The final leg of the West Coast swing is happening Sunday at Phoenix with the Ruoff Mortgage 500k. With qualifying and practice now completed for the Cup series, and inspection, now is a good time to check out the PrizePicks board for Sunday’s race.
If you’re new to PrizePicks as a site, you can play between 2-5 props of your choosing on the same parlay of sorts. The more you play the higher your ROI can be, but the tougher it is to hit those parlays, just like at a sportsbook. The ideal strategy is to use is playing 2-3 props on one board at a time because hitting two props is easier and still hits 3x return. Check below for a promo for a deposit match.
Brad Keselowski UNDER 5.5 Cars Passed
If we simply look at track stats, his has been a good track for Keselowski in the past and he’s been able to move up most of the time. However, this year is different. He’s spun out, at least once, in all three races to this point in the year. Keselowski has also only shown decent speed in practice that is equal to where he qualified. The time is now to bank on Keselowski finishing outside the top-13.
Kyle Busch OVER 4.5 Cars Passed
Busch made me second guess his picking last week when he put on such a show that he nearly won the race. This week we’re at another good track for him and his JGR team in general, with them having won four of the last six races here. The 18-car has good speed once again, with top-five showings in practice, and he’ll start P11. That gives us the shot for him to finish five spots higher than where he starts.
William Byron OVER 41.5 Fantasy Points
Byron put on a show at practice on Saturday with the best 10-, 15-, and 20-lap averages before qualifying P3. What does he have to do to hit the over? Just finish P2 without leading and laps or clocking any fast laps. That being said, I believe him to be the laps led leader on Sunday with a great chance of winning. Logging laps in front of the field means he could finish a few spots farther back than where he started and still hit the over.
Kevin Harvick OVER 41.5 Fantasy Points
Based on where Harvick is starting this week, P16, he’ll need to finish P9 or better to hit this total without fast laps or laps led. Can he do it? Well, let’s put it this way, in the last 20 races at Phoenix, that’s a decade’s worth, he’s missed the top-10 just once. His 5.4 average finish in the last eight races here is best in the field. To top it all off, he had a top-eight long-run car at practice on Saturday.
Ryan Blaney OVER 52.5 Laps Led
The play here is simple. Blaney has a top-three car in long run speed based on practice and Green Flag Speed from the last few races. He’s also on the pole. At Phoenix, in the last five, non-championship, races, the pole-sitter has topped this number four times. So track history combined with driver speed makes this a good bet to happen.