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2023 Player Outlook

Stroman’s 138.2 innings last year were his lowest since 2018 (102.1 IP), but when he was out there, it was much of the same for Stroman. He posted a 3.50 ERA, his third straight season with a sub-4.00 mark, and he maintained a 50+ percent ground ball rate. Stroman isn’t going to rack up a ton of strikeouts, but that’s known at this point. Prior to going on the IL with shoulder inflammation in June, he had a 5.32 ERA, 41.7 percent ground ball rate, and 91.3 mph average exit velocity allowed. Upon returning, he posted a 2.56 ERA, 56.9 percent ground ball rate, and 87.8 mph average exit velocity across 16 starts. So, the question to ask is how long was that shoulder bothering him? He’s been a relatively slow starter for most of his career, so we have to take that into account, but the results post-injury are real and worth discussion. Stroman’s four-seamer usage dwindled as 2022 went on, and that trend should continue, as he will ride his sinker and slider over 55 percent of the time. He won’t miss many bats, but Stroman will post a reliable ERA and can rack up innings for your squad. The Chicago offense should be better this season, so as long as the bullpen holds up, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Stroman put up 10+ wins with a sub-3.75 ERA in 2023.

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