NFL DFS WR Coach Week 16: Top DraftKings & FanDuel Picks
Published: Dec 23, 2022
Updated: Dec 24, 2022
Keep a close eye on the NFL schedule for Week 16, especially for your seasonal fantasy football playoffs and daily fantasy football desires. The main DFS slate will be on Saturday, but there are also three games on Sunday, making up a mini-slate for Christmas day. Family, football (NFL DFS), and food, what else is better than that? Whether you’re making NFL DFS lineups on Saturday, Sunday, or both, I got your daily fantasy football lineups covered from the wide receiver perspective. From studs, to value plays, to mid-tier players, I got it all for you in this week’s DFS WR Coach. Here are my favorite DFS options at wide receiver for your Week 16 NFL DFS lineups, including my top receivers, best value plays, and receiver to fade.
Be sure to check out the rest of the NFL DFS Coaches and DFS Watch List throughout the week!
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Saturday Main Slate
NFL DFS WR Top Plays
Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills
Talented receivers, and notably alpha WR1’s have feasted on Chicago this year. Even some talented WR2’s have had big days! Here is the list of receivers who have at least 75 receiving yards in a game against the Bears this season: A.J. Brown, Justin Jefferson, Tyreek Hill, DeVonta Smith, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Garrett Wilson, Jaylen Waddle, Sammy Watkins, and CeeDee Lamb. Over his last five games, Diggs has three touchdowns, and is averaging 5.4 grabs for 62.8 yards per game. His fantasy floor is very high, and in this matchup, his ceiling is sky high, too.
Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings
How do you not play this guy? He has 100+ yards or a touchdown in six of his last seven games, and he essentially has a floor of double-digit points on either site. Even on FanDuel, where you only get half a point per reception, he’s looking at nearly 18 points on average over the last four weeks! He’s a target hog, and he’ll feast on this New York defense in this matchup.
D.K. Metcalf, Seattle Seahawks
From a statistical perspective, Geno Smith has been better on the road than at home, averaging just over 273 passing yards per game with a 14:4 TD/INT ratio and 113.6 quarterback rating. Well, guess who also just so happens to be better on the road? You got it, Mr. Metcalf! Metcalf is averaging 74.1 receiving yards per game on the road compared to at home, and his average yards per reception is five yards higher on the road! You can throw the ball on Kansas City, and with the expectation of quite a few points being scored in this one, you can bank on a big day from Metcalf.
Tee Higgins, Cincinnati Bengals
If there’s anything we know about the Patriots, it’s the simple fact that they do whatever it takes to not let the opposition’s best player beat them. Last week, they did a great job against Davante Adams, and it was Mack Hollins that had the bigger day. In terms of DVOA, the Patriots are a top-five team against the opposition's WR1, but rank inside the bottom 10 against the WR2. Well, I expect this to ring true this week, where they look to shut down Ja’Marr Chase, which opens the door for Mr. Higgins. Higgins may not be able to outrun any of the New England corners, but he’ll have a massive size advantage, and I expect Burrow to look to that inside the 20s.
NFL DFS WR Mid-Price Plays
DeVonta Smith, Philadelphia Eagles
We have to love how targeted this Philadelphia passing attack is. Sure, that could change if Dallas Goedert were to return, but regardless, Smith has eight or more targets in six straight contests, and he has at least five grabs, 60 yards, or a touchdown in all six games! A.J. Brown will see Trevon Diggs a good bit, so Smith will have his opportunities. Back in Week 6, Smith had five receptions and 44 yards with a touchdown against this Dallas defense. Trevor Lawrence and the Jags just had their way with the Dallas secondary, and I could see a similar storyline here with Philly.
Drake London, Atlanta Falcons
Desmond Ridder’s debut wasn’t particularly great, as he completed just 13 of 26 passes for only 97 yards. However, what we do have to like is that London received 11 targets, caught seven passes, and accounted for 70 of Ridder’s 97 passing yards. Atlanta’s run game likely won’t produce as well against Baltimore, so Ridder may need to throw it more, and if last week was any indication, it’s London or bust in the passing attack.
DJ Moore, Carolina Panthers
You can throw it on Detroit, we all know that. Trusting Sam Darnold isn’t the type of business I typically like to involve myself with, but I have to here. Moore has been good against Carolina historically, and outside of the clunker against Seattle in Week 14, Moore has 70+ yards and a touchdown in two straight. Again, that’s if we don’t count that disastrous performance against Seattle. Moore is getting enough looks for DFS consideration in Week 16, and his price tag just might be the perfect sweet spot for your DFS lineups this week.
Brandon Aiyuk, San Francisco 49ers
Aiyuk may have been a bit of a let down last week, catching just two passes for the second consecutive week, but I’m expecting better things this week. Washington is much tougher against the run than Seattle is, so there might be a little more Brock Purdy’s plate in Week 16. Aiyuk averages more receiving yards and receptions per game at home this year, but most of his touchdowns have come on the road. I don’t expect Aiyuk to be highly owned this week, but the upside is certainly there, as long as Purdy gives him chances.
NFL DFS WR Value Plays
Darius Slayton, New York Giants
WR1’s have had good days against the Vikings, and at this point, we have to agree that Slayton is the WR1 for the Giants. Slayton underwhelmed on Sunday Night Football in Week 15, but he still saw seven targets in that one. I like the game script for the Giants’ passing attack, and Brian Daboll and Co. let Daniel Jones air it out, Slayton is going to come out with at least one big play. Richie James also is in play.
