Are you ready for the best stolen base picks for today? The second half of the MLB season got underway and we did as well, nailing our first stolen base with yesterday’s picks. And best of all, it was our longshot pick, hitting Ceddanne Rafaela at +408, so we kicked it off with a big hit. The grind is here and we’re 100-percent ready for it, so let’s not waste any time here. Let’s check in with the stolen base prop finder and start the second half of the 2026 MLB season off on the right foot with some winning stolen base picks today.

Remember, Fantasy Alarm is your one-stop shop for all sports betting and player props and we’ve got everything for MLB from the stolen bases to the home runs  to strikeouts to all the best bets you need to be a successful sports bettor. Our Bet Tracker is loaded up for the day and all the articles are available to you. Now, it’s time to dive into the research and deliver the best in MLB stolen base picks today.

Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!

Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today

Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.  

*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

 

 

 

Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today

When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.

 

 

 

Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases

The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.

 

Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:

Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Saturday, July 18:

Favorite Bet: 

Elly De La Cruz, Cincinnati Reds (+185)

We like getting better odds and we don’t typically target Coors Field for stolen bases, but the Reds have routinely struggled on the road this year, so perhaps manufacturing runs is their course of action today. Rockies righthander Tomoyuki Sugano has allowed nine stolen bases on the season and as you can see from the catcher section up above, Brett Sullivan, has struggled to throw out potential base-stealers. Just 12-percent on 26 attempts? De La Cruz is always a threat to strike out, but we’ll lean on the .341 wOBA against righties and expect him to be aggressive on the bases. You know he’s got the skills, so let’s go after it here.

Randy Arozarena, Seattle Mariners (+253)

While I expect right-hander Logan Webb to have a fine second half of the season, you can’t ignore the abuse he’s taken over his last two starts, allowing 16 hits and four walks over just 10 innings. I don’t see that being the norm, but he needs to get back on-track. While he’s working his way back, let’s take advantage of the 13 stolen bases he’s allowed this season and the shaky 22.2-percent caught-stealing rate the Giants catchers have posted. Tell me you miss Patrick Bailey without saying you miss Patrick Bailey. Arozarena is posting a .377 wOBA against righties this year and 15 of his 19 stolen bases have come against them. Let’s lock him in today.

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