MLB DFS Picks, Projections, Lineups & Stacks Today: Wednesday April 1, 2026
Published: Apr 01, 2026
Wednesday delivers a 10-game slate with heavy ownership concentration at pitcher and across the NYM, PHI, ATL, and TOR offensive clusters. NYY/SEA leads all games on the board as the top total of the slate, with the FD-exclusive late lock giving those builds maximum construction flexibility. LAA/CHC is the top total among earlier-locking games and draws the heaviest chalk concentration. This playbook covers every tier, every stack, and every leverage angle across the full slate. Make sure you check out all of the updated MLB DFS projections, lineup generator, and ownership projections ahead of today's slate.
⚡ THE SLATE DASHBOARD
| Slate | 10-Game Slate | DK Locks: 12:15 PM - 2:20 PM ET | FD Locks: 1:05 PM - 4:10 PM ET |
| Top Game Totals | NYY/SEA 8.9 (NYY 4.6 / SEA 4.3) | LAA/CHC 8.7 (LAA 4.7 / CHC 4.0) |
| Highest K-Projections | Garrett Crochet (BOS, 6.74) • Kevin Gausman (TOR, 6.48) • Freddy Peralta (NYM, 6.17) • Chris Sale (ATL, 6.16) • Cristopher Sanchez (PHI, 5.90) |
| Weather | 🚨 Wrigley (LAA/CHC): 39°F, 17 mph winds blowing in from center. 🚨 NYM/STL (Busch Stadium): 77% precipitation. Tight window between storm systems, late start or delay possible, check radar before lock. 🚨 PIT/CIN (Great American): 62% precipitation. Game starts dry but radar becomes active quickly no guarantee it finishes. |
💎 PITCHING COACH
Top Tier
Kevin Gausman (TOR) | vs COL
Gausman was outstanding in his 2026 debut, going six innings with 11 strikeouts, zero walks, and zero earned runs. His splitter was generating chase swings all night and his four-seamer had elite vertical movement. At 31.25 percent DK ownership, he is the highest-owned arm on the slate, and the matchup more than justifies it. Colorado has posted a .235 average and .670 OPS against right-handed pitching in 2026 with a wRC+ of 77. He also gets the added benefit of TOR having one of the better implied run totals on the slate, which gives him a real shot at a win bonus. Cash game must-roster.
Chris Sale (ATL) | vs ATH
Sale opened 2026 with six shutout innings against Kansas City, striking out six and limiting opponents to a .158 batting average. The matchup today is excellent. Oakland has been among the worst lineups against left-handed pitching in 2026, posting a .267 average and .846 OPS with a 43.8 percent strikeout rate. That strikeout rate is the number that jumps off the page. Sale is a legitimate GPP pivot off the Gausman chalk with comparable upside and six points of ownership separation.
Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | vs WSH
Sanchez was the NL Cy Young runner-up last season, going 13-5 with a 2.50 ERA and 212 strikeouts. He was dominant in his 2026 debut against the Rangers, striking out 10 over six innings. Today he draws a matchup against the Washington Nationals where the Phillies are one of the biggest favorites on the board. I'd look for yet another standout performance from Sanchez here this afternoon at a cheaper price tag than that of Sale and Crochet today.
Tarik Skubal (DET) | vs ARI | FD Only
Skubal is a two-time consecutive AL Cy Young winner making his second start of the season. He locked down San Diego in his opener and looks as sharp as he did at any point last season. Arizona has posted a .206 average and .642 OPS against left-handed pitching so far in 2026 . From an ownership standpoint he is just 11.31 percent FD ownership, which is a dramatic undervaluation for the best pitcher on the board. The DET offensive stack correlation makes him even more attractive. He is the centerpiece GPP build on FD today.
Value Plays
Matthew Boyd (CHC) | vs LAA
Boyd is sitting at 1.62 percent FD ownership and 10.64 percent DK, which is the most extreme ownership value gap on the slate. The matchup drives the case entirely. The Angels have posted a .167 average, .452 OPS against left-handed pitching so far in 2026, with a 38.1 percent strikeout rate. Boyd had seven strikeouts in a shaky opening day outing but this matchup could present another ceiling strikeout performance. The wind blowing in also really helps pitching today. The CHC offensive stack provides positive correlation, and at 1.62 percent FD ownership the leverage is essentially free.
