The 2025 Cincinnati Open wraps up Monday with a men’s final between World No. 1 Jannik Sinner and World No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz, plus a women’s final featuring World No. 3 Iga Swiatek against World No. 9 Jasmine Paolini. 

Cincinnati Open Finals Prediction For Monday, 8/18

Cincinnati always serves as the last real test before the US Open. Some players arrive pacing themselves, others use it to tighten form, and fewer grab it as their best chance to land a title. This year’s storylines were clear: Aryna Sabalenka fell in the quarters, Paolini stopped Coco Gauff to reach the final, and Swiatek again proved too steady for Elena Rybakina in the semis. On the men’s side, Taylor Fritz went out earlier than expected, leaving the path open for the two best players of the year. The final sets up the season’s headline rivalry: Sinner at his peak against Alcaraz in a seventh straight final. On the women’s side, Swiatek returns to another title match against Paolini, who’s never beaten her.

Sinner has been the benchmark in 2025, adding Wimbledon to his trophy case and rolling that form onto the North American hard courts. He hasn’t dropped a set in Cincinnati, and he’s winning a heavy share of points behind his first serve. Alcaraz has had to work harder, but he keeps extending his run of finals. He steadied through a few slower starts, then closed strong against Zverev in the semis to lock in another championship shot. Their rivalry has tipped and continues to tilt Sinner's way at this point of the season, with the faster hard courts playing into his strengths.

Swiatek also advanced without giving up a set. After a walkover in round three, she moved past Cirstea, Kalinskaya, and finished with a clean win over Rybakina in her semifinal.

Paolini’s route was more demanding. She spent extra hours on court, grinding through multiple three-setters, but her grit paid off. The win over Gauff in the quarterfinals was her biggest result of the week, and she backed it up with a comeback in the semis against Kudermetova.

 

 

 

Cincinnati Open Finals Free Pick: Iga Swiatek -4.5 Games (-135)

Paolini’s season has been certified top-10, but Swiatek’s track record against her remains lopsided. She’s 5-0 head-to-head, and her ability to control finals when favored makes her side the stronger play. 

Cincinnati Open Finals Best Bet: Jannik Sinner -2.5 Games (-125)

Sinner has carried more control in this rivalry across 2025, especially in how he manages service games. The quicker Cincinnati surface adds to that edge, and his current form positions him as the stronger side.

Lean: Over 22.5 games (-130) – Alcaraz’s ability to drag matches longer makes the total worth a look.

 

 

 

How To Watch The Cincinnati Open Finals

You can watch the Cincinnati Open Finals on the Tennis Channel.

2025 Cincinnati Open Finals Odds & Betting Lines Via DraftKings

Men’s Final – Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz

  • Sinner -200 / Alcaraz +150
  • Spread: Sinner -2.5 (-125) / Alcaraz +2.5 (-110)
  • Total: 22.5 (Over -130 / Under -105)

Women’s Final – Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini

  • Swiatek -475 / Paolini +350
  • Spread: Swiatek -4.5 (-135) / Paolini +4.5 (+100)
  • Total: 20.5 (Over -110 / Under -120)

 

 

 

When Is The Cincinnati Open Finals?

The Cincinnati Open finals will be played on Monday, August 18, 2025.

How To Bet On Jannik Sinner Or Iga Swiatek At DraftKings Sportsbook & Get $150 In Bonuses

New users can sign up at DraftKings Sportsbook to wager on the Cincinnati Open Finals. Pick your winner between Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcaraz or Iga Swiatek vs Jasmine Paolini and claim your bonus today.
 

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