Last night marked the most interesting day of the NBA thus far. Kevin Durant and the Warriors hosted the Thunder and there was some solid trash talking throughout. Westbrook had a very rough game and KD was simply on fire.
Point Guards
One of the minor disappointments to the start of the season is Dennis Schroder. While many expected him to be inefficient, his counting stats haven’t been impressive. Though, it’s very early in the season and I’m not too worried about his lackluster production. His price dropped $500 on DraftKings and Schroder has a relatively high floor.
After playing just 14 minutes last game, Tim Frazier should have a strong bounce-back game. I’m still unsure as to why Frazier sat out most of this game but the Suns are miserable against PGs and he makes for a great play. The low minutes are a bit concerning so he may be more of a GPP play tomorrow despite the quality matchup.
John Wall has never been the most efficient guard in the league but that’s the beauty of DFS. Efficiency doesn’t matter. Volume, volume, volume. Obviously we would hope for efficiency with certain players to ensure their minutes remain safe but for a player like Wall, he will play regardless. He’ll be facing Dennis Schroder and he should have another 45-50 fantasy point game.
My value play of the day is J.J. Barea. I’d say Deron Williams has a 1 percent chance of suiting up tonight but hey, I’m no doctor. The reports seemed to indicate he’s very doubtful and Barea will likely be the main beneficiary. He’s off to a great start this season and he’s still priced under $5,000 so let’s take advantage of that now.
Shooting Guards
The Dallas vs. Portland game will be one to target and I’ll be recommending a few more players from this game. Seth Curry is just $3,100 and Dallas has plenty of quality value plays tonight. Curry should see 23-27 minutes but his floor is not high. Keep him as GPP play and hope he gets hot from deep.
With Jeremy Lin slated to miss the next few weeks, Sean Kilpatrick should see a bump in minutes and usage. Isaiah Whitehead should start but Kilpatrick will see extended minutes off the bench. His price jumped to $4,400 which is a bit of a bummer but it shouldn’t drive you away from gaining some exposure to him.
Here we go again, the #RevengeGame never gets old. Wesley Matthews will be facing off against the Blazers. Obviously the revenge game narrative is dried out now considering he’s been on the Mavs for a year now. With D-Will out, he should see a slight bump in usage as well.
Nicolas Batum can’t get his shot to fall but he’s still been a solid fantasy player up to this point. Averaging over 30 fantasy points per game, if his shot starts to fall, he should flirt with 40 fantasy points or so. The Nets have a very weak backcourt and the only thing stopping Batum from having a good game is a blowout.
Small Forwards
I’m not sure what the NBA was thinking when they scheduled the same matchup (SA vs. UTAH) twice in the same week, but it’s happening. Another low scoring game is upon us but that doesn’t mean we can’t play Kawhi Leonard. Leonard had a solid game against the Jazz dropping 47 fantasy points, there’s no reason he can’t do that again.
Kevin Durant is on the back end of a back to back but it’s early on in the season and he sat out most of the 4th quarter. KD was on fire last night -- in fact, he’s been on fire in all five games this season. KD is a stud, fire him up.
Markieff Morris is SF/PF but I’m choosing to write him up as an SF because that’s where I intend to use him. He’s only a GPP play because he’s on a Wizards team that spreads the ball around quite a bit. Despite playing 36 minutes last game, he only managed to score 14 DK points. Throw him into a few GPPs, and for what it’s worth, he torched Atlanta in the opener for 37 DK points.
My last SF has to be Justise Winslow. He’s been a huge surprise to start the season and though I’m a bit skeptical that he can keep this up, I’ll ride the hot hand. He’s filling up the stat sheet right now and he’s still under $6,000. His upside will always be limited due to his scoring limitations but he’s already showing massive improvements in that department scoring 15,10,18,9 through the first four games of the year.
Power Forwards
The obvious stud of the night is Anthony Davis. He’s coming off a miserable performance versus the Phoenix Suns. Regardless of who guards him, he should be hin for a big game. Davis disappointed plenty of owners in his last game and his price is still $10,900. He’s a GPP only guy but that’s fine.
Paul Millsap is another great option tonight against the Washington Wizards. Markieff Morris is not a great defender so there’s nothing to worry about in that regard. A common trend you’ve probably already noticed is I love going for players coming off poor performances because the ownership usually takes a dip.
The stat sheet stuffer himself, Draymond Green, could get his first triple-double of the season against the Lakers. He has a pretty high floor and he’s been playing well despite his scoring struggles. The PF position will be a tough to navigate through tonight.
My value PF of the night is Frank the Tank. Frank Kaminsky is never flashy but usually pretty consistent. He’s locked into a bench role where he’s seeing 22-26 minutes a game and that could rise against the Nets. He’s just $4,100 but he’s not a preferred option because of his minute limitations. He’s a good bet for 5-6x value against the Nets.
Centers
Hassan Whiteside should be in for a monster season and he’s almost a lock for a double-double each and every night. The Raptors and Jonas Valanciunas are in the middle of the pack in terms of giving up fantasy points to centers but Whiteside is a whole different animal. As long as avoids foul trouble it’s tough to see him getting less than 45 fantasy points in this one.
Marc Gasol is off to a great start this season but I’ll be targeting his opponent in tournaments tonight. DeAndre Jordan is significantly worse from a fantasy perspective when Blake Griffin is on the court but that doesn’t mean he can’t be used. His price has fallen to just $7,000 and he has a very high ceiling. He’s nowhere near a cash game option but some GPP exposure is recommended.
Marcin Gortat has seen both his minutes and fantasy production simultaneously increased since the first game of the year. He will be facing off against the dominant Dwight Howard but they’ll need him to defend Howard. He’s a good bet for a double-double here and he offers considerable upside for his price ($5,900).
Alex Len and Tyson Chandler have both been solid DFS options to start the year but it’s tough to see both continuing to be relevant. Unless it’s a back to back, Tyson Chandler is the safer bet because of the minutes but that’s about it. The upside is found with Alex Len but until he starts seeing 25-plus minutes he will to be too inconsistent to trust on most days.
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