Mike Burrows (HOU) | vs BOS
Burrows wasn't the sharpest in his opening day start but he did settle down and now faces a Red Sox offense that hasn't hit anyone this season, posting a strikeout rate close to 40% against right-handed pitching after striking out 13 times as a team last night against Hunter Brown and the Astros bullpen. The only draw back here is that he opposes Garrett Crochet which hurts his win equity.
Nick Pivetta (SD) | vs SF | FD Only
Pivetta had a rough opener against Detroit, but today he gets the best individual pitcher-versus-team matchup on the FD slate. San Francisco has posted a .165 average and .480 OPS against right-handed pitching in 2026 with a wRC+ of just 41. Pivetta went 13-5 with a 2.87 ERA last season and posted the lowest batting average against his fastball of any pitcher in baseball at .191. At 11.18 percent FD ownership in the late lock, he is the GPP differentiator in the SD offensive correlation build and one of the clearest value spots on the board.
💎 HITTING COACH
Elite Bats
George Springer (OF, TOR) | vs COL
Springer had one of the best seasons of his career in 2025, posting a .327 average, 32 home runs, and a .959 OPS at age 35. He looks healthy again and is set up beautifully today in a matchup against Rockies southpaw Kyle Freeland. Springer had a .221 ISO against southpaws last season with a .358 wOBA. The Blue Jays figure to be one of the highest rostered teams of the day.
Mike Trout (OF, LAA) | vs CHC
Trout went 6-for-13 with two home runs and seven walks against Houston to open the season. His sprint speed is back above 29 feet per second and his exit velocity numbers have been elite. He's hitting .300 with two homers and two steals on the season and get a matchup against a southpaw in Matthew Boyd. It has been a few years since Trout has hit left-handed pitching well but he's also been often injured. With a rejuvenated look, maybe he's back to being an elite hitter.
Aaron Judge (OF, NYY) | vs SEA | FD Only
This has certainly not been the greatest start to the season for Aaron Judge with the Yankees slugger hitting just .150 on the season with a 48% strikeout rate. That said, he's still Aaron Judge and still somehow that we can look to include as one of the top hitters on the slate, especially on a day where nobody is going to be playing him. A contrarian Aaron Judge has the ability to outright win you a tournament.
Value Bats (Salary Savers)
- Jorge Soler (OF, LAA): Soler missed significant time last season with a back injury that limited him to 12 home runs, and the Angels are getting a fully healthy version of him to open 2026. He faces Boyd today, a left-hander, which is the matchup that activates his best offensive profile. In 2023, his last full healthy season against lefties, he posted a 1.080 OPS with 14 home runs across 135 plate appearances. At 3.66 percent DK ownership, he is the salary-saving piece that unlocks the full LAA contrarian stack without sacrificing quality.
- Ernie Clement (2B/3B, TOR): Clement was one of the breakout stories of the 2025 postseason, setting the all-time record for hits in a single postseason with 30. Against left-handed pitching last season, he hit .326 with a .900 OPS and a wRC+ of 146 in 187 plate appearances, posting a 10.2 percent strikeout rate that was the best in baseball against southpaws. At 5.21 percent DK ownership, he gives you the same TOR-Gausman-Colorado exposure as Schneider at a 16-point ownership discount. If Colorado dips into a left-handed bullpen arm at any point tonight, Clement is the bat most likely to punish it.
- Giancarlo Stanton (OF, NYY): Stanton is at 2.17 percent FD ownership, which makes him one of the most extreme leverage plays on the board. He is also off to an incredibly hot start to the season, collecting multiple hits in each game played this season.
- Jo Adell (OF, LAA): Adell had a genuine breakout season in 2025, hitting a team-leading 37 home runs for the Angels. He faces Boyd today, a left-hander, and his split against southpaws last season was excellent: .277 average, .931 OPS, and a wRC+ of 154 in 104 plate appearances. At 2.71 percent DK ownership, he is the power depth piece of the LAA contrarian stack and one of the more extreme mismatches between real split quality and field ownership on the slate.
