers to show up in big-game situations. Ten runs in total seems like a high number with this pitching match-up.

Pick: Phillies/Braves under 9 runs (-115 on BetMGM)