It's pitching Friday so we'll break down a whole host of hurlers, most of whom are pitching pretty darn well since the All-Star break.Chad Billingsley is a frustrating pitcher to own. On any given day he can throw seven scoreless innings and look like a dominating hurler. The next time he takes the hill though he could labor through five innings, walk four batters, allow three runs and take 109 pitches to get 15 outs. Frustrating. Right now though, it's time to ride this horse. Over his last four starts Chad is 4-0 with a 2.03 ERA and 1.01 WHIP for the Dodgers. A big key, as it always is with him, is keeping the walks in check, something he has done very well with only five free passes issued in those four starts. Seemingly always uneven, Billingsley's ratios are still spot on his career marks with a 3.84 ERA and 1.32 WHIP (career: 3.69 ERA, 1.37 WHIP). It should also be pointed out that while his K/9 is within a tenth of his career rate at 8.09, he's also walking just 2.67 batters per nine this season, a full batter lower than his career rate. That type of effort should allow him to be successful the rest of the way.
Michael Fiers, aka Pedro Martinez, has been about as dominating as any hurler in baseball this year. I know, an it's shocking to make a claim that seems so outlandish, but how can youargue with the results? In 13 outings this year Fiers has a 1.80 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 80 Ks in 80 innings an a stupendous 5.00 K/BB ratio. Those numbers are not, N O T, sustainable for Mr. Fiers. Yet, here we are and he has them through 80 innings. How has he accomplished that? Luck has played a large part. Beyond the obvious reasons for making that statement, we all know Fiers isn't the second coming of Pedro Martinez, there's this; his current line drive rate is 27 percent. That's a massive number and would lead the league as the worst mark in baseball more years than not. Still, he's got those sparkling ratios. Something has to give, and I'm telling you sooner or later he is going to give up a lot of hits, not to mention more homers (he's allowed only three homers despite allowing about a league average mark in the fly ball category).Mike Minor has been on his game since the middle of June. Over his last five outings Minor has permitted three of fewer runs each time he has taken the hill, and he's sporting a 1.99 ERA and 0.88 WHIP, not to mention a better than 4:1 K/BB ratio in that stretch. Hey, it's not his fault that he's just 1-2 in that time. In addition to his great work of late, Minor has been an effective hurler all season long at home where he is offering a 3.92 ERA, two runs below his 5.91 mark on the road (his WHIP is 1.09 at home compared to 1.47 on the road as well). I'd bet that Minor is available in some 12 team mixed leagues, and if that is the case you should seriously consider removing him from oblivion and placing him on your roster.Jake Peavy has made 22 starts with nine victories, a 3.08 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. If he didn't throw another inning this season it would still be considered a success in the real world, an in fantasy. However the guy has run into some bad luck of late as he's gone 3-7 in his last 10 starts despite pitching five games in that stretch in which he has allowed only one run. There are also obvious concerns about his workload coming back from major shoulder surgery, his current total of 154.2 innings is already a 4- year high and with 20 more innings will become his biggest innings total since 2007. There's nothing in the numbers that predicts a collapse is coming, but I'm still leery of the mounting innings total.Jose Quintana has a 2.78 ERA and 1.09 WHIP through 15 outings. Consider me shocked. Things have taken a turn for the worst, after posting a 2.04 ERA over his first 10 outings that number has jumped to 4.05 his last five, but his overall work is still pretty darn impressive. Still, I'm not in buy mode here. Quintana doesn't strike anyone out, his K/9 is laughable at under 4.90, and though he also doesn't issue free passes (1.69 walks per nine), I just don't trust pitchers with this skill set, not unless their ground ball rate is over 50 percent (in this case it isn't at 46 percent). I wouldn't be shocked in the least if Quintana's ERA the rest of the way matched the 4.05 mark he's offered since the All-Star break, an I could even see it going a bit higher.James Shields allowed at least four earned runs in 5-straight starts from June 28th through July 15th. In the four starts he has made since then he has allowed nine runs to drop his ERA from 4.44 to 4.08. That number could easily creep into the three's, an in fact I would expect it to. Why? Shields has a 8.81 K/9 mark, and that would be a half batter better than ever before. His GB/FB ratio is through the roof. The owner of a 1.23 mark for his big league career, that number has lept all the way to 1.81 this season. That's a big time number. When you combine a better than 52 percent ground ball rate with nearly a K-per-innning, success is going to follow. Also, Shields 18.6 percent line drive rate matches his career mark (19 percent) and his 1.05 HR/9 mark is right on his career average of 1.15. Expect the roll to continue.Ryan Vogelsong improved to 10-5 on Wednesday night, but that wasn't what stood out. Vogelsong completed his 21st straight outing lasting at least six innings, the longest stretch for a Giants hurler since Bill Swift went 24-straight six inning outings in 1993. Moreover, Vogelsong's 21 starts have led to only two outings over three runs allowed in one of the more amazingly consistent seasons going â even though few seem to have noticed.
0 ER: three times
1 ER: eight times
2 ER: four times
3 ER: four times
4 ER: two times
All told Vogelsong is 105 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. He's pitched masterfully this season.
Ray Flowers can be heard daily on Sirius/XM Radio on The Fantasy Drive on Sirius 210 and XM 87 from 7-10 PM EDT, Monday through Friday. Ray's baseball analysis can be found at BaseballGuys.com and his minute to minute musings can be located at the BaseballGuys' Twitter account. Player News
{{item.text}}
{{item.ago}}
{{analysis.analysis}}
{{item.datetime}} (ET)
