#11 Miami Ohio vs. #6 Tennessee Predictions, Picks & Odds: March Madness Round of 64
The Round of 64 continues with an exciting matchup between the underdog Miami (OH) RedHawks and the experienced Tennessee Volunteers. Following a strong First Four victory against SMU, Miami (OH) has quickly gained attention as one of the most notable cinderellas in the tournament.
Now, the RedHawks encounter a different type of challenge in Tennessee — a tough, defense-oriented team that excels in rebounding and controlling the pace of the game. With the Volunteers favored to win, could the betting market be overlooking Miami (OH) again, presenting our #11 Miami (OH) vs. #6 Tennessee picks with another opportunity against the spread?
#11 Miami (OH) vs. #6 Tennessee Predictions for March Madness Round of 64, 3/20
The RedHawks come into this game with a record of 32-1 and are riding high with confidence after defeating SMU in the First Four. That victory was more than just a feel-good moment — it demonstrated that Miami (OH)’s offensive strategy can succeed against tougher competition. They shot well, managed the pace of the game, and never seemed overwhelmed.
On the other hand, Tennessee arrives as a tested tournament team with several deep runs in recent years. However, this year's team has struggled with consistency, losing four of their last six games leading into March Madness. The Volunteers still maintain a strong defense, but their offensive struggles have made it challenging to distance themselves from their opponents – something our #11 Miami (OH) vs. #6 Tennessee predictions will highlight.
#11 Miami (OH) vs. #6 Tennessee Spread Pick: RedHawks +11.5Â (-115 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
If oddsmakers continue to underestimate Miami (OH), there's no reason not to take advantage of it — and that's precisely the situation here. Tennessee might win this game, but expecting the Volunteers to cover an 11.5-point spread against a strong offensive team like Miami (OH) is a tall order.
Let's focus on what the RedHawks excel at: scoring efficiently. Miami (OH) tops the nation in field goal percentage, shooting over 52% from the floor, and they can stretch defenses with a high-volume three-point game. They took 41 three-pointers in their victory over SMU, showing no reluctance to shoot when the opportunity arises.
Even if there’s some natural shooting decline after a strong First Four showing, Miami (OH)’s efficiency provides them with a solid offensive foundation — which is exactly what you want when supporting a double-digit underdog.
On the flip side, Tennessee’s offensive limitations play a significant role in this analysis. The Volunteers aren’t designed to dominate teams. They rank outside the top 100 in various shooting metrics and don’t attempt many threes to make up for it. Instead, they heavily depend on offensive rebounding and second-chance points for scoring.
While this strategy can lead to wins, it’s not the best for covering large spreads. Long possessions, missed shots, and reliance on putbacks often keep games closer than anticipated — particularly against a team that can score efficiently like Miami (OH).
There’s also a tempo aspect to think about. Tennessee favors a slower pace, which naturally decreases the number of possessions in the game. Fewer possessions result in fewer chances to create a lead on the scoreboard, making it tougher to cover a spread of this magnitude.
Another important aspect is Tennessee's history in this specific scenario. Under head coach Rick Barnes, the Volunteers have been unpredictable as double-digit favorites in the NCAA Tournament. Since 2020, they have only managed a 3-7 record against the spread in these situations, often winning but not covering large spreads.
Ultimately, this is about value. Tennessee is the stronger team and is likely to get the win, but the spread doesn’t accurately represent how these teams compare. Miami (OH)'s offense is capable enough to keep them within reach, and Tennessee's playing style doesn’t typically lead to large margins of victory.
Even a game that Tennessee controls for most of the time could still end up in the 6–10 point range — well within the spread. All in all, our #11 Miami (OH) vs. #6 Tennessee predictions feel confident in the RedHawks.
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How To Watch #11 Miami (OH) vs. #6 Tennessee March Madness Round of 64
- Date:Â Friday, March 20
- Time:Â 4:25 p.m. ET
- Location:Â Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia, PA)
- TV:Â TBS
#11 Miami (OH) vs. #6 Tennessee Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines
After reading over our #11 Miami (OH) vs. #6 Tennessee predictions for the matchup this Friday, we’re pleased to share the most recent #11 Miami (OH) vs. #6 Tennessee odds from DraftKings Sportsbook for this exciting game:
- Money Line (ML):Â RedHawks +410 | Volunteers -550
- Spread: RedHawks +11.5 (-115) | Volunteers -11.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U):Â 149.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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#11 Miami (OH) vs. #6 Tennessee Injury Report & Latest News
Miami (OH) Injury Report
- Blake Anderson (G) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- Leshawn Stowers (G) – Questionable, Undisclosed
- Evan Ipsaro (G) – Out, Knee
Tennessee Injury Report
- Cade Phillips (F) – Out, Shoulder
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