What an exhilarating week for golf. Scottie Scheffler finally broke his cold streak, and was able to secure his 3rd major championship, and his first that wasn’t at Augusta. Luckily, we get to see another great event this weekend with the Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas. 135 players will be teeing it up for their share of $9,500,000 and 500 FedExCup points. 

Let’s dive in!

 

Charles Schwab Challenge 2025: Daily Fantasy Golf Picks & Projections

Hosted at the beautiful Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, the Charles Schwab Challenge has been a mainstay on tour since 1946. While there have been various title sponsors, this event is perhaps more associated with Colonial than any one sponsor. This event is just one of 5 tournaments given invitational status by the PGA Tour, and even includes the “Champion's Choice” tradition where former champions select two young, up-and-coming players, who would otherwise be ineligible to compete. Many notable players, including Jordan Spieth, made their first appearance here through this tradition, including 1967 winner Dave Stockton, who remains the only Champion's Choice player to win this event. This event is also well known for being the event where Annika Sorenstam became this first woman to play in a PGA Tour event since Babe Zaharias made 3 separate cuts in 1945. 

 

Colonial Country Club: Course Breakdown This Week

Colonial Country Clubs has a long history with the PGA Tour, as it has hosted a yearly event since 1946 and a U.S. Open prior in 1941. Playing as a Par 70 at just under 7,300 yards, most of the course is made up of long par 3s and short par 4s. The par 3s all play between 194 and 248 yards, with the par 4s playing between 385 and 480 yards. Given the general lack of distance on these holes, it should be no surprise that this course rewards ball-striking and positional golf above distance. Even on the Par 5’s, where some distance does come with them playing at 581 and 639 yards, these are some of the easier holes on the course historically. 

Given that distance is not a defense at this venue, it should be no surprise that this is a tighter course. CCC has the third most narrow fairways on tour, averaging just 27 yards wide. Historically speaking, this is the 2nd hardest course on tour when it comes to gaining strokes of the tee, putting a premium on Good Drives Gained this week. We’ve also seen winners here while they’ve lost strokes around the green. The short game around the green is not what is going to win you the event this week. That said, the smaller than average greens players will see this week take some of the importance out of three putt avoidance as well. Simply put, if you can putt and have a strong iron game going into this event, you should be set up very well.

This course has been both very scorable, and very difficult to score on in recent years, and that is largely due to the wind combined with the fast and firm conditions that Texas gives us. Over the last 5 years, we’ve seen scores between -8 and -15. At time of writing, given multiple days of projected rain, and windy days, I’m expecting the scoring to be on the lower end of that spectrum. 

Some key stats this week will include SG: Approach, Par 4 scoring average, Proximity from 125-200, SG: Putting, Good Drives Gained, and Double Bogeys Avoided. 

 

Charles Schwab Challenge 2025 Field: Golf DFS

Given the non-signature nature of this event, and the fact that it’s following up the PGA Championship, it is unsurprising that we see a weaker overall field this week. PGA Championship winner Scottie Scheffler is joined by Hideki Matsuyama as the only players in the OWGR top 10 in the field. Only 6 other top 25 players are in the field, with most of the players falling outside the top 100. As expected, we see a larger selection of mid-priced players in the field, which historically has been the best to target as most of the previous winners have opened between +2500 and +9000 outright odds. Previous winners in this years field include 2024 champion Davis Riley, Emiliano Grillo, Daniel Berger, Kevin Kisner, Chris Kirk, and Jordan Spieth.

