Milwaukee Bucks @ Phoenix Suns

Spread: MIL -4.5

O/U: 228



Jrue Holiday - OUT


Chris Paul - QUEST

Jae Crowder - QUEST

Abdel Nader - QUEST

Dario Saric - OUT

Cameron Payne - OUT

Defense vs. Position (DvP)

Milwaukee - 5th vs. PG / 1st vs. SG / 23rd vs. SF / 14th vs. PF / 14th vs. C

Phoenix - 1st vs. PG / 8th vs. SG / 1st vs. SF / 8th vs. PF / 16th vs. C


Giannis Antetokounmpo

Look, nobody has as much upside as Giannis does on a 10-game slate, let alone a one-game showdown slab. Giannis is averaging 54.1 DKP/game this season and five times in his last eight games he’s put up north of 60 FP. It’s a tough match-up with PHX without a doubt, but the 2x MVP can really exploit any match-up on the board. He’s averaging 57.3 DKP/game on the road compared to just 50 DKP/game at home for what that’s worth.

Khris Middleton

With Jrue Holiday off the floor the last time out, Middleton went nuts putting up 60+ FP as he was the primary ball handler dishing out 12 assists. With Holiday off the floor this year, Middleton’s robust 1.55 FP/min average essentially rivals Giannis Antetokounmpo ’s, which is obviously rare air. Middleton’s a must play on this slate considering his upside/floor combination.

Devin Booker

I’d feel really good about Booker if Chris Paul is ultimately ruled out again, but either way the Suns will need Booker’s offense to stay competitive in this one. Even with Chris Paul on the floor, Booker has a team-high 30.1% USG rate and averages 1.04 FP/min, so he’s in play any way you slice it. That being said, with CP3 off the floor, Booker’s averages spike to 33.3% and 1.2, so yeah, wouldn’t mind if Paul sat here.

Mid Tier

Deandre Ayton

It’s been an up and down year for Ayton but there has been a lot of good lately as he’s coming off a 45 FP game while averaging 37 over his last six contests. Ayton actually leads the team in FP/min at 1.23 with both Chris Paul and Dario Saric off the floor, so for his sake, let’s get another game without both (Saric is already out). MIL is middle of the pack in DvP against centers so we can exploit them there.

Mikal Bridges

Things were a lot more consistent for Bridges earlier in the year, but he has seemingly replaced safety with GPP upside. He’s put up 34+ DKP in two straight games but has only cleared that number four times over his last 10 overall. Milwaukee ranks 23rd in DvP against the small-forward position and that’s where you look to attack them. 

Donte DiVincenzo

It’s been hard for DiVencenzo to carve out any consistent role with Milwaukee this year considering the three-headed monster they have on a nightly basis but with Jrue Holiday out, we saw a sneak peak behind the curtain of DDV’s upside. He put up 35.8 DKP and played 30 minutes and that’s significant because he only averages a tick over 25 MPG on the season. He’s averaging a FP/min with Holiday off the floor.

Value Tier

Bryn Forbes

We got word that Jrue Holiday was going to miss the Bucks last game two minutes prior to roster lock and it was announced that Forbes would start. He looked pretty good across the 25 minutes he saw, notching 15 actual points and five rebounds, good for 23.75 DKP. He’s still extremely cheap across the industry and should be in the starting lineup once again on Wednesday.

D.J. Augustin

As much as we like Forbes here, we should take a look at Augustin as a pivot in GPP’s. This is a guy who averaged nearly a FP/min in Orlando as their starting point-guard last season. We saw Augustin play just 21 minutes his last time out, but he had five assists in that span and only went 1-of-5 from three, so if the shots start falling the Bucks could elect to keep him on the court over Forbes. You’ll definitely gain leverage in tournaments using him over Forbes.