#6 Ole Miss vs. #3 Georgia Predictions, Picks & Odds: CFB Playoffs, 1/1

The College Football Playoff quarterfinals conclude with a major SEC rematch as Ole Miss faces Georgia in the Sugar Bowl. Before touching on any #6 Ole Miss vs. #3 Georgia predictions, it’s worth noting that these teams previously had one of the most exciting games of the regular season, a thrilling back-and-forth contest that Georgia won with a strong comeback in the fourth quarter. 

Ole Miss comes in with confidence after defeating Tulane in the first round, but Georgia has the advantage of familiarity, playoff experience, and coaching that often makes a difference in these games. With a spot in the CFP semifinals at stake, this rematch promises to be an intriguing battle between a powerful offense and a disciplined team seasoned in postseason play. These picks are based on matchup data, market movement and trends logged in our Expert Picks Tracker, which monitors performance across sports books. 

#6 Ole Miss vs. #3 Georgia Predictions for the CFB Playoffs, Thursday, 1/1

Georgia starts this matchup as a nearly seven-point favorite, and while the Rebels have shown they can compete with the Bulldogs, this seems like a situation where Georgia’s experience and advantages will become apparent in the later stages. Ole Miss may appear more effective offensively than in October, but Georgia is healthier, has more depth, and is much more adept at handling the pressures of a CFP setting.

Expect moments where the Rebels advance the ball and pose challenges. However, over the course of four quarters, our #6 Ole Miss vs. #3 Georgia picks believe that the Bulldogs’ capacity to manage the pace, dominate in the trenches, and seize critical opportunities gives them the upper hand.

#6 Ole Miss vs. #3 Georgia Spread Pick: Bulldogs -6.5 (+101 at Novig)

The argument for Georgia -6.5 begins with what we observed in the previous matchup between these teams — and the changes since then. In their regular-season game, Ole Miss performed almost flawlessly for three quarters. Trinidad Chambliss was impressive, the Rebels established a significant lead, and Georgia appeared uneasy for extended periods. Then came the fourth quarter.

In the last 15 minutes, Georgia outscored Ole Miss 17-0, took control of possession, dominated the line of scrimmage, and completely turned the game around. This wasn’t just a coincidence. It showcased how Georgia secures victories in these matchups when crucial adjustments are needed.

Although this rematch isn’t happening in Athens, the fundamental advantages that propelled Georgia’s comeback are still relevant — perhaps even more so now.

To start, the coaching disparity is greater. Kirby Smart has experience in nearly every postseason scenario: national championship games, CFP semifinals, conference championship rematches, and high-stakes neutral-site contests. 

On the other hand, Ole Miss is experiencing its first CFP journey under Pete Golding after Lane Kiffin's midseason exit. Golding managed to stabilize the team against Tulane, but this is a whole new challenge.

Depth is the second key factor that gives Georgia an advantage against the spread. Ole Miss depends a lot on Chambliss to create plays outside the usual structure, both as a passer and a runner.

Georgia’s defense is designed to minimize that unpredictability. Although the Bulldogs are not as historically dominant as they were a few years back, they still play fundamentally sound football, rarely miss assignments, and tackle very well in open space.

As the game progresses, Georgia’s rotation on the defensive line becomes an issue. Ole Miss had difficulty running the ball consistently in their first matchup, and if the Rebels lean heavily on passing again, Georgia can take advantage and control the game. That’s when negative plays, stalled drives, and field goals in the red zone start to happen.

Another important aspect is Georgia’s playoff mentality. This Bulldogs team has been somewhat under the radar nationally, but that’s usually when Kirby Smart’s teams perform their best. Georgia has already avenged its only loss of the season in the SEC Championship Game and comes into this game on a nine-game winning streak. This is a seasoned roster that knows how to finish strong.

Ole Miss can definitely score. Chambliss will make plays, and the Rebels’ fast pace might even let them take an early lead. However, covering +6.5 requires consistency, not just moments of brilliance.

Georgia’s effectiveness in the red zone, along with its ability to control possession late in the game, creates a scenario where Ole Miss stays competitive early on before Georgia pulls ahead. A Bulldogs victory by a touchdown plus an extra point seems like the most probable outcome for our #6 Ole Miss vs. #3 Georgia predictions.

How To Watch #6 Ole Miss vs. #3 Georgia - CFB Playoffs

• Date: Thursday, January 1
• Kickoff: 8:00 p.m. ET
• Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
• TV: ESPN

#6 Ole Miss vs. #3 Georgia Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines

Novig has released the latest #6 Ole Miss vs. #3 Georgia odds for the game, scheduled for Saturday night. This news follows our previous #6 Ole Miss vs. #3 Georgia predictions for the matchup:

• Money Line (ML): Rebels +224 | Bulldogs -231
• Spread: Rebels +6.5 (-104) | Bulldogs -6.5 (+101)
• Over/Under (O/U): 56.5 (O: +109 | U: -114)

#6 Ole Miss vs. #3 Georgia Injury Report & Latest News

Ole Miss Injury Report

• R. Collins (LB) – Out, Undisclosed
• D. Wright (TE) – Probable, Undisclosed
• K. Lacy (RB) – Probable, Undisclosed
• C. Odom (TE) – Questionable, Undisclosed
• J. Saunders Jr. (S) – Out, Undisclosed
• C. Beavers (CB) – Out, Undisclosed

Georgia Injury Report

• D. Bobo (OG) – Out, Foot
• K. Jones (CB) – Out, Foot
• J. Aguero (CB) – Out, Undisclosed
• G. Harris Jr. (LB) – Out, Undisclosed
• J. Hall (DL) – Out, Knee

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