Welcome back DFS Golfers! What a great start to the 2021 PGA Tour season at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. We saw fireworks throughout the weekend and hopefully we will see lots more with our first full first event, the Sony Open.
We’ve got 144 golfers in the field for the Sony which is played Waialae Country Club. The course is just an island hop from Maui where the Sentry was held over to Oahu. The course is a Par 70 and only stretches out 7,044 yards with tight fairways (always ranked as some of the hardest on the Tour) and average size greens with Bermuda grass. There will be plenty of obstacles for these players from palm trees to tropical vegetation all over the course. You have to take into account the wind whenever playing on an island especially Hawaii. The wind will be in the single digits throughout the weekend but we’ve got rain in the forecast for Friday and Sunday. It’s not 100% but definitely to take into account when setting your lineups.
The keys to winning this weekend starts with strokes gained: off the tee. This is not a very long course but it can punish you if you consistently land in the rough (fairways hit will be a key stat). I'll also be targeting strokes gained approach which leads you into greens in regulation, both are vital to success. The wind won’t be much of a factor this weekend but I’ll still take into account scrambling for when these players undoubtedly land in the rough. We are looking for good ball strikers, but not necessarily bombers.
Webb Simpson is the top priced option this weekend and for good reason. He has finished Top 20 in this event the last six times he’s played including a 4th place in 2018 and a 3rd place last year. He’s also coming off of a Top 20 at the Sentry just last week. I think Daniel Berger will also provide some nice value at the top being that he hasn’t missed the cut here in five trips with 2 Top 20 finishes. I want to address Cameron Smith because I know I'll have questions about why he's not in my playbook. I have no problems with firing on him this weekend because he's got a great history and is the defending champ. Those are the reasons why I'm going to fade him, fading the ownership. He should be a lock button in your cash lineups but GPPs I'm going to be underweight on him. Lots of good options this week but you'll notice that I did favor the most experienced players on this track.
My One & Done Play of the Week is Charles Howell III.
GOOD LUCK THIS WEEK
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