Are you ready for another week at Thrive Fantasy?

If you missed the introductory piece and are not familiar with Thrive Fantasy or their prop games, you should take a quick look at my introductory piece from last week for a real quick tutorial. It’s not complicated at all, but just in case you’re new to the space, it’s always good to brush up.

Now that you’re up to speed, let’s take a deeper dive into the contests this week. To keep it simple, we will again focus on the NFL $5 Rush. They have 20 props which I will list for you below with my thoughts on each one and you just need to pick 10 you like. Again, it helps to take some chances sometimes so you can maximize your points for the contests.

Remember, go to fantasyalarm.com./thrive to register and as an added incentive, Thrive Fantasy has graciously offered to immediately match your first deposit up to $250 if you use the promo code ALARM.

Jump in the $5 Rush to play against me or find another contest that may suit your preferences more. Either way, let’s make some money, #FANation. It’s right there for the taking!

Matt Ryan – 300.5 passing yards

  • Over = 95 pts
  • Under = 105 pts

Ryan has only thrown for more than 300 yards three times this season and over their last three games, the Saints have allowed an average of just 217 passing yards per game. While some have expectations of a potential shootout, the Saints’ switch from Jameis Winston to Taysom Hill at quarterback will alter the game flow and Ryan may not have to sling the rock as heavily to keep pace. Take the UNDER

Alvin Kamara – 59.5 rushing yards

  • Over = 110 pts
  • Under = 90 pts

We’re going to have to wait until the last minute to make our decision here as Kamara has missed practices Wednesday and Thursday. He’s hit the over in five of his nine games, but if he sits out practice Friday, then the under here is a free square and you take it. If he does practice in full and appears to have no limitations, then with Hill under center, we will want to hit the over. This section will be updated Saturday morning, but for now, the lean is the UNDER

Terry McLaurin – 82.5 receiving yards

  • Over = 100 pts
  • Under = 100 pts

Scary Terry has hit the over six times this season, including in each of his last three games. The Bengals pass defense ranks right there with that of Detroit, Dallas and the Giants, so it’s tough not to think this is Lucky No. 7 for the wideout. Take the OVER.

Tyler Boyd – 4.5 receptions

  • Over = 80 pts
  • Under = 120 pts

The under has hit just twice for Boyd this season and considering the fact that he’s averaging just over eight targets per game as Joe Burrow’s go-to guy, we can simply take these 80 gifted points. Take the OVER

Lamar Jackson – 21.5 completions

  • Over = 105 pts
  • Under = 95 pts

Jackson has completed more than 22 passes just once this season and with the way he’s played, no one is going to be on him for the over. In truth, the point total for the over should be much higher given what we’ve seen this year. But, of course, this is the week I have earmarked for a Ravens rebound and that includes Jackson’s passing attack. The Titans secondary is their weakness and if the Ravens defense struggles to contain Derrick Henry , Jackson could be throwing more. Take the OVER

Ryan Tannehill – 1.5 passing touchdowns

  • Over = 90 pts
  • Under = 110 pts

Tannehill has only thrown for fewer than two scores twice this season, so even though the Ravens run defense has been getting beaten up lately and the Titans will roll heavily with Derrick Henry , Tannehill is still going to throw. And hey, the last time these two teams met was the playoffs last year. Tannehill only completed 7-of-14 passes for 88 yards, but he still had two touchdowns that game. Take the OVER.

Carson Wentz – 0.5 interceptions

  • Over = 75 pts
  • Under = 125 pts

Went has been awful this season. The Eagles offensive line has been even worse. Cleveland may be without their top pass-rusher in Myles Garrett , but the Browns are still going to bum-rush Wentz and force him into some mistakes. The 75 points aren’t much, but this might be another free square this week. Take the OVER

Nick Chubb – 0.5 rushing touchdowns

  • Over = 110 pts
  • Under = 90 pts

Really scratching my head as to why the over is considered the riskier play here. The Browns love to run, the Eagles are allowing almost 150 yards per game on the ground over their last three and the weather sounds like it’s pushing towards a heavy run scheme. Chubb was a beast in his first game back last week, so I’ll smash the OVER

Robby Anderson – 0.5 receiving touchdowns

  • Over = 115 pts
  • Under = 85 pts

Does Robby Anderson get into the end zone this week? Yes, he does. There’s still talk of Teddy Bridgewater making an appearance, but even if he doesn’t, we’re still good with P.J. Walker under center. The former AAF and XFL star played his college ball at Temple under head coach Matt Rhule and guess who his go-to receiver was back then? Yup. It was Robby Anderson . Take the OVER

Deshaun Watson – 300.5 passing + rushing yards

  • Over = 95 pts
  • Under = 105 pts

This one is a little tougher and unlikely to be on my list of 10 I choose for my own lineup. He’s had four games where he’s passed for more than 300 yards and he’s rushed for at least 25 yards in each of his last five games. But New England is going to grind it out on the ground offensively which slows the pace of the game and their defensive weakness comes against the run, not the pass. The 48.5 total seems a little high, so I’m leaning the under which means for this prop, take the UNDER.

