Memorial Tournament 2025 DFS Picks: Predictions, Values & Projections

Published: May 28, 2025
One of the most storied events on tour that isn’t a major is upon us. The Memorial Tournament presented by Workday head over to the famous Muirfield Village, aka Jack’s Place, in Dublin Ohio. Since it’s debut on tour in 1976, the scenic course has produced a great event every single season, and it’s signature status makes it one of the most attractive events of the season.
Let’s dive in!
Memorial Tournament Presented by Workday 2025: Daily Fantasy Golf Picks & Projections
The legendary Muirfield Village is our venue this week. Consistently ranking in the top 20 in the US, this course has seen multiple make-overs since it opened in 1974 including most recently after 2020 where each green complex was redone, bunkers were made larger and deeper, and was talked about by Jack Nicklaus as the final renovation of his life-time. We've seen many great showings here such as the 1987 Ryder Cup, all the way to Tiger Woods securing his 73rd win on the PGA Tour. Suffice to say, we're in for a treat this week.
Muirfield Village: Course Breakdown This Week
Muirfield Village is one of the most beautiful courses courses we will see. Situated with one of the most breaktaking backdrops on tour, Muirfield is a Jack Nicklaus designed course, named after the location where Jack won his first Open Championship in Muirfield, Scotland. This event features Bentgrass greens and fairways, small greens, and hosts some of the most penalizing rough on tour in a non-major venue. Stretched out to 7,569 yards and playing at a Par 72, this venue will require an all-around skill set to separate from the pack, as the added distance adds a new equation for players to consider.
When looking at the layout, we see 4 longer par 3s with all 4 playing between 180 and 220 yards. The par 4s at this event range from 360 to 503 yards and par 5s play between 550 and 590 yards respectively. These holes feature generous fairways, which is truly the only generous part of this course. In the past 5 years, we’ve seen winning scores between -7 and -13, but have seen winning scores as low as -19 in the last 30 seasons (with Tom Lehman’s record -20 taking place in 1994). Par 5 scoring at this event is a must, as the four par 5s are the only holes that traditionally feature below par scoring averages, making Par 5 scoring and Bogey Avoidance as high end stats to follow this week.
While Muirfield is traditionally pretty consistent when it comes to predictiveness, we’ve also seen some comparatively hilarious winners here historically. Only 3 players in this weeks field have won here since the course was remodeled, and they portray the type of elite upside we’re typically looking for here, but pre-renovation we saw some wild cards take the wins. We’re going to focus more heavily on the recent years, especially given this event is a signature event now, meaning the field will be smaller but stronger.
When looking at venues that are comparable to Muirfield, Torrey Pines and Bay Hill are two that stand out immediately given their similar layouts/fields. That said, TPC Twin Cities and East Lake Golf Club also stand out for their similar SG distributions. Overall when looking at MVGC, Driving Accuracy, SG: Approach, and SG: Around-the-Green take a much larger importance here than at your average PGA Tour venue. Distance certainly helps, given that the 2024 iteration of the event required well above average approach shots in the 100-125, 200-225, and 250+ buckets. While all-around play can help a player win like Viktor Hovland in 2023 or 2022 Billy Horschel, we’ve also seen years where being elite in certain areas can take the cake. Scottie Scheffler in 2024 is a great example of this, as he lost strokes around the green while barely gaining any off the tee or putting, but had almost 2 strokes ahead of all but one player in the field gained on approach. Ultimately, some of our key stats of focus and top players in those stats are:
Par 5 Scoring: Si Woo Kim, Scottie Scheffler, Sepp Straka, Sungjae Im, Andrew Novak, Taylor Pendrith, Viktor Hovland, Davis Thompson, Collin Morikawa, and Matti Schmid
Bogey Avoidance: Scottie Scheffler, Sepp Straka, Michael Kim, Denny McCarthy, Matt Kuchar, Nick Taylor, Daniel Berger, Sam Stevens, Russell Henley, Shane Lowry
Approach from 200+: Ludvig Aberg, Scottie Scheffler, Matt Fitzpatrick, Xander Schauffele, Daniel Berger, Sepp Straka, Ryan Fox, Matti Schmid, Ryan Gerard, Viktor Hovland
Memorial Tournament 2025 Field: Golf DFS
With this weeks signature event status, it should be no surprise that this field is strong. Rory McIlroy announced he will not be in attendance, all of the remaining PGA players in the top 10 in OWGR in attendance. Only 6 players in the field this week rank outside of the top 100, showing this event is strong and deep, even with a short field. Patrick Cantlay joins Scottie Scheffler and Viktor Hovland as the only other winner in the field since the remodel. Other notable performers here include Collin Morikawa, who has twice been the runner up here since 2020, Matt Fitzpatrick and Denny McCarthy as the only other players with multiple top 5s since 2020, and Xander Schauffele as one of the only players in the field with 5 straight top 25 finishes at Muirfield.
