Two out of three last week, not too shabby. We would have been a perfect 3-for-3 if Tom Brady would have been at practices and walkthroughs instead of throwing down at Robert Kraft’s wedding! Oh well, to each their own I guess. We are back with a fresh slate of NFL player props over at ThriveFantasy, and I’m loving some picks in the afternoon and Sunday night games. We’ll look to big games from Tyreek Hill, Austin Ekeler, and Davante Adams this week to not only propel our daily fantasy football lineups, but give us some points on ThriveFantasy, too. Here are some NFL player props that you must target this week on Thrive, and these players will also likely generate some interest for your Week 7 NFL DFS lineups. It’s time to #PropUp over at ThriveFantasy!

Interested in playing on Thrive? Head to http://www.thrivefantasy.com/?promo=ALARM with the promo code ALARM to get an instant match of 100% of your deposit up to $100!

 

 

 


Last week: 2-1

2022 Season: 11-8 (57.9%)

Here are a few of my favorite props on ThriveFantasy for Week 7!

 

NFL ThriveFantasy Top Picks Week 7

Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins
OVER 81.5 Receiving Yards

It’s hard not to take the over here, right? Tua Tagovailoa is expected back under center, and in the first three weeks of the season, where Tagovailoa played at least 93 percent of the snaps, Hill averaged seven receptions on 9.7 targets for 105.7 yards per game. Pittsburgh held up against Tampa Bay last weekend, somehow, but that won’t be the same story this week. Mike McDaniel has it working with Hill, and Hill has surpassed this mark in four of six games this year.

 

Austin Ekeler, Los Angeles Chargers
OVER 50.5 Rushing Yards

It’s only rushing yards, so that’s something to note, but the volume has been there for Ekeler, and I expect him to be efficient against this Seattle team that ranks in the lower-third of the league in DVOA against the run. Opponents are averaging 5.1 yards per attempt against Seattle this season, and as a team, the Seahawks’ best collective performance against the run came back in Week 1 when they allowed Denver to only run for 103 yards. Outside of that game, it’s been 140+ rushing yards each for the opposition. While Ekeler has only surpassed this line twice this year, it has come in two of the last three games, and if he gets 13+ carries like he has in all but one game this year, he’s surpassing this mark with ease against Seattle.

 

Davante Adams, Las Vegas Raiders
OVER 89.5 Receiving Yards

While I love Derek Stingley Jr. long term for the Texans, there has been a clear strategy to attack him in coverage. He’s a man corner who is playing a good bit of zone and adjusting to that. The Texans have allowed 86 yards per game to the opponent’s WR1, and rank in the bottom half of DVOA against the WR1. Adams has gone for 100+ in three of five games this season, and he went for 196 yards and two scores in his last game against Houston (2020). When looking at wide receivers against Houston this year, we see that Courtland Sutton, Michael Pittman Jr., Mike Williams, and Marvin Jones all went for 100+ yards against the Houston Texans. What’s the similarity between them and Adams? Alpha WR1s that play a good chunk of the snaps on the outside. Okay, “alpha” might be a stretch for Jones, but you get my point.

 

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