NFL DFS Playbook: Divisional Round
Howard Bender pores over the data and the match-ups to bring you his favorite DFS plays for the NFL Divisional Round of the playoffs
Welcome to the DFS Playbook for the NFL Divisional Round of the playoffs!
As I was doing my research this week, I came across a very interesting fact about the NFL Divisional Round -- since 2002, home favorites giving at least three points are 42-18 straight up, however they are just 25-35 against the spread. Should that completely tilt you towards favoring players from Baltimore, Kansas City, San Francisco and Green Bay? Not necessarily, but it does tell me that these games could end up a little closer than what some of these spreads are indicating. Ten points is a lot to give, even if you are Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes .
As for the Playbook and the match-ups, you're going to look at the list below and see a lot of chalk. When you get to this point in time, it's all chalk, for lack of a better term. Building lineups is going to be very interesting this week as those random plays everyone loves on the short slates aren't going to be as tasty given what we know about these offenses. You're going to have to be careful where you find your value as the darts are less endearing than usual. As it stands right now, I'm looking at value at the running back and wide receiver positions. You can try for value at tight end, but it's not really going to give you the return you might need. If you go QB, well, I have a limit.
Let's just get to it...
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