Memorial Tournament 2026 DFS Picks: Predictions, Values & Projections
Published: Jun 02, 2026
One of the most storied events on tour that isn’t a major is upon us. The Memorial Tournament presented by Workday head over to the famous Muirfield Village, aka Jack’s Place, in Dublin Ohio. Since it’s debut on tour in 1976, the scenic course has produced a great event every single season, and it’s signature status makes it one of the most attractive events of the season.
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Let’s dive in!
Memorial Tournament Presented by Workday 2026: Daily Fantasy Golf Picks & Projections
The legendary Muirfield Village is our venue this week. Consistently ranking in the top 20 in the US, this course has seen multiple make-overs since it opened in 1974 including most recently after 2020 where each green complex was redone, bunkers were made larger and deeper, and was talked about by Jack Nicklaus as the final renovation of his life-time. We've seen many great showings here such as the 1987 Ryder Cup, all the way to Tiger Woods securing his 73rd win on the PGA Tour. Suffice to say, we're in for a treat this week.
Muirfield Village: Course Breakdown This Week
Muirfield Village is one of the most beautiful courses we will see. Situated with one of the most breath-taking backdrops on tour, Muirfield is a Jack Nicklaus designed course, named after the location where Jack won his first Open Championship in Muirfield, Scotland. This event features Bentgrass greens and fairways, some of the smallest greens on the PGA Tour, and hosts some of the most penalizing rough on tour in a non-major venue. Stretched out to 7,569 yards and playing at a Par 72, this venue will require an all-around skill set to separate from the pack, as the added distance adds a new equation for players to consider.
When looking at the layout, we see 4 longer par 3s with all 4 playing between 180 and 220 yards. The par 4s at this event range from 360 to 503 yards and par 5s play between 550 and 590 yards respectively. These holes feature generous fairways, which is truly the only generous part of this course. In the past 5 years, we’ve seen winning scores between -7 and -13, but have seen winning scores as low as -19 in the last 30 seasons (with Tom Lehman’s record -20 taking place in 1994). Par 5 scoring at this event is a must, as the four par 5s are the only holes that traditionally feature below par scoring averages, making Par 5 scoring and Bogey Avoidance as high end stats to follow this week.
While Muirfield is traditionally pretty consistent when it comes to predictiveness, we’ve also seen some comparatively hilarious winners here historically. Only 3 players in this weeks field have won here since the course was remodeled, and they portray the type of elite upside we’re typically looking for here, but pre-renovation we saw some wild cards take the wins. We’re going to focus more heavily on the recent years, especially given this event is a signature event now, meaning the field will be smaller but stronger.
When looking at venues that are comparable to Muirfield, Torrey Pines and Bay Hill are two that stand out immediately given their similar layouts/fields. That said, TPC Twin Cities and East Lake Golf Club also stand out for their similar SG distributions. Overall when looking at MVGC, Driving Accuracy, SG: Approach, and SG: Around-the-Green take a much larger importance here than at your average PGA Tour venue. Distance certainly helps, given that the 2024 and 2025 iterations of the event required well above average approach shots in the 100-125, 200-225, and 250+ buckets. In 2024, driving distance actually had a negative correlation to scoring, though that did correct a bit in 2025, but it's still largely a moot point.
While all-around play can help a player win like Viktor Hovland in 2023 or 2022 Billy Horschel, we’ve also seen years where being elite in certain areas can take the cake. Scottie Scheffler in 2024 and 2025 is a great example of this. In 2025, Scottie was mostly neutral with the putter, losing about a half stroke on the greens, and in 2024 he gained slightly with the putter and driver, but gained nearly 13 strokes with approach play. Play around the green has consistently been important, without being a be-all-end-all statistic, so we will largely look the other direction with this facet of the game.
Leaders in some key stats include:
Par 5 Scoring: Alex Fitzpatrick, Jake Knapp, Scottie Scheffler, Ludvig Aberg, Rory McIlroy, Tony Finau, Xander Schauffele, Matt Fitzpatrick, Eric Cole, Min Woo Lee
Bogey Avoidance: Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Russell Henley, Cameron Young, Si Woo Kim, Patrick Cantlay, Matt Fitzpatrick, Mac Meissner, Rickie Fowler, Xander Schauffele
Approach from 200+: Ludvig Aberg, Alex Fitzpatrick, Sepp Straka, Adam Scott, Matt Fitzpatrick, Jake Knapp, Hideki Matsuyama, Si Woo Kim, Alex Smalley, Keegan Bradley
Memorial Tournament 2026 Field: Golf DFS
With this weeks signature event status, it should be no surprise that this field is strong. Collin Morikawa is the only player in the top 10 who will not be in attendance this week, as he continues to be careful as he recovers from his back injury. Scottie is looking for his third consecutive win here at Muirfield Village, and is joined by Patrick Cantlay and Billy Horschel as previous winners at this venue. While this field is mostly comprised of players who are in the Aon Next 10, Aon Swing 5, as well as last years FedExCup Points list, there are still players in on sponsors exemptions this week. Former winner Billy Horschel is one of these players, and is joined by Tony Finau, Matt Kuchar (the lowest ranked player in this field), and Patrick Rodgers. This is one of the strongest non-major fields of the year, so we're in for a treat this week.