- Davis Schneider (2B/OF, TOR): Schneider is chalk at 21.38 percent DK, which changes how you use him. In cash, he is a no-brainer minimum-salary piece of the TOR Gausman stack drawing Colorado. In GPP, his ownership means builds without him that still run the Blue Jays stack come out ahead if the game busts. Against left-handed pitching last season, he posted a .708 OPS and a wRC+ of 106. Viable if Colorado goes to a bullpen southpaw, but Clement at 5.21 percent is the GPP version of this roster spot.
🏗️ THE STACKING BLUEPRINT
Primary Stack: Toronto Blue Jays
Targets: Guerrero, Springer, Okamoto, Schneider, Kirk, Clement
Opponent: Colorado Rockies
Pitcher Correlation: Stack WITH Kevin Gausman (31.25% DK own, chalk build)
The Blue Jays have one of the best implied run totals on the slate. Gausman is the chalk pitcher at 31.25 percent DK, and the TOR offensive pieces are similarly concentrated at the top. Guerrero hit .326 with a .946 OPS against lefties last season, which gives the stack a conditional ceiling if Colorado goes to a southpaw. Clement at 5.21 percent is the differentiated piece inside the build. Cash game construction anchors here. In GPP, use Clement over Schneider and look for low-owned pieces at other positions to escape the field density.
Primary Stack: Philadelphia Phillies
Targets: Schwarber, Turner, Harper, Bohm, Stott, Realmuto
Opponent: Washington Nationals
Pitcher Correlation: Stack WITH Cristopher Sanchez (22.56% DK own, chalk build)
Philly draws Washington with Sanchez on the mound and the Schwarber-Harper-Turner trio all in the 13-15 percent ownership range on DK. The stack itself is clean and the floor is legitimate in cash formats. In GPP, dropping one premium chalk piece for a lower-owned middle-order bat recovers the differentiation this build needs.
Primary Stack: New York Mets
Targets: Lindor, Soto, Polanco, Semien, Bichette
Opponent: St. Louis Cardinals
Pitcher Correlation: Stack WITH Freddy Peralta (19.15% DK own)
Lindor leads the slate in projection and the Mets have a strong implied run total against St. Louis. The problem is the ownership concentration: Lindor at 19.29 percent, Polanco at 15.59 percent, Soto at 13.95 percent, and Semien at 12.55 percent combine to make this the most field-correlated stack on DK. Strong cash floor. In GPP, this construction requires contrarian pitching or value plays elsewhere to overcome the density.
Contrarian Stack: Los Angeles Angels
Targets: Trout, Adell, Soler, Neto, O'Hoppe
Opponent: Chicago Cubs | Boyd as positive-correlation pitcher
Ownership Profile: Trout 4.44% | Adell 2.71% | Soler 3.66% | Neto 3.01%
The entire LAA stack sits below five percent DK ownership while drawing Boyd in a top-total game. Adell posted a .931 OPS against southpaws last season in 104 plate appearances and Soler posted a 1.080 OPS in 2023 when fully healthy. Those individual split profiles are worth chasing at these prices. Boyd at 10.64 percent DK and 1.62 percent FD is the correlation arm.
Contrarian Stack: New York Yankees
Targets: Judge, Bellinger, Chisholm, Grisham, Stanton
Opponent: Seattle Mariners | FD Only
Ownership Profile: Judge 6.81% | Stanton 2.17% | Bellinger 4.93% | Grisham 5.17%
One of the best power lineups in baseball is at a combined ownership profile well below ten percent in the FD late lock. Judge is at 6.81 percent despite two home runs this season. Stanton is at 2.17 percent. The Judge-Stanton combination in that matchup is one of the highest-ceiling, lowest-owned builds available on the board.
