UFC Fight Night Predictions & Best Bets: Edson Barboza vs. Lerone Murphy
This Saturday, UFC Fight Night will take place at the UFC Apex. The Prelims start at 4:00 PM EST on ESPN+, followed by the Main Card at 7:00 PM EST, also on ESPN+.
The main event is headlined by Edson Barboza, known for his impressive spinning wheel kick KO, against Lerone Murphy, who has yet to record a loss. The Co-Main Event will showcase Khaos Williams and his powerful skills against the relentless Carlston Harris.
UFC Fight Night Predictions & Betting Picks: Barboza vs. Murphy - Saturday, 5/17
I’ve laid out my top UFC Fight Night predictions and picks below, along with analysis for some of the fights I like on the card. Feel free to reach out to me in discord or on twitter at @MikeIannoneDFS for any questions or last-minute betting updates!
*All odds are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.
UFC Fight Night Best Bet - Edson Barboza vs. Lerone Murphy: Barboza ML +125
Barboza has faced the highest levels of competition and normally holds off anyone outside of the top 10-15 rankings, and I expect him to do that here. Murphy is undefeated in the UFC, but it’s been close fights, and he hasn’t been fighting the highest level, so why not take a shot on the veteran at a dog price?
- Bet on Edson Barboza Moneyline at DraftKings Sportsbook today!
UFC Fight Night Prediction - Abus Magomedov vs. Warlley Alves: Magomedov By KO -110
Alves doesn’t have the durability to last three rounds at this point in his career and Magomedov is a monster early in fights. I could see both of these guys gassing and it getting sloppy, but I think Magomedov gets Alves out of there before he fully gasses out.
- Bet on Abus Magomedov To Win By KO at DraftKings Sportsbook today!
UFC Fight Night Parlay - Williams vs. Harris ITD + Gorimbo vs. Brahimaj ITD: -104 Odds
Williams is a KO artist who is off his game and is going to end up on his back and defending submissions from Harris for the whole fight, so someone is going to get caught in one of these exchanges.
Gorimbo is miles ahead on the feet, but Brahimaj is a great submission artist if this hits the ground so both of them are alive to win this. Brahimaj also has terrible cardio and is on a two-year layoff, so if Brahimaj tires himself going for a submission, I think Gorimbo can KO him late.
- Bet on my UFC Fight Night Parlay at DraftKings Sportsbook today!
UFC Fight Night Best Bet At Long Odds: Adrian Yanez To Win In Round 3 (+750)
Yanez has superior cardio and striking, but early on this could be a slow fight as he comes off of multiple KO losses. As the fight goes on, I expect Yanez to pick up his volume before eventually getting the late finish.
- Bet on Yanez To Win In Round 3 at DraftKings Sportsbook today!
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