Colorado outfielder Charlie Blackmon had another productive season in 2019, as he swatted 32 home runs, scored 112 times, drove in 86 runs, and slashed a respectable .314/.364/.576. It marked the fourth straight season that he at least 29 home runs, scored 111 runs and hit .291. He’s also played in at least 140 games each of the past six seasons, and while his speed is declining the bat is still producing at a high rate. The decline is inevitable, as Blackmon is 33 years old, but his home park helps enhance some of the declining production. Blackmon is currently the 13th outfielder off the board per NFBC, and depending on where games are played this season, Blackmon either is a fair value, or overpriced. We’ll get into this later.

Let’s start with his speed, because this is the aspect of his game declining the most, and rapidly. Last year, his mark of 26.7 ft/s, per Baseball Savant, was the lowest of his career and came in at the 48th percentile. Take a look at the last few...