Additional Contrarian Stacks
- Marlins Stack (Contrarian): MIA draws the White Sox, who have been one of the most hittable pitching staffs in baseball for multiple seasons running. Caissie was acquired from the Cubs this offseason and brings legitimate power to the middle of the lineup. Alcantara at 6.13 percent DK is the underpriced correlation arm. The full MIA stack carries very low ownership across the board.
- Braves Stack (Contrarian): ATL draws the Athletics with Sale as the positive-correlation pitcher. Acuna, Olson, Baldwin, Riley, and Albies give this stack legitimate depth. The A's have a 43.8 percent strikeout rate against left-handers this season, which underpins Sale's upside ceiling and makes the ATL bats the beneficiary if he dominates.
- Padres Stack (FD Only, Contrarian): Tatis, Machado, Cronenworth, Sheets, and Bogaerts with Pivetta as the correlation pitcher. SF has posted a wRC+ of just 41 against right-handed pitching in 2026, the best pitcher matchup on the FD slate. The SD stack carries lower ownership than DET chalk and the NYY/NYM clusters that dominate the FD late-lock field.
📈 THE LEVERAGE REPORT (GAME THEORY)
The field is converging heavily on Gausman and Crochet at pitcher, with the NYM, PHI, ATL, and TOR offensive clusters generating the most ownership density. These are the five spots where structural differentiation is available without sacrificing quality game environments.
The Chalk (Popular) | The Pivot (Low Owned) | The Winning Logic |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman (31.25% DK) | Sale (24.79% DK) | Gausman is the highest-owned arm on the slate. Sale faces Oakland, who have a 43.8% K rate vs LHP, and carries a 6.5-point ownership gap with comparable matchup quality. Both are elite. Sale is just less crowded. |
| Crochet (28.71% DK) | Boyd (10.64% DK / 1.62% FD) | Crochet faces Houston, who have a wRC+ of 173 vs LHP this season. Boyd draws the Angels (wRC+ 50 vs LHP, 38.1% K rate) at 1.62% on FD. The matchup edge and ownership gap both point the same direction. |
| NYM/PHI/ATL chalk stacks (13-20% own) | LAA Stack (Trout 4.44%, Adell 2.71%, Soler 3.66%) | The entire LAA stack is under 5% ownership while Adell posted a .931 OPS vs LHP last season and Soler posted a 1.080 OPS vs LHP in 2023. The team-level Angels fade creates the gap. Individual split quality fills it. |
| Schneider (21.38% DK, chalk value) | Clement (5.21% DK) | Schneider is chalk. Clement accesses the same TOR-Gausman-Colorado spot at 5.21% with a .900 OPS and 10.2% K rate vs LHP last season. He's the GPP version of the same roster spot. |
| DET FD Stack (Greene 16.52%, Carpenter 16.43%) | NYY FD Stack (Judge 6.81%, Stanton 2.17%) | DET is FD chalk. So getting low-rostered Yankees allows for tournament winning upside. |
🎯 HEART OF THE ORDER
The core pieces for every lineup you build today. Ownership drives the cash versus GPP label.
| SP1 | Kevin Gausman (TOR) | 31.25% DK. 57.9% K rate in 2026 debut. COL vs RHP: .235 AVG / .670 OPS / wRC+ 77. Highest-owned arm; highest GPP penalty. |
| Core Bat | George Springer (TOR) | 14.9% DK. .327 AVG / .959 OPS in 2025. Off to stellar start and gets a lefty. |
| Core Bat | Mike Trout (LAA) | 4.44% DK. 6-for-13 / 2 HR / 7 BB vs HOU to open year. Engine of the LAA contrarian stack. |
| Core Bat | Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 19.29% DK. Slate projection leader. Most ownership-dense stack on DK: Lindor + Polanco 15.59% + Semien 12.55% + Soto 13.95%. |
| Value Play | Davis Schneider (TOR) | 21.38% DK. Chalk value. TOR-Gausman-COL exposure at minimum salary. 21.38% makes him a GPP liability. |
| Value Play | Ernie Clement (TOR) | 5.21% DK. vs LHP 2025: .326 AVG / .900 OPS / wRC+ 146 / 10.2% K rate. GPP version of the Schneider roster spot with 16 points of ownership separation. |
Player Pool
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