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There are a number of excellent options to choose from as two-start pitchers this week, in both the top tier and the middle tier. Of course, there are also a large number of pitchers you want to avoid using unless you want to damage your ratio and counting stat totals for Week 14, but that is nothing unusual. Let’s get ready for July by analyzing the dual start options over the upcoming scoring period.

Please realize that these articles feature most recent rotation information available when the article is written, but that circumstances do change due to weather conditions, injuries and general craziness with managers. If a pitcher listed here as having two starts ends up with one (or perhaps none) in the upcoming week, apologies but this article is meant to provide analysis, it is up to the manager to set the lineups or rotations.

Without further ado, here are this week’s two start pitchers:

 

Start 'em If You Own 'em

 

Starting Pitcher

First Start/Opponent/Date

Second Start/Opponent/Date

Stephen Strasburg WAS

vs. NYM Steven Matz

vs. ATL Julio Teheran

 

Mon 7/3 6:05 PM ET

Sat 7/8 4:05 PM ET

Yu Darvish TEX

vs. BOS Rick Porcello

vs. LAA Alex Meyer

 

Mon 7/3 8:05 PM ET

Sun 7/9 3:05 PM ET

David Price BOS

@ TEX Andrew Cashner 

@ TB Blake Snell

 

Tue 7/4 8:05 PM ET

Sun 7/9 1:10 PM ET

Marcus Stroman TOR

@ NYY Masahiro Tanaka

vs. HOU Mike Fiers

 

Mon 7/3 7:05 PM ET

Sat 7/8 1:07 PM ET

Ivan Nova PIT

@ PHI Aaron Nola

@ CHC Jake Arrieta

 

Mon 7/3 7:05 PM ET

Sat 7/8 7:15 PM ET

Felix Hernandez SEA

vs. KC Danny Duffy 

vs. OAK Daniel Gossett

 

Tue 7/4 6:40 PM ET

Sun 7/9 4:10 PM ET

Masahiro Tanaka NYY

vs. TOR Marcus Stroman

vs. MIL Jimmy Nelson

 

Mon 7/3 7:05 PM ET

Sun 7/9 1:05 PM ET

Steven Matz NYM

@ WAS Stephen Strasburg 

@ STL Lance Lynn

 

Mon 7/3 6:05 PM ET

Sun 7/9 2:15 PM ET

Jimmy Nelson MIL

vs. BAL Ubaldo Jimenez

@ NYY Masahiro Tanaka

 

Tue 7/4 4:10 PM ET

Sun 7/9 1:05 PM ET

Jameson Taillon PIT

@ PHI Mark Leiter Jr.

@ CHC John Lackey

 

Tue 7/4 4:05 PM ET

Sun 7/9 1:10 PM ET

Zack Godley ARI

@ LAD Hyun-Jin Ryu

vs. CIN Homer Bailey

 

Tue 7/4 9:10 PM ET

Sun 7/9 4:10 PM ET

 

For those who are looking to add a sleeper starting pitcher, Godley was the choice although his ownership percentages have been rising with the success he has had this season, after suffering through a disastrous 2016. Pitching in Arizona can be a tough process, but he gets Cincy at home which tempers the risk in Week 14.

It is good to have Felix Hernandez back in form, after recovering from his early season shoulder injury, and he gets two home starts this week. If you were able to wait on his return, you are now being rewarded for your patience.

Pittsburgh has a pair of two-start options this coming week in Nova and Taillon, and both are worth considering even though they are on the road for all their appearances.

 

Maybe Yes, Maybe No

 

Starting Pitcher

First Start/Opponent/Date

Second Start/Opponent/Date

Joe Ross WAS

vs. NYM Seth Lugo

vs. ATL Sean Newcomb

 

Tue 7/4 11:05 AM ET

Sun 7/9 1:35 PM ET

Trevor Bauer CLE

vs. SD Luis Perdomo

vs. DET Daniel Norris

 

Tue 7/4 7:10 PM ET

Sun 7/9 8:05 PM ET

J.A. Happ TOR

@ NYY Luis Cessa

vs. HOU David Paulino

 

Tue 7/4 1:05 PM ET

Sun 7/9 1:07 PM ET

Hyun-Jin Ryu LAD

vs. ARI Zack Godley

vs. KC Ian Kennedy

 

Tue 7/4 9:10 PM ET

Sun 7/9 4:10 PM ET

Aaron Nola PHI

vs. PIT Ivan Nova

vs. SD Jhoulys Chacin

 

Mon 7/3 7:05 PM ET

Sat 7/8 4:05 PM ET

Sean Newcomb ATL

vs. HOU David Paulino

@ WAS Joe Ross

 

Tue 7/4 7:35 PM ET

Sun 7/9 1:35 PM ET

Kyle Freeland COL

vs. CIN Homer Bailey

vs. CHW Carlos Rodon

 

Tue 7/4 8:10 PM ET

Sun 7/9 3:10 PM ET

Jose Urena MIA

@ STL Lance Lynn

@ SF Matt Cain

 

