Let’s check in with the MLB Best Bets and Prop Bets for Friday, April 5.

Working through this early part of the MLB schedule, with all of these day games, it can be a bit of a grind. The players are all trying to find their mid-season groove and we’re finding our footing with the current MLB odds and betting markets. 




In yesterday’s MLB predictions piece, we hit our St. Louis Cardinals game with the team total through the first five innings and Paul Goldschmidt delivering on his prop bet, but the White Sox vs. Royals game caused quite the hiccup. Mike Soroka shined from out of nowhere while Seth Lugo and the Royals bats underwhelmed.

We said yesterday that it was going to be a tough grind getting us back to even, so be prepared for a battle. We’ll attack our game bets and MLB props the way we’ve always done, and I have complete confidence we’ll get it back. 

Understand that as we grind and find our level, a 5-1 or 6-0 day will turn our world around completely. A string of winning days will do that too. We are not down to the point of walking away or not coming back. If the swings are too much, lower your stakes until we turn it around. It will take a little longer to get back to even, but we’ll get there. 

With a full slate and some interesting pitching matchups, let’s take a look at some of our MLB picks and props for today.

  • Yesterday’s Record: 2-3
  • Season Record: 18-24
  • Bankroll: -7.58 units

*The MLB odds associated with each pick will be listed alongside the selection.




MLB Best Bets & Prop Bets For Today: Friday, April 5

Diamondbacks vs. Braves Prediction Today, 4/5

It’s a bit of a heavyweight battle in the NL as two of the top teams clash tonight in Atlanta. But this is the Braves home opener, Spencer Strider is on the mound for them, and they are facing lefty Tommy Henry who typically pitches to more contact than he should. 

The Braves, like most of us, are still finding their footing, so while the numbers against southpaws this season don’t look all that great, this is still a team that posted a league-high wOBA versus lefties last year and they’re returning the majority of that team. I will be careful with how I view the whole game as we’ve seen Strider hit a few bumps in the road in the past and the Diamondbacks bats are scorching hot right now. 

I don’t think the Braves lose their home opener, but we’re obviously not betting the money line. I’ll pass on the run line as well and just focus on the Braves bats for the first portion of my MLB picks today.




Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction Today, 4/5

Happy “Target Against Patrick Corbin Day” to all who celebrate. This has been some early-season bread and butter over the years as we’ve targeted teams playing against Corbin on the regular with our MLB predictions. The Nationals southpaw has posted some outrageously awful numbers over the years and hasn’t posted a full-season ERA under 5.00 since 2020. 

His first outing this season was terrible and while some might cite Great American Smallpark, anyone who knows Corbin understands that the ballpark doesn’t matter. His swinging-strike rate has been under 10-percent for each of the last two seasons and last year, he was pitching to a 90.5-percent contact rate inside the zone. He’s not going to get away with that against these Phillies bats. 

I’m not a huge fan of how Aaron Nola is pitching, but even if the Nationals poke him for a couple of runs, it’s tough to imagine the Phillies bats not giving him the support he needs in a smash-spot like this. There’s no value on the money line, but we’ve got a few looks to favor the visiting Philadelphia here that should prove to be worthwhile bets.




Best MLB Props Today, 4/5: Strikeout Bets