Saturdays are often a tricky MLB DFS day based on the fact that there are games beginning at various times and there are a plethora of different slates. For our purposes here, the MLB DFS main slate we are covering is the nine games that begin at 4pm on the East coast. The forecast isn’t ideal across the country today so that means it is even more critical to stay plugged into the latest MLB Weather, MLB News, and MLB Lineups leading up to first pitch. Early indications are to be extremely cautious with the games in Washington, Philadelphia, and New York with the storms traveling up the east coast. With that bit of housekeeping out of the way, let’s dig into some MLB DFS value options for this afternoon.
DFS Value Pitchers
Aaron Ashby (MIL); DraftKings - $7,500; FanDuel - $6,800; Yahoo - $38
Ashby makes his return tonight and his last three starts prior to being placed on the Injured List with forearm woes left a sour taste as he allowed 14 runs in 15 innings. The thought process here is that Ashby wasn’t pitching at 100% effectiveness during that stretch and his 4.26 ERA illustrates how good he was prior to that. In eight starts so far this season, Ashby has struck out about 11 batters per nine innings to go along with his 3.03 xERA. In 149 batted balls this season, opposing hitters have just six barrels against Ashby and that makes him a pitcher to target today against Pittsburgh.
George Kirby (SEA); DraftKings - $7,800; FanDuel - $8,500; Yahoo - $40
No pitcher on today’s slate has as much upside, especially from a strikeout perspective at the price point, as Kirby. The right-hander also has one of, if not the best, matchup against Oakland this afternoon. Prior to Kirby’s last start which just should be forgotten about as he allowed four home runs to the Orioles, the rookie made it through six innings in four of his prior five starts allowing just four runs in total. With two home runs allowed per nine innings, that is a clear problem for Kirby, but facing Oakland should minimize that damage. It also works in his favor that he walks just 1.19 batters per nine innings while striking out 8.32.
DFS Value Hitters
Kolten Wong, 2B (MIL); DraftKings - $3,000; FanDuel - $2,900; Yahoo - $22
The Brewers are going to be an attractive option today against Pittsburgh and Bryse Wilson with the betting markets expecting Milwaukee to eclipse the five-run mark. Wong is a key bat, in the middle of the order, for the Brewers who also has the platoon advantage. Over the last ten games, Wong is hitting .278 with a .378 on-base percentage, with eight runs scored, two home runs, and six RBI. Wong’s splits are even more startling as he is hitting .272 against right-handers with all five of his home runs and 18 of his 19 RBI for the season compared to just .109 against southpaws.
LaMonte Wade, OF (SF); DraftKings - $3,900; FanDuel - $2,400; Yahoo - $10
Back from the Injured List, we can’t talk about splits and success against right-handed pitching without putting Wade squarely on the radar. The outfielder has just 33 at bats under his belt so far this season, so instead, let’s revert back to last year when Wade hit .268 while enjoying the platoon advantage. In 299 at bats, Wade went deep 18 times while driving in 54 runs. If we follow that pace, probably not a good idea but it works from a DFS value perspective, Wade would be a top option if given 600 at bats against strictly right-handers.
Vinnie Pasquantino, 1B (KC); DraftKings - $2,500; FanDuel - $2,200; Yahoo - $9
After two hitless games to begin his Major League career, although he did walk twice on Wednesday, Pasquantino got on the board last night as he went deep for his first hit. I would expect to see Pasquantino back in the middle of the order today for Kansas City in which should be a favorable matchup against Detroit and Beau Brieske. We saw what the young first baseman can do at the minor league level and getting on the board last night should help his confidence.
Willi Castro, OF/3B/SS (DET); DraftKings - $2,000; FanDuel - $2,300; Yahoo - $7
Castro has been a solid contributor for Detroit as of late and has found himself in the middle of the batting order. He is hitting .262 overall on the season with 19 runs scored and 14 RBI in 52 games and while there might not be a tremendous amount of upside, the Tigers should have a strong day offensively and Castro figures to be a part of that and getting him at minimum price provides a fair amount of roster flexibility elsewhere.