Tue 7/4 2:15 PM ET

Sun 7/9 4:05 PM ET

Alex Meyer LAA

@ MIN Adalberto Mejia

@ TEX Yu Darvish

 

Mon 7/3 8:10 PM ET

Sun 7/9 3:05 PM ET

Lance Lynn STL

vs. MIA Jose Urena

vs. NYM Steven Matz

 

Tue 7/4 2:15 PM ET

Sun 7/9 2:15 PM ET

 

Ross has allowed just five earned runs over his past three games, all of which were quality starts (QS). He seemed a lost cause when his ERA ballooned to 7.34 following a three inning loss in Oakland, but perhaps has now turned the corner, based on his last three outings. Plus, both his starts in Week 14 are at home.

Bauer is another pitcher that was unusable for fantasy for an extended time, but by employing his curveball more, he is pitching much better. He has the occasional blowup, such as where he allowed four earned runs to the Twins on June 23rd, but facing the Padres and Tigers at home in Week 14 will help him continue to reduce his inflated ratios.

Happ, the veteran southpaw, is working on a four game QS streak, where he has accumulated 24 Ks over 25.2 innings pitched. He now sports a 3.71 ERA and 1.18 WHIP, although heading to Yankee Stadium and then hosting the Astros this week is not a great pair of matchups. If you believe in the hot hand theory, however, he is an option in Week 14, despite his team’s struggles this season.

Ryu had a scare in his latest start, getting nailed on the left foot with a batted ball, but fortunately for him and the Dodgers, x-rays came back negative, allowing him to be scheduled for a pair of starts this coming week. He is not pitching deep into games, so the quality starts and victories are lacking. Despite the limited innings pitched, he is a good source for Ks (8.55 K/9) and has decent control (2.72 BB/9 over his 72.2 innings). He has a pair of home starts in Week 14, another plus for him and his owners.

Nola is coming off a pair of starts where he pitched 7.1 and 7.0 innings, both victories. He is a good source of Ks (8.82 K/9 this season) but needs to work on his control as he is allowing just over three walks per nine innings. His groundball tendencies help him out, though. He would be a better option this week if he were not pitching at home for both his starts this week, as he has been more of a road warrior this season. He has slowly been working his ratios in a positive direction, and now offers a 4.13 ERA and 1.29 WHIP, not excellent numbers but certainly useful with the lack of pitching in 2017.

Newcomb has pitched well since joining the Braves’ rotation, twirling four consecutive QS in four games. The matchups this week, facing the Astros at home and then trundling off to the Capitol to face the Nats, are the reason he is so low on this week’s list. He is just an average strikeout producer to date (7.77 K/9) and although his FIP is an excellent 2.99, his 1.48 ERA is due for some correction, especially with an unsustainable .263 BABIP and 88% strand rate.

Freeland has been great at Coors Field in his rookie campaign, posting a 3.21 ERA in 42.0 innings at home with just three dingers allowed. With two more home games in Week 14, against Cincinnati and the White Sox, he has a good chance to provide solid fantasy value. Of course, there is some risk, as he does not miss that many bats and hands out too many free passes (5.28 K/9, 3.46 BB/9) and his FIP is currently a poor 4.93, so there are some areas of concern.

Urena brings a useful 3.42 ERA and 1.23 WHIP into Week 14, although for someone who throws a mid-90 MPH fastball, you would expect a better K rate than his terrible 5.66 K/9. He also needs to develop better control (3.18 BB/9 over 76.1 innings pitched as a starter and in relief) as his peripherals hint at regression being around the corner: .257 BABIP, 4.85 FIP and 76.5% strand rate. He does get to pitch in a couple of good pitcher-friendly parks in St. Louis and San Francisco this week, so there is that.

Meyer has been successful in the Angel rotation this season, compiling a 3.74 ERA, despite a horrific 6.02 BB/9. He does strike out more than his fair share of batters, having a superb 10.08 K/9 through 55.1 innings pitched in 2017 to date. He also helps himself by generating a ton of grounders (1.71 GB/FB ratio). He has two road starts this week, and that is a negative, as his ERA sits at 6.75 ERA in his five starts away from home, so there is a considerable risk in Week 14, and discretion may lead you to avoid him in this scoring period.

Lynn has two home starts, which is why he is in the middle tier. He did have a pair of bad outings prior to his latest start, allowing 14 earned runs over 10.1 innings, but a quality start on the road against Arizona gives some hope he can bounce back from his struggles. He is a decent K option (8.60 K/9 on the season) but struggles with his control (3.60 BB/9 over 16 starts in 2017), but then again, that has been a trademark for the 30-year old righty over his career. The start at the beginning of the week against the Marlins is his better option this week.

