MLB Stolen Base Picks Today: Best Stolen Base Predictions For May 26th, 2026
Welcome back for the best stolen base picks today, a new Fantasy Alarm betting feature that has been helping you build that bankroll. It’s a tough market to crack with its high variance, so consider it more of a tool to help augment your bankroll rather than a safe way to steadily build it. Take yesterday’s action, for example – there were only nine stolen bases recorded yesterday. Even though stolen bases are up this year in comparison to the last three seasons, you can have a day like we did yesterday, where no one is swiping bags. Is that the case today? I don’t think so. We’ve actually got some interesting pitchers to attack on the mound today, so let’s dive into the research first, and then let’s get to the MLB stolen base picks today.
Also, don’t forget to check out the latest edition of the new weekly stolen base report, as that series will continue to accrue data, which will help us out on a daily basis. Everything you need for both daily and weekly fantasy baseball help. And speaking of daily help…you’ll also want to check out the best fantasy sports promo codes from the top legal sites in your state. And don’t forget to also crush your MLB DFS contests today with our DFS Playbook, Starting Lineups, Lineup Generator & DFS Tools!
Best MLB Stolen Base Prop Predictions Today
Identifying the best stolen base predictions requires matching elite sprint speeds against defensive liabilities, and today’s board features incredible betting value across several players, from top stars to some bottom-of-the-lineup supporting characters. Take a look below, but let’s be sure to match them up with the pitchers allowing the most steals to date. Be sure to check in with our MLB Odds Finder to find the best values.
- Chandler Simpson, Tampa Bay Rays (+197)
- Jose Caballero, New York Yankees (+201)
- Fernando Tatis, Jr., San Diego Padres (+255)
- Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Guardians (+258)
- Bobby Witt, Kansas City Royals (+267)
- Xavier Edwards, Miami Marlins (+277)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong, Chicago Cubs (+285)
- Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+295)
- Nico Hoerner, Chicago Cubs (+296)
- Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks (+296)
*Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Pitchers Most Vulnerable to Stolen Bases Today
When hunting for successful MLB stolen base picks today, targeting the right pitcher is half the battle. The following list is made up of the day’s starting pitchers who have allowed the most stolen bases this season.
- Joe Ryan, Minnesota Twins – 10 SB allowed
- Joey Cantillo, Cleveland Guardians – 10 SB allowed
- Sean Burke, Chicago White Sox – 9 SB allowed
- Kyle Freeland, Colorado Rockies – 7 SB allowed
- Sandy Alcantara, Miami Marlins – 7 SB allowed
Catchers Allowing the Most Stolen Bases
The final piece of the puzzle for finding the best stolen base predictions involves looking behind the dish at catcher pop times and throwing accuracy. How many times teams attempt to steal a base on a particular catcher is a strong indicator of who we expect to see doing the most running today. The following backstops have the lowest Caught Stealing% with a minimum of 10 SB attempts against them.
- Drew Millas, Washington Nationals – 7% CS (14 att)
- Francisco Alvarez, New York Mets – 9% CS (11 att)
- Sebastian Rivero, Los Angeles Angels – 10% CS (10 att)
- Victor Caratini, Minnesota Twins – 11% CS (19 att)
- Liam Hicks, Miami Marlins – 12% CS (25 att)
- Bo Naylor, Cleveland Guardians – 13% CS (16 att)
- Hunter Feduccia, Tampa Bay Rays – 14% CS (14 att)
Best MLB Stolen Base Picks Today:
Locking in the best stolen base predictions means finding the absolute perfect storm of a high-on-base runner and a weak battery. Here are our top two MLB stolen base picks today for Tuesday, May 26:
Favorite Bets:
Nasim Nunez, Washington Nationals (+295) – I bet the odds would look a little tastier if we knew whether it would be Patrick Bailey or Austin Hedges behind the plate for the Guardians. Bailey has a 32-percent caught-stealing rate, which is better than most catchers, but obviously not perfect. If it’s Hedges, we’re even happier. But regardless, I’m still going to take a shot here on Nunez hitting from the right side of the plate against lefty Joey Cantillo. First off, Nunez has outstanding sprint speed and a 92-percent success rate on the bases, which, for 22 steals on the year, is pretty darn good. He also has a .389 OBP with a near-15-percent walk-rate against southpaws this season. Cantillo is allowing a .344 OBP with a 13.2-percent walk rate to right-handed bats this season, so I expect Nunez to be able to get on base. The sprint speed will help against Bailey, and I think we cash here.
Longshot:
Sam Antonacci, Chicago White Sox (+471) – After a day off on Sunday, Antonacci got back to business yesterday, swiping his third base in five games. It’s a tough opponent in Twins righty Joe Ryan, but he’s allowed 10 stolen bases this year (most on today’s slate), and lefties have been hitting him better than righties have. That helps, especially when Antonacci has a .398 OBP against righties this season. We can also look to the fact that Twins backstop Victor Caratini has been one of the worst at throwing out baserunners – just an 11-percent caught-stealing rate on 19 attempts.
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