What we witnessed in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals was one of the greatest playoff performances we could possibly ask for - and one of the most stunning upsets of the 2026 NBA playoffs. Victor Wembanyama put up 41 points and 24 rebounds WITHOUT De'Aaron Fox to lead the Spurs to a 122-115 double-overtime road win, and now Oklahoma City must respond Wednesday night with the series slipping away. We're here with our best Spurs vs. Thunder predictions for Game 2.

We'll also share Wednesday night's Polymarket promotion so you can put your Spurs vs. Thunder picks to work on the world's largest prediction market - fully legal in all 50 states.

🔥 Spurs vs. Thunder Expert Predictions for Game 2, 5/20

Let's be clear about what happened in Game 1 before diving into our Spurs vs. Thunder predictions: San Antonio just beat the best team in basketball, on the road, in double overtime, without their second-leading scorer. Wembanyama's 41-point, 24-rebound performance was the stuff of legend - he became just the second player in NBA history, alongside Wilt Chamberlain, to post 40+ points and 20+ rebounds in a Conference Finals debut. 

Dylan Harper was equally absurd, becoming the first rookie to post 20/10/5/5 in a playoff game since Magic Johnson in 1980. And yet, OKC still has every reason to believe in their team with Spurs vs. Thunder predictions. The Thunder scored 24 points in the fourth quarter of regulation and had multiple chances to close the game out before the Spurs clawed back. Alex Caruso was unconscious - 31 points on eight threes, a playoff career high - and Jalen Williams added 26. 

The problem was that the rest of the roster went completely flat. Nobody outside of those three scored more than eight points. Chet Holmgren was held to just 8 points and 8 rebounds by Wembanyama's defensive presence, and SGA's 24-point night wasn't enough to carry the load when the supporting cast disappeared. For our NBA expert picks, OKC's ability to get contributions from its role players - not just the stars - is the defining question of Wednesday night’s Spurs vs. Thunder predictions.

🏅 Spurs vs. Thunder Best Bet: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 27.5 Points (Use Polymarket To Trade On Anything)

Before we fully dive into our best bet, the Fox storyline adds another wrinkle. Castle (17 pts, 11 assists) and Harper more than filled the void in Game 1, but Fox is expected to return on Wednesday, according to ESPN's Marc Spears. So, where should we now focus our Spurs vs. Thunder predictions for Game 2?

While we mentioned OKC’s role players above, and they do have a ton of depth, it’s clear that SGA needs to be his normal MVP self if they’re going to get through Wemby and the Spurs. It’s much easier said than done, but he said in his post-game presser that he knows that adjustments are needed for his side to come through for Spurs vs. Thunder predictions.

He does heavily rely on driving to the basket and getting foul calls, but with Wemby’s ridiculous length down low, he needs to mix things up. Let’s not forget that SGA’s points prop is generally 29.5 to 31.5, so we’re already getting some value in that regard. As for their regular season meetings, he averaged 29.5 points per game vs. San Antonio.

The playoffs are proving to be a different beast, but we’ve seen him bounce back from subpar scoring games enough for us to be confident making the best bet from our Spurs vs. Thunder predictions on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 27.5 points (submit a trade with Polymarket prediction market).

 

 

 

👀 How To Watch Spurs vs. Thunder Game 2

After one of the most thrilling games in recent NBA playoff memory, Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals at Paycom Center on Wednesday night is must-watch basketball. Here's how to watch Spurs vs. Thunder Game 2:

  • Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK
  • When: 8:30 PM ET on 5/20
  • Watch on TV: NBC
  • Where to stream: Peacock

🔢 Spurs vs. Thunder Odds, Spreads, Total & Betting Lines

Despite losing Game 1 at home, OKC remains a substantial favorite. Here are the latest Spurs vs. Thunder odds for Game 2:

 

 

 

🏀 Spurs vs. Thunder Injury Report & Latest News

The biggest Spurs vs. Thunder injury development heading into Game 2 is De'Aaron Fox. The All-Star guard missed Game 1 with a right ankle sprain he initially aggravated against Minnesota and then tweaked again late in the series-clinching Game 6. There is optimism that he returns for Wednesday night, but his status should be monitored closely as tip-off approaches. 

David Jones Garcia remains out for San Antonio for the rest of the postseason with an ankle injury of his own. On the Oklahoma City side of Spurs vs. Thunder injuries, the Thunder are fully healthy. Jalen Williams returned from a hamstring strain that kept him out of the entire second round against the Los Angeles Lakers and played through Game 1. 

Keep up with all the latest Spurs vs. Thunder injury news with our Fantasy Alarm NBA injury report before locking in your picks for Game 2.

💲 How To Make Spurs vs. Thunder Picks At Polymarket & Claim Your Guaranteed Bonus w/ Promo Code ALARM

Whether you're riding with our Spurs vs. Thunder predictions for Game 2 or charting your own course after the insanity of Game 1, Polymarket is the most unique place to put them to work. Getting set up before Wednesday's tip-off is straightforward:

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After what happened in Game 1, the Polymarket markets on this series are going to be moving fast on Wednesday night. ➡️ Register here ⬅️ right now and activate code ALARM before the 8:30 PM ET tip-off at Paycom Center!