As the MLB regular season winds down, so does this Streaks and Trends article. This will be the final installment for the season, and I appreciate every single one of you who have read this article throughout the season. Whether you checked it out once, or have been here since April, I appreciate you being here, and allowing this article to hopefully help your fantasy baseball teams. In this final installment, we are going to take a look at some of the players who saw the biggest rise in their fantasy value for 2024 fantasy baseball drafts, as well as those players whose fantasy value took a hit. Of course, we’ll wrap it up with some of the league leaders and longest active hit streak in the MLB at time of writing. Let’s take a look at some of the notable hit streaks and current trends across Major League Baseball, as well as fantasy baseball risers and fallers heading into 2024 fantasy baseball drafts.

1Luis Arraez.3541Ronald Acuna Jr..4141Shohei Ohtani.654
2Ronald Acuna Jr..3362Shohei Ohtani.4122Corey Seager.632
3Freddie Freeman.3343Freddie Freeman.4123Matt Olson.605
4Corey Seager.331T3Yandy Diaz.4114Ronald Acuna Jr..595
5Yandy Diaz.3305Juan Soto.4095Mookie Betts.581
xBAxwOBAHard Hit%
1Ronald Acuna Jr..3571Aaron Judge.4661Aaron Judge64.1%
2Luis Arraez.3252Ronald Acuna Jr..4642Matt Chapman56.7%
3Freddie Freeman.3223Yordan Alvarez.4403Matt Olson55.7%
4Corey Seager.3174Shohei Ohtani.4284Rafael Devers55.3%
5Bo Bichette.3095Corey Seager.4195Juan Soto55.2%
Hit Streaks
16William Contreras61102128918.344/.429/.525
14Luis Rengifo5692551458.446/.476/.804
14Noelvi Marte539202638.377/.411/.509
13Ronald Acuna Jr.55162051116.364/.390/.709
10Brandon Nimmo418161858.390/.457/.610
10Bryan De La Cruz384140423.368/.400/.395
10Kyle Farmer396130834.333/.395/.410
9Josh Lowe3691426410.389/.450/.639
9T.J. Friedl3381241076.364/.475/.788
8Danny Jansen27692444.333/.455/.667

Fantasy Baseball Risers

Cole Ragans, Kansas City Royals

What an end to the year for Ragans. As a member of the Rangers, he didn’t make a single start, posting a 5.92 ERA, 5.27 FIP, and 8.88 K/9 across 24.1 IP. Then, Ragans goes to Kansas City, becomes a starter, and posts a 5-2 record with a 2.64 ERA, 2.49 FIP, 11.18 K/9 and a 0.38 HR/9 across 71.2 IP! His slider, curveball, and changeup generated whiff rates of at least 29.5 percent, and the big thing was the uptick in velocity once he got to Kansas City.

Ragans turns 26 in December, and all I’m going to say is this. If you go over to Baseball Savant, you’ll see a grouping of pitchers similar to Cole Ragans based on velocity and movement. The first two guys listed are Shane McClanahan and Jesus Luzardo. Do with that what you will. Just how high will Ragans go in 2024? That’s the big question.

Yainer Diaz, Houston Astros

An offensive minded catcher that can hit for a high average? Yeah, that’s going to be quite valuable in 2024. Across 103 games with the Astros this season, Diaz slashed .282/.309/.540 with 23 home runs, 60 RBI, and 51 runs scored. If you like expected statistics, you’ll love Diaz, because his xBA was .288, his xSLG was .547, and his xwOBA was .366, all of which were higher than his actual numbers! He made a ton of hard contact this year, and his propensity to leave the zone (46.4 O-Swing%) could be an issue moving forward. He refuses to draw a walk, making him more valuable in leagues that don’t factor in OBP, but I don’t expect a massive jump in his strikeout rate because he leaves the zone a lot and whiffs a good bit. He’s very young, has plenty of potential, and assuming that Houston gives him the keys to the kingdom, it won’t surprise me to see him routinely drafted inside the top six or so players at the position.

Fantasy Baseball Fallers

Daulton Varsho, Toronto Blue Jays

After hitting 27 home runs and stealing 16 bases in 2022, Varsho didn’t quite live up to the same numbers in his first year in Toronto, as he hit 19 home runs, stole 16 bases, and slashed .218/.284/.384. The big drain on his fantasy value in 2024 is that he is going to lose catcher eligibility, and that was a key piece of his draft price being pushed up so high. A catcher with 20 home runs and 15 stolen bases is incredibly valuable, but an outfielder? A bit less. At time of writing, there were over 25 outfielders with 20+ home runs, and over 30 with 15+ stolen bases. Pair all that with a lackluster batting average and the shine wears off Varsho a bit in 2024.

Cristian Javier, Houston Astros

After an impressive 2022 season, Javier’s stock was rather high coming into 2023. However, I don’t envision that to be the same case heading into 2024. His 4.67 ERA didn’t help fantasy managers, but the nearly 10 percentage points drop in his strikeout rate was a massive hit to his overall fantasy value. On top of that, he doesn’t induce many ground balls, so when the strikeouts dropped, the hard hit rate went up, and hard hit balls in the air will do damage at some point, and that happened this year. Despite a similar HR/FB ratio as last year, a higher quantity of fly balls did him in, resulting in a 1.44 HR/9 (1.03 HR/9 in 2022). The strikeouts returned down the stretch of the season, but the home runs and hard contact remained. If his price is reduced enough, he could be a nice bounce back candidate, but we will not be seeing him drafted in 2024 where he was in 2023.

Statistical Credits: