As a subsciber to our brand new Seasonal Playbook PRO you are going to be overcome with knowledge on a daily basis. One of the most important features each week will be the Category Impact writeups by Colby Conway. Each week Colby will be breaking down players that are making an impact in either one or more specific fantasy baseball categories. We're not talking about Chris Davis impacting home runs or Billy Hamilton being a stolen base asset, rather players who are flying under the fantasy radar.
These pages will be filled with useful breakdowns of players that will help you make tough decisions on waiver moves, trades and lineup decisions. For example, Brewers new first baseman Chris Carter is a big powerful dude that has big time power. But his dramatic lack of contact and high strikeout rate has limited his plate appearances over the past few years in Houston. But his move to Milwaukee this season provides a wealth of opportunity for the slugger.
Consider that Chris Carter owns a career HR/AB rate of 15.9 over his six major league seasons. If that doesn't impress you consider that the major league average is over twice that mark at 35.7. If you still don't understand just how prolific Carter's power is, maybe this will help. Carter owns a better HR/AB mark that such current sluggers as Jose Bautista (16.49), Nelson Cruz (16.99), Miguel Cabrera (17.79) and Edwin Encarnacion (17.94).
For you older baseball diehards think about this. Chris Carter's 15.9 HR/AB rate is better than such legends as Willie Mays (16.49), Reggie Jackson (17.52), Darryl Strawberry (16.17) and even Hank Aaron (16.38). OK, so yeah, there is no way in hell that Chris Carter is in the same league as some of those other names I have listed here. But it's also without question that he can and will impact the HR category for you.
According to the latest NFBC average draft position data, Carter is being taken 309.1 overall which equates to the 26th round in standard 12 team leagues. That is barely within the draft borders of quite a bit of leagues. Upon looking at the current Brewers first base situation though, there is little reason to believe that Carter won't be their regular starter. So, even if things go wrong due to injury or that dreaded lack of contact there is little doubt that he will play in 120 games this season. If he plays in 120 games that amounts to about 480 AB's or more this year. Assuming that Carter continues his current career mark of a HR every 15.9 AB's that equates to 30 HR's in 2016.
There isn't another player in baseball with such a low average draft position with that amount of power upside. All that stands in the way of another massive power output is playing time which is surely seems to be on his side entering the season.
So, there you go. That is a basic synopsis of what you can expect on these pages during the 2016 Fantasy Baseball Season. I am sure that Colby will do a great job and uncover plenty of fantasy producers for you during the course of this season.
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