 

Not On My Roster

 

Starting Pitcher

First Start/Opponent/Date

Second Start/Opponent/Date

Rick Porcello BOS

@ TEX Yu Darvish

@ TB Alex Cobb

 

Mon 7/3 8:05 PM ET

Sat 7/8 4:10 PM ET

Adam Wainwright STL

vs. MIA Jeff Locke

vs. NYM Rafael Montero

 

Mon 7/3 7:15 PM ET

Sat 7/8 4:10 PM ET

Homer Bailey CIN

@ COL Kyle Freeland

@ ARI Zack Godley

 

Tue 7/4 8:10 PM ET

Sun 7/9 4:10 PM ET

Ubaldo Jimenez BAL

@ MIL Jimmy Nelson

@ MIN Kyle Gibson

 

Tue 7/4 4:10 PM ET

Sun 7/9 2:10 PM ET

Jeff Locke MIA

@ STL Adam Wainwright

@ SF Jeff Samardzija

 

Mon 7/3 7:15 PM ET

Sat 7/8 10:05 PM ET

John Lackey CHC

vs. TB Blake Snell

vs. PIT Jameson Taillon

 

Tue 7/4 2:20 PM ET

Sun 7/9 1:10 PM ET

Jeff Hoffman COL

vs. CIN Luis Castillo

vs. CHW Jose Quintana

 

Mon 7/3 8:10 PM ET

Sat 7/8 9:10 PM ET

Daniel Norris DET

vs. SF Matt Cain

@ CLE Trevor Bauer

 

Tue 7/4 1:10 PM ET

Sun 7/9 8:05 PM ET

Blake Snell TB

@ CHC John Lackey

vs. BOS David Price

 

Tue 7/4 2:20 PM ET

Sun 7/9 1:10 PM ET

Wade Miley BAL

@ MIL TBA

@ MIN Adalberto Mejia

 

Mon 7/3 2:10 PM ET

Sat 7/8 2:10 PM ET

Ian Kennedy KC

@ SEA Andrew Moore

@ LAD Hyun-Jin Ryu

 

Mon 7/3 10:10 PM ET

Sun 7/9 4:10 PM ET

Carlos Rodon CHW

@ OAK Jesse Hahn

@ COL Kyle Freeland

 

Mon 7/3 9:05 PM ET

Sun 7/9 3:10 PM ET

Matt Cain SF

@ DET Daniel Norris

vs. MIA Jose Urena

 

Tue 7/4 1:10 PM ET

Sun 7/9 4:05 PM ET

Jesse Hahn OAK

vs. CHW Carlos Rodon

@ SEA TBA

 

Mon 7/3 9:05 PM ET

Sat 7/8 10:10 PM ET

Luis Castillo CIN

@ COL Jeff Hoffman

@ ARI Taijuan Walker

 

Mon 7/3 8:10 PM ET

Sat 7/8 10:10 PM ET

David Paulino HOU

@ ATL Sean Newcomb

@ TOR J.A. Happ

 

Tue 7/4 7:35 PM ET

Sun 7/9 1:07 PM ET

Adalberto Mejia MIN

vs. LAA Alex Meyer

vs. BAL Wade Miley

 

Mon 7/3 8:10 PM ET

Sat 7/8 2:10 PM ET

Daniel Gossett OAK

vs. CHW James Shields

@ SEA Felix Hernandez

 

Tue 7/4 4:05 PM ET

Sun 7/9 4:10 PM ET

Kyle Gibson MIN

vs. LAA JC Ramirez

vs. BAL Ubaldo Jimenez

 

Tue 7/4 2:10 PM ET

Sun 7/9 2:10 PM ET

Jerad Eickhoff PHI

vs. PIT Jameson Taillon

vs. SD Luis Perdomo

 

Tue 7/4 4:05 PM ET

Sun 7/9 1:35 PM ET

Luis Perdomo SD

@ CLE Trevor Bauer

@ PHI Mark Leiter

 

Tue 7/4 7:10 PM ET

Sun 7/9 1:35 PM ET

 

It has not been a great post-Cy Young season for Porcello, but his teammates have also not provided a ton of offensive support, as in his last start against the Twins. Two road games in Week 14 are not indicative of fantasy value for him. Perdomo has upside, with a 94.0 MPH fastball, but two road starts make him unusable this week. Snell is another upside SP, but he has not shown any sort of control during his time in the majors (an atrocious 5.74 BB/9 over his nine starts). All these pitchers in the bottom tier, as is the case week after week, should not be relied upon for any sort of fantasy value and unless you are desperate for a start or two, none should be in your active rotation. There are perhaps one or two decent matchups in the bottom tier, but for most purposes, these SPs are to be avoided.

Please note that the Fantasy Alarm Forums are now open for your use, to ask questions or provide your own commentary and wisdom. I enjoy responding to comments, or if you do not want to put your question out for public consumption, feel free to write me at ia@fantasyalarm.com for a more personal response to your specific issue. The more detail you can provide about your team and league, including settings (H2H vs roto, points or categories, weekly or daily moves, roster size, league size, etc.) the better my response will be suited to your individual situation. I am open to questions about issues apart from starting pitching, too, as I play fantasy sports as well as serve as an analyst. As ever, good luck and Godspeed in all your fantasy endeavors.

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