Every thing in life has a price where it makes sense. Do I want to drop $240,000 on a Lamborghini Huracan? Hell no. But if someone were to offer me one for $175,000... hey, I'm in fantasy sports, so I could totally afford that (if you took a zero off it maybe). The players on the list below are all capable of producing solid efforts in 2015, it's just that you want to assiduously avoid paying full price for their services. I won't use the term "bust," but know that you will likely have to pay more for their efforts in 2015 than they will be worth. 

Russell Martin, C, Blue Jays

Pretty sure the SMART system warns against guys moving to new places with big contracts. Beyond that, there is Martin's performance to consider. He had a seven-year high in batting average at .290. He hadn't hit .240 the previous three years. His BABIP was .336, nearly .050 points above his career mark and the first time in four years over .267. Martin had a four-year low in his homer total with 11 in 2014. His total of 45 runs scored, despite a .402 OBP, was only the second time in nine years he scored less than 50 times. Speaking of the OBP, know what it was from 2010-13? Try .334, just over the league average of .327 in that time. A great teammate and solid offensive performer, but don't pay for a repeat of last season's average.

Victor Martinez, 1B, Tigers

I know others in this Guide are bullish on V-Mart. I think they are wrong. The 36-year-old Martinez hit 32 homers, a career best. The previous two seasons he averaged 13 homers. His 2014 HR/F ratio last season was more than the combined number from his previous two seasons (16.0 to 14.5). The number will regress significantly. His SLG was .565, a career best, and literally .090 points above his career norm. That's not repeatable. His OBP was a career best .409. His previous five seasons, the mark was .364. He also hit .335, a career best, despite a .316 BABIP that matched his career mark. Players that are this good to begin with don't have their career best season at 35 years of age (sorry, Barry Bonds). They certainly don't repeat that effort at 36 years of age. 

Brandon Phillips, 2B, Reds

From 2006 to 2013, an average Phillips season resulted in a .277 average, 20 homers, 83 RBIs, 86 runs and 19 steals. That's excellent for a second sacker. Hell, it's great work for any position. It all fell apart last season when he hit eight homers, drove in 51, scored 44 times and stole a mere two bases. Never a big home-run hitter (one season over 21), if he's only swiping a handful of bases and hitting .264, his average the past two seasons, then there is nothing but middle infield value in him for mixed leaguers. Truth be told with the 33 year old, it's hard to envision a significant rebound of any kind in the coming season, even if he does better his '14 effort. 

Chase Headley, 3B, Yankees

Headley is a good baseball player. He's merely a moderate fantasy option. Most will know this, except for some who live on the right coast and expect Headley to excel playing in New York instead of San Diego. (1) Headley is not the player who hit 31 homers in 2012. He has 26 the last two seasons, as his HR/F ratio has returned to normal (it was insanely high at 21.4 percent in '12 while his career mark is 10.5). (2) For the last four seasons he's failed to record a league average fly-ball rate. (3) He's hit under .250 over his last 990 at-bats. (4) He's had one season of 65 RBIs. Read that again. (5) He's had two seasons with 65 runs scored. Read that again. (5) After 17 steals in 2012, he's swiped 15 bases the last two years. Nothing more than a corner infield option in mixed leagues. 

Danny Santana, SS, Twins

Slight of build at 5'11", 160 lbs., Santana has never been an elite prospect, which is what makes his 2014 effort so troubling. The most troubling issue was his .405 BABIP. That number was .352 in the minors and even that level will be impossible for him to sustain in the big leagues. Santana also walked 19 times, leading to a pathetic 0.19 BB/K ratio. You don't hit .319 consistently with that mark either. His batting average is going to crater. He has no power, he's never hit 10 homers in a season, and his track record suggests that 50 RBIs results in a parade. He can steal a base and the 20 thefts are repeatable, but the rest of his game suggests that many a person will be overpaying expecting Santana to produce a growth season in 2015. He won't even sustain his 2014 pace. Avoid. 

Yoenis Cespedes, OF, Tigers

Homers are about as sexy as Marisa Miller in a bikini. Believe me, I get it. But unlike Ms. Miller, who deserves your adulation, Mr. Cespedes doesn't. How many seasons of 27 homers does he have in his three-year career? Zero. How many seasons of 83 RBIs does he have? One. How many seasons does he have with 75 runs? One. How many seasons has he hit .261? One. How many seasons has he stolen eight bases? One. So .261-27-83-75... Marlon Byrd went .264-25-85-71 in 2014. Yoenis Cespedes has yet to hit all four of those numbers in one season. Shoot, Marcell Ozuna went .269-23-85-72 in 2014. The point is, guys like Byrd and Ozuna will cost much less than Cespedes, who will see his price wildly inflated. Don't forget he's not a kid, he turned 29 last October, and he's shown a maddening propensity to end up on the shelf, averaging a mere 139 games a season through three years. Don't Believe the Hype... that was a great song by Public Enemy, by the way.

Jon Lester, SP, Cubs

The move to the NL is a big plus, but concerns still abound despite the $155 million the Cubs threw at the lefty. The 31-year-old is coming off his best season and he has always thrown innings, which is rare in this day and age (190 or more innings the last seven years and only five others can say that - Justin Verlander, Mark Buehrle, Felix Hernandez,Cole Hamels and James Shields). Still, concerns. (1) Lester's 2.46 ERA was more than a run below his 3.58 career mark. From 2011-13 the mark was 4.03. (2) Lester had a 1.10 WHIP last season. He had never had a mark below 1.20 before. From 2011-13, the mark was 1.31. (3) He owns a career 3.07 walk rate per nine innings and had never posted a mark lower than 2.83 in a season before last year's 1.97 mark. (4) Lester owns a career 8.22 K/9 mark. That number was 9.01 last season. In 2012-13, he struck out just 7.37 per nine. (5) His 1.14 GB/FB ratio was a seven-year low, as was his 42 percent ground ball rate. (6) Despite a seven-year high in his fly ball rate, his 0.66 HR/9 mark was a four-year low, thanks to a HR/F ratio that was a career best (7.2). Sorry, but it's just too hard to think that after eight years of big league experience, and two years of particularly average work, that Jon will be able to repeat his career best season. Lester is stable, healthy and worth drafting in all setups, but if you have to pay like he's an elite starter, let someone else take that gamble. 

Zach Britton, RP, Orioles

Britton entered 2014 with 254.2 big league innings under his belt with a 4.77 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 1.51 K/BB ratio. Fair to note that he only made two appearances out of the bullpen in that time, but does that explain what happened last year? Britton grabbed the closers role for the Orioles on his way to 37 saves, a 1.65 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. Does he have the skills to sustain that? Not likely. Though his K/9 rate exploded, relatively speaking, it was still just 7.30 per nine. He cut a batter off his career walk rate, though the mark was still 2.70 per nine. He cut his career HR/9 mark in half down to 0.47 per nine. His BABIP, over .300 the previous three years, went down to .215. Oh, and his 60 percent ground ball rate, already elite, sky rocketed to an insane 75 percent. No one else in baseball had a mark of 64 percent. Everything went right in 2014. What happens in 2015? Know the downside is what happened to Jim Johnson last year, a similarly skilled pitcher who fell flat on his face while being run over, in forward and reverse, like he was in a cartoon.

Names to avoid paying full price for... as in avoid getting into a bidding war for their services:

Matt Adams, Kris Bryant, Nelson Cruz, Dee Gordon, J.D. Martinez, Brandon Moss, Troy Tulowitzki

Jake Arrieta, Carlos Carrasco, Yu Darvish, Matt Harvey, Brandon McCarthy, Michael Pineda, Masahiro Tanaka