Top Tier

Walker Buehler (LAD) – We get a nice discount here on Buehler, $1,000 on Draft Kings, as the normally reliable pitcher is coming off his worst performance of the season against San Francisco in which he allowed six runs in three innings of work on seven hits and a walk. Given the body of work, 2.31 ERA and 0.84 WHIP along with 13 victories and 184 strikeouts, I’m willing to write it off as an isolated incident. It was just the second time all season that Buehler pitched less than six innings and when he faced San Diego a few weeks ago he put up 28.6 DK points. 

Luis García (HOU) – Garcia’s last start was a little shaky, three runs in 5.2 innings, but it was really just the first inning that was rough for the right-hander. It was a good sign to see him right the ship and ultimately pitch deep into the game as he has given us no cause for concern as he eclipses his season-high in innings pitched. That being said, I’m not sure the Astros let Garcia get much past six innings tonight but he has a strong chance at a victory and his 10.41 strikeouts per nine innings also provide value. 

Mid Tier

Charlie Morton (ATL) – At 2.71, the Marlins have the lowest expected run total tonight so it only makes sense to target Morton who lines up to be the beneficiary of that. The proud owner of a contract extension for next season isn’t showing any signs of slowing down. After a rough April, 4.76 ERA, things quickly got better for Morton and he posted a 2.83 ERA over 35 innings in August. We don’t have to worry about Morton pitching deep into games as his last start was a seven-inning victory in Coors Field when he allowed just two runs while benefiting from 11 groundball outs. 

Chris Flexen (SEA) – Flexen faces Arizona for the second time in as many starts as he looks to improve on a quality start (three runs in six innings on four hits and two walks) tonight. Picking up the victory would ultimately make the start look a lot better and considering Seattle is favored by more than a run, that is very possible. At the very least, we are working with a solid floor as Flexen has proven to be a solid option all season. However, the lack of strikeouts (6.11 per nine innings) does make him more of a Cash game option than GPP. 

Value Tier

Brady Singer (KC) – In his last four starts, Singer hasn’t put up less than 15 DK points and over that stretch, he has a 1.46 ERA in 24.2 innings. His price on Draft Kings ($6,000) is based more on his numbers for the season (4.58 ERA and 1.54 WHIP), but given his pedigree, recent success, and the bats that he allows me to roster, I’m willing to overlook that against Minnesota tonight. Singer strikes out just more than a batter an inning (9.08), generates a 49.4% ground ball rate, and has been a victim of a .348 BABIP which helps to explain his 3.68 FIP. 

Taijuan Walker (NYM) – With a 4.15 ERA for the season now, Walker has certainly a step back from the first half of the season that sent him to the All-Star game. That pitcher is still in there though and he did pitch at least six innings in four of his last five starts but we shake take good note of his splits. In 72.2 innings at home, where Walker takes the mound tonight, he has a 3.22 ERA and in his last two starts in Citi Field, he put up 13.7 and 26 DK points, respectively. Walker is striking out a batter per inning at home while holding opposing hitters to just a .204 batter average and tonight he gets a reeling Yankees team that appears to be in a state of disarray.