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And the pitching slates get uglier and uglier as we move deeper into the month of September. Par for the course, but also not a great time to be investing heavily in your DFS games. Or maybe it is. Maybe you’re a savvy enough player that this is when your feeding frenzy starts. If the herd isn’t thinning out as the NFL season approaches, then this just might be the time to strike. Consistency seems to be what plays right now, so keep at it. Let the n00bs keep throwing money at upside. Anyway, here’s a look at the data for today’s short slate.
| vs L | vs R | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Player | Tm | Hand | H/A | Opp | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BAA | SwStr% | ERA | xFIP | WHIP | GB% | FB% | GB/FB | wOBA | wOBA | $FD | $DK | $Aces |
| Alex Cobb | TB | R | A | NYY | 5.0 | 12.60 | 1.80 | 0.00 | .211 | 8.3% | 3.60 | 1.72 | 1.00 | 66.7% | 25.0% | 2.67 | 0.000 | 0.277 | $8900 | $6500 | $6500 |
| Jaime Garcia | STL | L | H | MIL | 159.1 | 7.69 | 2.77 | 1.13 | .263 | 9.7% | 4.41 | 3.77 | 1.34 | 60.0% | 23.2% | 2.58 | 0.319 | 0.328 | $8800 | $9400 | $6600 |
| Trevor Bauer | CLE | R | H | HOU | 160.1 | 7.80 | 3.37 | 0.84 | .237 | 9.9% | 3.71 | 4.12 | 1.27 | 49.9% | 28.3% | 1.76 | 0.309 | 0.290 | $8800 | $7900 | $6900 |
| Junior Guerra | MIL | R | A | STL | 110.2 | 7.56 | 3.01 | 0.73 | .211 | 11.6% | 2.85 | 4.05 | 1.12 | 48.4% | 32.6% | 1.49 | 0.279 | 0.274 | $8600 | $8500 | $6700 |
| CC Sabathia | NYY | L | H | TB | 150.0 | 7.56 | 3.30 | 1.02 | .253 | 10.6% | 4.20 | 4.19 | 1.35 | 51.8% | 32.8% | 1.58 | 0.295 | 0.322 | $7800 | $8700 | $6400 |
| Derek Holland | TEX | L | A | SEA | 90.2 | 5.46 | 2.78 | 1.09 | .262 | 8.1% | 4.57 | 5.03 | 1.34 | 37.7% | 40.1% | 0.94 | 0.243 | 0.337 | $7600 | $6100 | $6000 |
| Dan Straily | CIN | R | A | PIT | 159.2 | 7.38 | 3.33 | 1.41 | .220 | 10.6% | 3.83 | 4.69 | 1.18 | 34.3% | 42.9% | 0.80 | 0.303 | 0.311 | $7600 | $8100 | $6700 |
| Ivan Nova | PIT | R | H | CIN | 134.2 | 6.94 | 1.74 | 1.54 | .276 | 9.9% | 4.90 | 3.86 | 2.35 | 54.0% | 25.2% | 2.14 | 0.359 | 0.329 | $7600 | $9800 | $7000 |
| Taijuan Walker | SEA | R | H | TEX | 103.2 | 7.73 | 1.91 | 2.00 | .252 | 10.6% | 4.60 | 4.10 | 1.23 | 43.2% | 36.6% | 1.18 | 0.322 | 0.351 | $7400 | $7300 | $6350 |
| Clayton Richard | SD | L | H | COL | 38.1 | 6.66 | 3.29 | 0.47 | .258 | 9.7% | 1.48 | 4.37 | 3.54 | 70.0% | 16.2% | 4.33 | 0.307 | 0.351 | $6800 | $4700 | $5900 |
| A.J. Cole | WSH | R | H | PHI | 18.2 | 8.20 | 2.89 | 1.93 | .176 | 12.0% | 3.86 | 4.82 | 1.02 | 21.6% | 68.6% | 0.31 | 0.271 | 0.302 | $6500 | $8300 | $6550 |
| David Paulino | HOU | R | A | CLE | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | $5500 | $4000 | $5600 |
| Jeff Hoffman | COL | R | A | SD | 15.0 | 3.00 | 4.80 | 2.40 | .267 | 5.5% | 6.60 | 6.06 | 1.60 | 46.3% | 35.2% | 1.32 | 0.395 | 0.361 | $5500 | $5300 | $5650 |
| Alec Asher | PHI | R | A | WSH | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | $5200 | $4000 | $5300 |
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Jaime Garcia, STL – Sometimes a guy just has your number and that’s what it is here with Garcia and the Brewers. Milwaukee is hitting the ball well right now and they’ve hit lefties well all year. However, they do struggle on the road and they most certainly struggle against Garcia. In three starts against the Brewers this year, the veteran southpaw has a 1.23 ERA with a 22:8 K:BB over 22 innings. Also, with the Brewers posting a 44.3-percent ground ball rate against lefties, I’ll give the edge to Garcia’s 2.58 GB/FB here.
CC Sabathia, NYY – The Rays used to crush left-handed pitching this year but have steadily plummeted over the last few months, so much so that they went from ranking in the top-5 offensively to now just 21st in the majors with a .316 wOBA. Strikeout have been their primary issue, as evidenced by the 25.4-percent rate against southpaws this season. Couple that with a meek .294 wOBA over the last week and that tilts towards Sabathia enough for me to use him.
Ivan Nova, PIT – Big shout out to my man Ryan Stasik of Umphrey’s McGee whose tireless mental efforts willed the Pirates to a win yesterday and ended the eight-game losing streak. Now look for Nova to pick it up and help carry the momentum today. The Reds are on a four-game losing streak, averaging just two runs per game in that span and Nova is riding a three-game quality start streak and has allowed just four runs over his last 21 innings with a 16:2 K:BB in that span. Last time he faced the Reds was early August in his Pirates debut – seven innings of three-run ball and his first win as an NL pitcher.
A.J. Cole, WAS – Moving into dart territory here as Cole is making just his fourth start of the season here. The good news, though is that he’s looked better in each of his first three starts and had a strong performance against the Mets his last time out. Now he gets the Phillies, a team sitting on a .281 wOBA with a 25.5-percent strikeout rate and .127 ISO over the last seven days.
Jeff Hoffman, COL – Thankfully we’re out of Coors Field and a trip to San Diego makes it even better for these Rockies hurlers. There’s nothing exciting about Hoffman’s numbers, but all we’re looking for is a five-inning performance in which he keeps the runs off the board and hopefully steals the win. The Padres have a .262 wOBA with a 27.8-percent K-rate over the past week, so if there was a time to throw a dart at Hoffman, it would be now.
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