Prior to 2017, Eduardo Escobar had 27 career home runs. In 2017, he hit 21 home runs in 129 games, after having just 18 in the 232 games before that. Were there questions about whether the power was legitimate? Sure, how could they not be? He then hit 23 home runs in 151 games the following season, and then in 2019, he swatted 35 long balls in a career-high 158 games. Yes, he did enjoy a nice increase in his HR/FB ratio, but it wasn’t anything too far from recent seasons, and his GB/FB ratio has remained rock solid through the past three seasons. Yes, he made more hard contact and less soft contact, so that’s encouraging, but does it parlay into a repeat of 2019 here in 2020 for Escobar, or do we get something comparable to a reality check in 2020? Let’s dive in.

He dedicated himself to lofting the ball. In 2015 and 2016, he hovered between 13.5 and 15 degrees on his launch angle. He hasn’t dropped below 17.5 percent in any of the past three seasons. His exit velocity has...