James Conner – 83.5 rushing + receiving yards

  • Over = 100 pts
  • Under = 100 pts

It’s been the under for each of the last three weeks for Conner and while this seems to be yet another smash-spot for him, he’s disappointed in smash-spots before. Not to mention, you’ve got Big Ben jelling with all three receivers, as well as tight end Eric Ebron . I’ll probably avoid this prop for my own list as well, but I’ll lean towards the UNDER.

Keenan Allen – 84.5 receiving yards

  • Over = 95 pts
  • Under = 105 pts

The Chargers are in a smash-spot against the Jets and after last week’s loss to Miami, you would expect Justin Herbert to want to come out and destroy the opposition this week. Allen is his No. 1 target week in and week out, but we can’t ignore that the under for this prop has hit five times. Or can we? The Jets pass defense is atrocious. I mean reeeeeeeallllllllly atrocious. Take the OVER.

Jerry Jeudy – 4.5 receptions

  • Over = 110 pts
  • Under = 90 pts

The Broncos are going to let Drew Lock try to play through his core-muscle/rib injury which is probably a huge mistake. Not that their other options are any good either, but Lock really looked bad last week trying to play through it. The Miami defense has been on fire lately and their cover corners have been the strength of their secondary. Take the UNDER

Tua Tagovailoa – 2.5 passing touchdowns + interceptions

  • Over = 85 pts
  • Under = 115 pts

Another head-scratcher for me here as to why this under is worth so much more than the over. Tua has thrown for two touchdowns in each of his last two games and he has yet to throw an interception. Are they assuming that, because Denver leads the league with 16 interceptions that Tua is bound to throw at least one? Maybe. But I’m going to say this is a low-scoring game (45.5 is the total) and if Tua does throw a pick, he’s only going to throw us one score. Take the UNDER.

Philip Rivers – 25.5 completions

  • Over = 100 pts
  • Under = 100 pts

After a slow start to the season, Rivers has now hit the over on this prop three times in his last four. While some may think this game turns into a shootout because of th Packers firepower, I am going to lean to the Colts defense and the fact that you beat the Packers on the ground, not through the air. The Colts have a three-headed monster in the backfield and that is likely to be their bread and butter to keep Rodgers off the field and control the clock. Take the UNDER

Aaron Jones – 0.5 rushing touchdowns + receiving touchdowns

  • Over = 75 pts
  • Under = 125 pts

As much as I love the Colts defense, I just don’t see Jones being held out of the end zone this week. Yes, he’s been held out the last two. There won’t be a third in a row. Take the OVER

Dalvin Cook – 120.5 rushing + receiving yards

  • Over = 95 pts
  • Under = 105 pts

I expected Cook to go under this past week against a tough Bears defense that was going to sell out to stuff the run. Dallas does not have the defensive chops to even come close to holding Cook down. Smash the OVER

Patrick Mahomes – 306.5 passing yards

  • Over = 100 pts
  • Under = 100 pts

The Chiefs were embarrassed by the Raiders during their first meeting and while Las Vegas struggles to contain the run, I think Mahomes takes matters into his own hands this week and lights up their secondary. There is just too much firepower on this team for Mahomes to be contained. Take the OVER.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire – 63.5 rushing yards

  • Over = 115 pts
  • Under = 85 pts

Well, if I am believing Mahomes will hit the over on his passing yards prop, it would be natural for me to take the under here, right? Yet, somehow, I’m leaning the other way right now. Maybe it’s just to hedge the Mahomes prop or maybe I just don’t believe in the Raiders run defense and at some point, Any Reid tells Mahomes to put it back in his holster. Or maybe I just like the point-differential here, thinking everyone is going to treat the under like a free square. Take the OVER

Darren Waller – 0.5 receiving touchdowns

  • Over = 110 pts
  • Under = 90 pts

He’s the most heavily-targeted pass-catcher on the team and the last tome these two teams squared off, Waller found the end zone while posting five catches for 48 yards. The Chiefs do rank fourth in the league in DVOA against the tight end position, but really…who else do the Raiders have? Take the OVER

One more note: Thrive Fantasy understands the situation with COVID-19 can cause games to be postponed. As a result, they will ask you to choose two ICE (In Case of Emergency) props before you submit your entry just to keep you covered. They will be labeled as such so don’t worry about any confusion. Your 10 are your 10 should all games play.

Good luck and I’ll see you all in the money!