Cincinnati Reds first baseman Joey Votto has had one hell of a big league career. He should surpass 300 career home runs this season and notch his 1,000th career RBI. For years, he was a high average, high OBP guy with nice pop, and hitting in a good stadium kept his runs scored and RBI numbers afloat. It’s been a rather rapid decline, however. In 2017, he hit 36 home runs, drove in 100 runs and hit .320 with a .454 on-base percentage. The past two years, he has just 27 home runs, 114 RBI and a .272 average with a .387 on-base percentage. He is a far better asset in OBP leagues, as his propensity to talk a walk hasn’t wavered, but the other statistics have. He’s no longer the fantasy asset he once was, but that doesn’t mean he’s worthless this season.

Let’s start with some of his Statcast numbers. His barrel rate was up from 2018, but still about 3 percentage points below where it was from 2015-2017. That’s certainly not great. His average exit velocity is actually right in...