In the poetic words made popular by legendary DJ/music performer, Fred Durst, ‘Keep rollin’ rollin’ rollin’ rollin’ (uh)!’ That is exactly what Fantasy Alarm NBA Best Bets is doing, with SIX correct bets in row. No need to stop now, let the good times roll, there are ten NBA games today, only one of which is nationally televised, the Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies. There will be three great prop bets, almost all near even odds, and it will feature one new player and two familiar players. The Miami Heat play the Washington Wizards to begin the day, and the Heat are in desperate need of a ‘get right’ game as losers of seven of their last ten. The Phoenix Suns play the Hawks in Atlanta in what should be a high scoring showdown, a plus odds prop comes out of this match. The San Antonio Spurs host the New Orleans Pelicans, and the Bet of the Night is on a rookie that can not stay away from this column, Victor Wembanyama. 

NBA BET OF THE NIGHT

VICTOR WEMBANYAMA OVER 2.5 BLOCKS -125 DK

Victor Wembanyama is a special player, and the NBA made a point to showcase him in several nationally televised games. Due to that, the eye test and what he accomplishes with limited minutes on the court is something special to behold. He played his best basketball last month, and one telling statistic was his forty-six blocks in fourteen games. He had three or more blocks in eight games last month, and one or more in all but one game in which he only played twenty-one minutes. Wembanyama has averaged over thirty minutes in his last three games, and has the volume to stuff the stat sheet every night. Tonight the San Antonio Spurs play against the New Orleans Pelicans who have two forwards that score often, Brandon Ingram and Zion Williamson. Z. Williamson has absolutely no left hand, even a high school player could scout that on film. Williamson also averages sixteen field goal attempts per game, and has been shooting much more lately. V. Wembanyama obviously can block small guards, but CJ McCollum has range, it is more likely that Wembanyama earns his blocks from the Pelicans front court, and he can honestly get three off of Z. Williamson alone. A difficult statistic to earn, an energizing statistic to watch, and one that V. Wembanyama has cashed for us more than once.

 

NBA PROP BETS

BAM ADEBAYO OVER 11.5 REBOUNDS -125 MGM

Bam Adebayo is one of the, if not the, best USA born center in the Association, and he is making his first appearance on Fantasy Alarm NBA Best Bets. He receives little credit from media or basketball fantasy heads, and is relatively unknown by casual fans. He is quietly having an amazing season, averaging a double-double of 20.6 points and 10.6 rebounds per game. The Miami Heat have been playing poorly as of late, but are one team you can never count out. A large part of that is B. Adebayo’s consistency, he averages 34.8 minutes per game and they need every second from him. The Heat are 25-23 on the season, and have a game which they are predicted to win. Daniel Gafford of the Washington Wizards has been playing better, but B. Adebayo is a more complete center. This could be a tightly contested game and Adebayo will play his average minutes or more against the team that allows the most rebounds per game to opposing teams, 57.4. The Wizards allow the eighth most points and rebounds to opposing centers and B. Adebayo is set for a big night, several offensive rebounds, and a chance to be the star of the game. He is averaging eleven rebounds in his past ten games, and needs only one more over his average for this bet to cash.

JUSUF NURKIC DOUBLE-DOUBLE +115 MGM

Jusuf Nurkic has been on this column a few times, and to be honest of the three bets this is by far the biggest risk. But to quote the great tragedian Pierre Corneille, ‘To win without risk is to triumph without glory’. This column is close to ten in a row, and it has now become a short-term goal to get there, but when looking at the lines, the professional move of betting smart could not be ignored. J. Nurkic’s rebounding line is at 9.5, and the over is anywhere from –125 to -140 on other books. This is a perfectly acceptable line to take, and anyone that would like to take exclusively the rebounds should. However, the double-double line is at +115 and the only way J. Nurkic is getting a double-double is with points and rebounds. So a swing of +55 odds for essentially the same statistic to happen.

With such great scorers around him sometimes he does not get ten points, this is understandable. He does average 11.8 points and 10.3 rebounds per game, and the Phoenix Suns are playing the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena. The Hawks allow the eighth most points and rebounds to opposing centers. The total line for this game is currently 249 with a -3.5 spread in favor of the Suns. That is a lot of scoring with a tight spread indicating both teams will need their starters throughout the game. J. Nurkic earned a double-double in the Suns last game, and could earn another tonight… All that is needed for a positive odds bet to cash, is for J. Nurkic to earn his average.

 

Thanks for reading. Remember to check out Fantasy Alarm for all your fantasy and betting needs across multiple sports. 
Bet Smart, Be Lucky - Iggy

*All Bets to be placed at 1 unit unless specified otherwise