After a wild road course weekend in Mexico, the NASCAR Cup Series heads to the mountains for the Great American Getaway 400 at Pocono Raceway. The Tricky Triangle is exactly that. Three unique corners, long green-flag runs, and a layout that punishes mistakes. It takes horsepower, clean air, race craft, and patience. This is a track where experience matters and execution wins. If you’ve been fast at places like Michigan and Darlington, you're in the conversation.

The Great American Getaway 400 at Pocono Best Bets: Winner Predictions

Denny Hamlin (+500 at BetMGM)

If you’re betting Pocono, you have to start with Denny. He’s a seven-time winner here, leads all active drivers in laps led, and has the best average running position in the Next Gen era. He missed Mexico for family reasons, but that doesn't change the fact he's owned this place for years. This is his playground.

William Byron (+700 at BetMGM)

Byron is due. He led 60 laps here last year, has the best average finish at Pocono among active drivers (9.4), and has absolutely dominated green flag speed at Michigan, Charlotte, and Darlington. If the execution holds, everything points to this being the week he finally cashes in.

The Great American Getaway 400 Mid-Range Picks

Chase Elliott (+1600 at BetMGM)

No one has scored more total points at Pocono in the Next Gen era than Elliott. He hasn’t finished worse than 10th here since 2022 and just logged another podium last week in Mexico. He’s been rock-solid all year, and his consistent top-10 speed makes him a legit threat if they get track position late.

Ty Gibbs (+2000 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

Gibbs is heating up. He led early at Pocono last year, has been inside the top-5 in speed at Michigan and Gateway, and finally looks ready to convert JGR speed into results. He’s also quietly been better here than his veteran teammates on raw performance.

The Great American Getaway 400 Long Shot Picks

Brad Keselowski (+3000 at BetMGM)

BK is one of the smartest drivers in the field, and he knows how to work this track. With 16 top-10s in 27 Pocono starts and a fifth-place run at Michigan, he checks the boxes. If RFK nails the setup, don’t be surprised if he’s there at the end.

Bubba Wallace (+3100 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

Bubba has finished top 15 in every Pocono start since joining 23XI Racing. That includes a top-5 and a couple of strong stage runs. He ranks 13th in total speed this season and has looked solid on flat tracks all year. If qualifying goes their way, Bubba could be a sleeper to shake up the top 10… or better.

The Great American Getaway 400 – Prop Bets

Chase Elliott Top-5 Finish (+245 at BetRivers)

Sixth in average Pocono finish since 2022 and third last week in Mexico. He’s not flashy right now, but the consistency is real and the number is soft.

Ty Gibbs over Ross Chastain (-110 at DraftKings Sportsbook)

Gibbs has outrun Chastain in all three Pocono starts and comes in with better form, better speed, and way fewer self-inflicted issues. Chastain’s average finish here? 27.0. Enough said.

Bubba Wallace Top-10 Finish (+130 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

Wallace has been hovering just outside the top-10, but the underlying speed is better than most realize. He’s shown late-race pace and has quietly built a solid Pocono profile. This number is too long.

The Great American Getaway 400 Final Thoughts

The Tricky Triangle isn’t about chaos. It’s about execution. Track position, pit strategy, clean air. Hamlin and Byron are the class of the field, but Gibbs is right there, and vets like BK and Bubba could absolutely shake up the board. Play the edges, hit the value early, and don’t chase steam post-qualifying. Let’s cash!