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2022 Player Outlook

Carlson doesn't have near the batted ball profile of his outfield mate Tyler O'Neill, but they both get it done in different ways. Carlson elevated the ball more in 2021, which certainly helped his home run numbers, as he increased his launch angle by nearly six degrees compared to 2020, and took his fly ball rate from 14.5 percent to 31.1 percent! Carlson endeared himself more to DFS players than season-long players, as he logged just two stolen bases in 2021. A dearth of stolen bases will likely be why Carlson won't go as high as many think he should in drafts. Carlson is still more than a serviceable outfielder, especially in formats where you have to start five. To make up for the lack of stolen bases, you either need Carlson to surpass 20 home runs this year, which he certainly can and get that batting average right around where he ended last year (.266). Or, you know, steal more bases.

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