NFL Breaking News: Green Bay Packers Trade QB Aaron Rodgers to New York Jets for Draft Picks
“There’s a time limit for all this”. That’s what Aaron Rodgers told us all over a month ago when asked about a possible trade from the Green Bay Packers to the New York Jets. Well, now that it’s happened, it’s pretty clear that “time limit” was related to the 2023 NFL Draft which starts this Thursday. Because, according to Adam Schefter, that trade involves a boatload of picks in THIS draft. Here is how the compensation looks in the deal and then we’ll talk about the implications for fantasy football.
New York Jets get:
- Aaron Rodgers
- Pick No. 15
- A 5th round Pick (No. 170)
Green Bay Packers get:
- Pick No. 13
- A 2nd round pick (No. 42)
- A 6th round pick (No. 207)
- A conditional 2024 2nd round pick*
The conditional second round pick included becomes a first-round pick in 2024 if Aaron Rodgers plays over 65% of the snaps. If you really break the trade down, the Packers give up Rodgers as well as agree to a late round pick swap to move up two picks in the first and to get two seconds (one of which becomes a first if Rodgers is their starting QB all year). Here are the fantasy football implications.
Winners from the Aaron Rodgers Trade
Garrett Wilson - The reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year was already a huge focal point of the offense, getting 147 targets last year. Even if he doesn’t get that many targets again, the quality of those targets should increase making him an every week start in fantasy.
Allen Lazard - There are only two players that have double digit end zone targets three years in a row - DK Metcalf and Allen Lazard. That familiarity in a new environment should mean plenty of opportunities for him to score that he would not have had with any other quarterback at the helm.
Breece Hall - At this stage in his career, Aaron Rodgers is not a particularly mobile quarterback meaning both that scrambling and stealing goal line carries for himself are out of the equation. If Rodgers can play at a high level like we expect, that means a lot of high leverage touches for the young star.
Losers from the Aaron Rodgers Trade
Zach Wilson - They seemed dead set on bringing in a veteran quarterback and putting Wilson on the bench. Well now it’s official. In deeper superflex leagues maybe you hold but he likely has no short term value as a backup.
Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, and Packers weapons - Perhaps Jordan Love will be the next Patrick Mahomes and come out firing on all cylinders in his first season starting after the team traded Alex Smith. But the more likely scenario is that this is a downgrade at quarterback, at least over the short term.
Denzel Mims and Corey Davis - There was some hope that maybe one of these guys would be included in the trade where they could get a new start on a team where it’s not so crowded for targets. Well, that didn’t happen.
AJ Dillon - Aaron Jones is pretty heavily involved in the pass game so he might be alright with a rookie QB. Dillon’s value however is tied fairly heavily to touchdowns. If the Packers are going through a bit of a transition period here, there might not be a lot of touchdowns to go around.
How much line movement are we seeing on the Jets & Packers futures? Not sure what they were this morning, but NYJ now has the 6th shortest odds to win the Super Bowl at +1400 over at BetMGM.
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