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PGA Best Bets & Predictions: 2025 Memorial Tournament (14-23 Overall, +1.40 Units)
- Scottie Scheffler: First Round Leader (+1200)
- Xander Schauffele: Top 10 (+150)Â
- Memorial One and Done Picks:Â
- Patrick Cantlay (High End)
- Matti Schmid (Low End)
GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: Top Tier
Scottie Scheffler ($13,300 DraftKings/$14,000 FanDuel)
As the defending champion, it should be no surprise that I think Scottie is worth it this week. It’s safe to say Scottie is fully back, as he has not finished worse than T8th in his last 6 starts, with 2 wins and a runner up finish in that span. He’s back to his elite ways with the irons, driver, and around the green game, and the putter has been strong as well (though we did see some struggles at times with it during Charles Schwab). Scottie is well worth the investment this week, especially with some value plays that line up really well for this course.
Patrick Cantlay ($9,500 DraftKings/$11,300 FanDuel)
Cantlay may not be playing his best golf, but it’s going to be hard to ignore what he’s done at Muirfield. Two wins, two top 5s, and another top 10 finish here have solidified his spot at one of the best performers here in recent memory. While he struggled in his appearance here last year, he’s bounced back in his overall performance in 2025, putting up elite approach numbers and strong numbers off the tee, while struggling with the putter and wedges at times. If Cantlay can get back to his old ways here at Muirfield, he could be a force to be reckoned with.
Collin Morikawa ($9,900 DraftKings/$11,500 FanDuel)
Morikawa is yet another player who has consistently had success here. He debuted here with a win in 2020 at the Workday Charity Open, and has since finished as runner up twice at the Memorial. Though he’s had some struggles of late, he’s still one of the premier ball strikers on tour, one of the most accurate drivers, and has shown more prowess of late with the short game. He’s a great all around player and that’s exactly what I want in lineups this week.
GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: MID-TIER
Sepp Straka ($8,400 DraftKings/$10,600 FanDuel)
Normally I’d fade Straka on a longer course, but I feel like this is one he can take advantage of. He’s gotten 3 top 20 finishes here including a top 5 last year, but until the PGA, he’d been an elite ball striker who remained accurate off the tee and elite with the putter at times. He’s risky, but his skillset lines up near perfect for this course outside of the lack of distance off the tee.
Si Woo Kim ($8,300 DraftKings/$10,200 FanDuel)
Si Woo might present the best potential value play this week. He’s recorded 5 straight top 18 or better finishes, and he’s playing great golf of late. He’s been showing consistency with the driver and irons, and has been great around and on the green. His upside is as good as anyones this week, and looks to be a near lock to make the cut.
Viktor Hovland ($8,900 DraftKings/$11,000 FanDuel)
Who’s surprised to read that Hovland is an elite ball striker who has had previous success here? He’s got a win here in 2023, a 3rd place finish in 2020, and a T15th finish last year. The ball-striking remains a strength and the driver has started to become a weapon again. In his win at the Valspar Championship, he showed the ability to putt at elite levels and will likely need that this week given he’s one of the worst wedge players on tour. He’ll need to put some things together, but he’s clearly got the upside.
GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: VALUE TIER
Aaron Rai ($7,600 DraftKings/$8,600 FanDuel)
When talking about pure skill sets, there may not be a better aligned player this week. He’s extremely accurate off the tee, solid enough with the remained of his game that he can surprise the rest of the field. He missed the cut here in 2023, but recorded a T26th finish in his debut the year prior. The putter is the question mark after a poor showing at Charles Schwab, but if it remains the steady club it had been the rest of the year, he’s in line to be a great value.
Matti Schmid ($6,400 DraftKings/$7,400 FanDuel)
Schmid is making his debut at Muirfield this week, but he’s playing some great golf over his last 4 events. He has a missed cut during that span, but it’s sandwiched between a T9th, T7th, and 2nd place finish. The irons have consistently been strong and he’s near the top of the field in Par 5 Scoring Average and Approach from 200+ yards. As long as he doesn’t blow up with scoring clubs in his hands like he has at times this year, he’s got the upside we want to chase.
Andrew Novak ($7,100 DraftKings/$8,100 FanDuel)
I can’t find a good reason to stop putting Novak in lineups. He’s playing great golf since Valero, with finishes of T3rd, 2nd, 1st, T17th, and T11th though he did miss the cut at the PGA. His irons and drivers are strengths, wedge game is some of the best in the field, and he can be just good enough with the putter that it wouldn’t surprise me to see him in contention this week.
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