The announcement dropped on Sunday that the Miami Dolphins have signed Jay Cutler to a one-year deal worth $10 million to replace the injured Ryan Tannehill as the team’s starting QB as training camp gets underway.  While Matt Moore will still likely compete for the starting job, the amount of money paid to Cutler should ensure that he gets the starting gig to open the season.  With that signing there has been some who think Cutler could have himself a bounce back season under head coach Adam Gase who was the offensive coordinator with the Bears back in 2015.  During the 2015 season Cutler completed 64.4-percent of his passes for 3,659 yards with 21 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. He also finished the season with a career best 92.3 QB rating.  Of course the 2015 Chicago Bears are much different than the 2017 Miami Dolphins and aside from that one season we kind of know what we get with Cutler as a QB so lets take a look at what we could expect from Cutler this upcoming season.

First lets exam Jay Cutler’s body of work of the course of his career.  Excluding his rookie season and 2017 where he played in just five games Cutler averages 3,771 yards with 24 touchdowns and 17 interceptions over a 16 game season.  He has completed 62.1-percent of his passes and owns a QB-rating of 85.9 during that stretch.  Those numbers are average at best when compared to NFL standards never mind the fantasy game where those yardage and touchdown marks would consistently find him ranked outside the top 10 at the QB position.  Weapons can't be blamed for Cutler’s mediocrity either as he had a combination of one of the best duel threat running backs in Matt Forte, Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery during the majority of his Bears career.  Cutler’s offensive line often let him down but so did his decision making as his interception percentage was consistently one of the leagues worst marks.  He also lead the league interceptions twice during his Bears career.  Of course one of the best years of his career did come two seasons ago as mentioned in the earlier paragraph with current Miami head coach Adam Game as his offensive coordinator so it's possible, but a long shot, that they can rekindle that magic.

This season with Miami Cutler will be competing with Matt Moore for the starting gig as he himself said he was given no assurances of a starting job.  The Dolphins do have some solid receiving weapons in Jarvis Landry, DeVante Parker and Kenny Stills. They also have starting running back Jay Ajayi who many have pegged for a breakout season this year under Gase. Ryan Tannehill hasn’t exactly been Dan Marino during his tenure with Miami yet Landry has thrived, posting back-to-back 1,100 yard seasons.  Parker last season caught 56 passes for 744 yards and some think he is the most talent receiver of the group.  Stills was a big time deep threat in Miami last season, catching 42 passes for 726 yards and nine touchdowns.  The Dolphins also traded for tight end Julius Thomas this offseason to bring an added weapon to the offense.  Running back Jay Ajayi rushed for 1,272 yards last season though he did have three  games of 200+ yards rushing to make that total somewhat deceiving.  If Cutler wins the starting job he could find himself with a similar ADP that Tannehill which was around 220 as a QB22. 

For me, Cutler is only worth a look in two quarterback formats.  I likely would avoid drafting him even as a backup in single QB leagues unless something really clicks during the preseason and he begins to move up the draft board but with Cutler being 34 years old and already accepting the idea of retirement my expectations for him this season are very low.