Parceling out if 2019 will be an outlier or a breakout for Hunter Dozier depresses his price in redraft leagues. A waiver wire wonder for many last season, Dozier appeared in 139 games with 75 runs, 26 home runs, 84 RBI, two stolen bases and a .279/.348/.522 slash line. His 9.4 walk percentage and 25.3 strikeout rate do not look unrepeatable but paying full retail for Dozier’s .243 isolated power could be risky due to the power spike across baseball last year.

In terms of plate discipline, Dozier cut his swinging strike percentage to a more palatable 11.5-percent with his contact remaining steady but a slight boost in his Z-Contact (in the strike zone) to 90.4-percent. Keeping in mind Dozier’s first full season in the majors occurred during his Age-27 season, late age breakouts can carry over but determining to what level will be a key.

According to Statcast, Dozier recorded 380 batted ball events with 38 barrels (10-percent), a 91.1 MPH average exit velocity and 16.7 degree...