NASCAR DFS: Ambetter 301 New Hampshire Motor Speedway Race Guide

New Hampshire Motor Speedway, also known as “The Magic Mile”, is getting its turn in the spotlight this week as the Cup Series comes calling for the Ambetter 301. New Hampshire is a once-a-year stop for the NASCAR Cup series and so this will be the first time the Next Gen cars come up to the 1-mile track in Loudon. As you’ve come to expect, we’ll breakdown the NASCAR DFS strategy in this piece, look at stats from the last several races here and comparable tracks, and took a look at all of the driver averages for all drivers in the field in this week’s Track Breakdown.

New Hampshire Track Layout

The layout of NHMS is a fairly simple one. It’s a 1.058-mile lap that’s flat. How flat? Well, it’s basically the flattest track on the schedule. Banking of just two degrees in the lowest groove and seven degrees up by the wall and one degree on the straightaways makes it the flattest. It’s a mix of asphalt and granite for the racing surface. All told it’s pretty comparable to Richmond, Phoenix, Gateway, and perhaps a tad of Martinsville, though I wouldn’t bank a lot on Martinsville.

Goodyear Tire Notes

Feeding off of the similarity to Phoenix, Richmond, and Gateway, the Cup teams will run the same tires as they did at those tracks. The fact that they’ve raced three different races on these tires means the teams have nice notebooks on them and how they wear. They’ll also know the risks they can take later in races on restarts.

NASCAR DFS Strategy for New Hampshire

The best thing about the track being a mile long is that we can figure out exactly how many laps are in the race based on the number in the race name. In this case, there are 300 laps in the race. That sounds like a great shot at getting a laps led dominator. However, looking down below, you’ll notice that that fact hasn’t necessarily borne out as true. There are an average of just 0.8 drivers a race to lead more than 100 laps in any given race over the last five here. While it is possible to pass here, passing inside the top-10 is tough. On average, just 3.4 drivers to finish inside the top-10 started outside the top-12 in the grid. The most in the last five has been five in any one race. In terms of pricing, this week, there are a bunch missed price guys on DraftKings at least at first glance. What does that mean for building lines? A lot of mid-tier plays will be popular. We won’t have to delve into the budget plays much assuming everyone qualifies where we expect. It also means that there might be a bunch of lineup trains as well as several combinations of rosters will likely be popular.

Facts To Know This Week

• Five drivers in the field have at least four top-10 finishes in the last five races at New Hampshire.
• Five drivers in the field also have Driver Ratings of at least 100 in that same span but not all are the same as those with top-10s.
• Continuing the run of fives, there are five drivers in the field with PD marks of at least five spots a race.
• It’s a track where lapping happens with an average of 19.2 lead lap finishers in the last handful of races at New Hampshire.
• Nearly three drivers a race lead 50 or more laps here on average.

Last Five New Hampshire Race Stats

For the tables below:

The DFS Scoring Table: Race 1 is the most recent race in the sample size with Race 5 being the earliest. We are using the Last 5 New Hampshire races for the data.

The Similar Races table: The data is comprised of stats from the last 10 similar races at Richmond, Phoenix, Gateway, and New Hampshire.

**NEW**— Odds To Salary Table: We compare the DK salaries to the percentage chances based on DK Sportsbook odds for a Win, Top-3, Top-5, and Top-10. To get percentages from odds, divide the denominator by the numerator + denominator I.e. 10/1 equals 1/(10+1)=9.1%.

The This Week's Race table: We are using the last five New Hampshire races for this data.