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PGA Best Bets & Predictions: 2026 Memorial (16-23 Overall, +3.38 Units)
- Alex Smalley: Top 20 (+168)
- Matt Fitzpatrick: Top 5 (+470)
- Memorial One and Done Picks:
- Scottie Scheffler (High End)
- Gary Woodland (Low End)
GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: Top Tier
Rory McIlroy ($13,500 DraftKings/$11,700 FanDuel)
While Scottie is the favorite in terms of betting odds (as well as being the back-to-back champion), Rory leads my model this week. This year, Rory has been the better player off the tee, has been the better bent-grass putter, and better long-iron approach player. He hasn't played here since 2024, but his last 4 starts at this venue have been top 20 finishes, and he has 5 top 10's in his career here. Scottie is not a BAD choice by any means, I just think the savings you can get by choosing Rory makes sense.
Matt Fitzpatrick ($9,600 DraftKings/$11,100 FanDuel)
Besides Rory and Scottie, Fitzpatrick is the only other player who was above field average across the board in my model this week. He's been elite on approach this year, a top 10 player in his career at this venue, and just a strong overall option without paying the high end prices of some of the other players. Fitzy could easily secure his 4th win of the season this week.
Xander Schauffele ($9,800 DraftKings/$11,300 FanDuel)
If you've paid attention to this tournament over the years, it should be no surprise to see Xander here. He missed the cut in his debut here back in 2018, and has since followed that up with 8 straight top 25 finishes here, including 6 top 20's and a top 10 back in 2024. Save for the Truist, his recent form is pristine, with top 12 finishes in 5 of his last 6 starts. I can't find an honest reason to avoid him this week.
GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: MID-TIER
Alex Smalley ($8,000 DraftKings/$9,200 FanDuel)
I'm going to continue to ride the hot hand on Smalley, much like I did in 2025. He's historically not played the best here or at similar venues, however his recent form is too strong to ignore. He's 3rd in Strokes Gained Total over his last 16 rounds, is the best putter on fast, bent-grass greens in the field, and overall has a strong profile for this venue. I'm not giving up on a guy who has recorded 4 top 10 finishes in his last 5 starts.
Adam Scott ($8,100 DraftKings/$9,600 FanDuel)
It's a venue where long-iron approach matters more than most other stats, so it should be no surprise that I'm recommending Scott here. That's not the only reason to love Scott this week though. He's a top 10 player at Muirfield Village and it's comparable courses through his career, and is top 25 in most metrics this week. He's a great value at this current price.
Hideki Matsuyama ($8,700 DraftKings/$10,200 FanDuel)
I've not been on Matsuyama much this year, but this week is one where I'm all in. He's a top 25 player in my model this week, he's a top 12 player historically at Muirfield Village, and a top 5 player at comparable courses. He will absolutely need to be better off the tee, and he will need to find a way to avoid bogeys, but he's got as much upside as anyone week-to-week and this is a chance to take a risk on that upside.
GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: VALUE TIER
Gary Woodland ($7,300 DraftKings/$8,100 FanDuel)
Woodland is a top 10 player in the model this week. He's top 10 off the tee, solid enough on approach, specifically in the distance buckets we're looking at, but he's also a top 15 putter on fast, bentgrass greens. If he can convert on the Par 5's at a higher rate than he has thus far, he's a great value at this price, considering worse players for this venue are priced much higher.
Alex Fitzpatrick ($6,700 DraftKings/$7,500 FanDuel)
He struggled at the PGA Championship, but this is a guy who's first two starts as a PGA Tour card holder were T9th and solo 4th. He certainly has an incomplete profile, but I'm going to buy what we've seen thus far this year. He's incredibly from 200 yards and out (2nd in the field), leads the field in Par 5 Birdie or Better percentage, and much like Knapp, has not been the best out of the sand. As long as he can keep it out of the trap, he's a great value.
Eric Cole ($6,700 DraftKings/$7,400 FanDuel)
If I'm going to be fine with riding the hot hand, Cole has to be one of those players. He's the 2nd hottest player in the field over the last 16 rounds, with only Scottie ahead of him. He's 6th in Par 5 BoB Percentage, top 10 in Putting and Birdie or Better Percentage overall, and he's one of the best sand players in the field this week. Why not Eric Cole?
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