Jahan Dotson, Washington Commanders
This one may end up being a bit chalky, but the 49ers have allowed the eighth-most receiving yards to wideouts over the last four weeks, and Dotson is getting back into the swing of things. Since returning from injury, he wasn’t heavily utilized the first handful of games, but over the last two games where he’s played nearly 80 percent of the snaps, he’s caught nine of 15 targets for 159 yards and two touchdowns. He’s a shifty route runner who can generate plenty of separation for his quarterback. Washington may have a tough time gaining traction on the ground, and Dotson will have the best matchup on the field for Washington, going up against Deommodore Lenoir, Pro Football Focus’ 72nd-ranked corner (out of 121).
Donovan Peoples-Jones, Cleveland Browns
Since Deshaun Watson has returned for the Browns, it’s Peoples-Jones, not Amari Cooper, with more receptions, yards, touchdowns, aDOT, total fantasy points, fantasy points per snap, and fantasy points per touch, per PFF. They both have the same number of targets, but DPJ has been more effective. If Marshon Lattimore is able to return, he’ll play Cooper more often than not, and if Lattimore doesn’t play, this is a vulnerable group of corners to say the least. For Week 16, DPJ is the better play over Cooper.
NFL DFS WR Dart Throws
Marquise Goodwin, Seattle Seahawks
If Tyler Lockett doesn’t play, expect Goodwin’s ownership in DFS contests, likely cash games, to be through the roof. He would receive an immediate bump in his workload, and when given opportunities, he’s come through for Geno Smith and the Seattle organization. He’s played in over 60 percent of the snaps in two games this year, and he’s scored in both of those games, including going for 95 yards against Carolina. The Chiefs have allowed the most receiving touchdowns overall and the fifth-most fantasy points per game to wideouts this season, and Goodwin’s speed puts immense pressure on any defense.
Rashid Shaheed, New Orleans Saints
You want to talk about speed? How about Shaheed!? Chris Olave and Jarvis Landry are out, and Shaheed’s snaps have increased each of the last five weeks. He’s a big play waiting to happen, and over his last three games, he’s averaging nearly 25 yards per reception! Cleveland ranks 29th in DVOA against the deep pass, and New Orleans has given Shaheed 13 opportunities (11 targets, two carries) over the last three weeks. Also, not that we bank on this, but he does return punts and kicks on occasion, and a touchdown there gives us six fantasy points, so there’s hope in the return game!
NFL DFS WR Fades
Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals
Chase has never faced the Patriots, so we don’t have another data point to compare, but as I mentioned as to why I love Tee Higgins this week, Bill Bellichick will not let the opposition’s best player beat them. That’s been his whole focus for the majority of his coaching career it seems! New England ranks third in DVOA against the pass, and third against the WR1, whereas they rank 25th against the WR2. I expect Chase to be stymied a bit this week, whereas Higgins has the bigger day, therefore, being a better bang for your buck.
Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins
Statistically speaking, Tua Tagovailoa has been better at home, but Hill’s numbers are significantly better on the road. However, he’s still been solid at home, as he averages 6.7 receptions for 84.2 yards per game. However, six of his seven scores have come on the road. Green Bay has been fortunate to face low-octane passing attacks the last couple of weeks, but the Packers have still allowed five quarterbacks to throw for over 250 yards, and with Hill’s immense workload, he should be the overall WR1 on this slate. I know that’s not exactly a hot take, but he’s worth every penny.
Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers
Romeo Doubs is back in the mix, but Watson still led the team in targets in Week 15. Green Bay will need to keep up with the Dolphins, and the Dolphins rank 26th in DVOA against the pass. Over the last six weeks, Watson is the WR5 in PPR setups, and it likely doesn’t come as a surprise that he leads all receivers in fantasy points per touch (5.13). He needs the touchdowns, but banking on him to score one in this matchup seems like a good bet to me, as I expect this to be the highest scoring of the three Sunday games.
Romeo Doubs, Green Bay Packers
Doubs made his return and to say that he quickly earned Aaron Rodgers’ trust might be an understatement. He only played in one-third of the team’s offensive snaps, yet managed to lead the team in receptions, receiving yards, and trailed Christian Watson by only one target for the team lead. Through the first six weeks of the season, Doubs was averaging just over six targets per game, and I like his outlook for Week 16, which should see him get more snaps and torch a Miami defense that has allowed the 10th-most receiving yards to wideouts in 2022 and ranks 26th in DVOA against the pass.
Jerry Jeudy, Denver Broncos
Over the last couple of weeks, Jeudy has been a constant presence in the Denver passing attack, putting up at least 65 yards in each game, highlighted by his three score game against the Chiefs in Week 14. The Rams rank 23rd in DVOA against the pass, and depending on how you view Jeudy, it’s worth noting that the Rams rank 31st and 28th in DVOA against the WR1 and WR2 respectively. His upside is a bit capped due to the quarterback situation, but it’s an affordable price point, and on a small three game slate, Jeudy does provide a reliable floor.
Chris Godwin, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Godwin is one of my favorite receivers on this slate, outside of Tyreek Hill, who is my clear-cut favorite. Godwin has eight or more targets in nine straight games, and over the last four weeks, Godwin is the WR8 in PPR formats and is tied for the second-most receptions amongst all receivers. This is a very winnable game for the Bucs, and Godwin should be heavily involved against this vulnerable Arizona secondary.
Russell Gage, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I mean, he got 12 targets last week, and he has three touchdowns over his last two games, so we have to consider him, right? He did have a couple bad drops, and he doesn’t get far downfield with his routes, but Arizona’s corners aren’t great, and per Football Outsiders, they fare better against the WR1 and WR2 compared to the “other” receivers. Gage will see a good bit of Marco Wilson, who is PFF’s 103rd ranked corner. There are only 122 qualified corners. Gage will win his slot reps as well, so I expect Gage to be involved, at the very least inside the red zone.
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