 

 

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PGA Best Bets & Predictions: 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge (14-21 Overall, +3.40 Units)

  • Davis Riley: Top 20 (+225)
  • Maverick McNealy: Top 20 (+150) 
  • Charles Schwab One and Done Picks: 
    • Daniel Berger (High End)
    • Davis Riley (Low End)
 

GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: Top Tier

Daniel Berger ($9,900 DraftKings/$11,600 FanDuel)

While Scottie is the favorite, and who I expect to win this week, Berger is the next high cost player that catches my eye. He’s been top 10 this year in driving accuracy and 11th in total driving, a top 15 player in approach and proximity, and while his putter has been lacking, he’s still above field average in this metric. As a previous winner here, he clearly understands the course and has not missed the cut here since 2015. After 2 missed cuts in his first 3 starts of 2025, he’s been on fire, finishing outside the top 30 just once, including 2 top 5 finishes and 3 other top 15s. Berger has as good of a chance as any to take this one him.

Aaron Rai ($9,100 DraftKings/$10,900 FanDuel)

While watching Rai putt can be painful at times, he fits a lot of the criteria we’re looking for otherwise. He’s been the most accurate driver on tour, is top 20 in approach, and even with below average overall putting numbers, he’s actually still in the top half of this field in the most common scoring bucket we’re looking at. He’s a great value at the price, especially since he’s still in the range of players I would consider “premium” this week.

Harris English ($9,200 DraftKings/$11,100 FanDuel)

While English doesn’t top the leaderboard in any of the key statistics we’re looking at, he’s well above average in almost all of them. He’s top 25 in SG: Putting, an elite scrambler, and top 30 in total driving. He’s had multiple top 5 finishes here, and while he has been up and down at this event, he’s playing some great golf of late, as evidenced by his T2nd finish at the PGA Championship and T11th at Truist. English is a better value on DraftKings than FanDuel this week, but still offers a great pick on both markets.

 

GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: MID-TIER

J.J. Spaun ($8,400 DraftKings/$10,600 FanDuel)

Spaun presents a great value here. He’s one of the best ball-strikers on tour, one of the best approach players in the field, top 5 in total driving, and while his putting struggles at times, he also scores well in the most prominent scoring bucket of putting we see this week. Spaun plays better when distance is less of a factor, which presents a positive outlook for him this week. 

Harry Hall ($8,000 DraftKings/$9,700 FanDuel)

Hall has found his form again of late, with back to back starts with top 20 finishes. He remains a top 5 putter on tour to go with his improved ball striking. He lacks many of the pretty metrics that will lead to a good finish, but he’s finished T3 here in the past, and he was bringing a worse overall game into the field that year. He remains one of the best scorers and bogey avoiders on tour, and is an elite par 4 scorer. He should impress this week.

Davis Riley ($8,600 DraftKings/$10,400 FanDuel)

Riley is the defending champion, so it should be no surprise that I find him in contention yet again. He’s playing solid all around golf in 2025, as proven by his T2nd finish at this past week's PGA Championship. Not only has he won here before, but he’s also finished T4th in 2022. He’s playing very well as of late, and this price presents a great value.

 

GOLF DFS PICKS THIS WEEK: VALUE TIER

Alex Smalley ($7,700 DraftKings/$9,500 FanDuel)

Smalley has certainly not maintained his elite play from the start of the season, but he continues to show promising signs for his overall game. He remains at 2nd in Total Driving, top 40 in the field in SG: Approach, and even higher in SG: Putting and above field average in one-putt percentage. I also expect him to be a low rostered player this week, making him an even more attractive option.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,500 DraftKings/$9,000 FanDuel)

Not only does Bez fit the criteria that we’re looking for this week, but he also has historical success at this event. He’s had 3 straight finishes here inside the top 21, and has shown elite putting and driving accuracy. He was also one of the best ballstrikers in the field last week at the PGA, which could show signs that his old form is on it’s way back. I’m going to take some swings on Bez this week, even if he’s a less sexy name than others.

Gary Woodland  ($7,300 DraftKings/$9,300 FanDuel)

While Woodland lacks the driving accuracy we’re looking for this week, the rest of his game is so strong that I feel like he can be a weapon if the weather keeps most players out of the fairway. He has distance that almost no one else in this field possesses (or anyone period for that matter), and also top 5 in this field in approach from the rough. Even if Woodland can’t find the fairways, he can certainly make up for it. 

 

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